Looks like the PAC 12 is not quite dead yet. At 6:00 AM pt, what’s left of the Pac 12 (#PAC12afterSunrise?) announced that after the 2025 season, Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State and San Diego State will join the Conference. They still need two more members to become a Group of Six eligible conference.
The Pac 12 is likely looking for Cal and Stanford to return to their roots with UNLV, Air Force, Memphis or Tulane as back ups.
I don’t know, why not stick with the theme of all State schools - Washington State and Oregon State are the two current members. How about San Jose State? All great conferences need a Spartan program! Or do a reverse ACC and grab Appalachian State from the East. The Pac 12 has a great history of beating scUM. How about doing what the Sun Belt does and promoting top notch FCS program like North Dakota State. Go for it – be the Pac 12 State conference.
The Pac 12 is likely looking for Cal and Stanford to return to their roots with UNLV, Air Force, Memphis or Tulane as back ups.
I don’t know, why not stick with the theme of all State schools - Washington State and Oregon State are the two current members. How about San Jose State? All great conferences need a Spartan program! Or do a reverse ACC and grab Appalachian State from the East. The Pac 12 has a great history of beating scUM. How about doing what the Sun Belt does and promoting top notch FCS program like North Dakota State. Go for it – be the Pac 12 State conference.
Mootsie may disagree but Northern Illinois upsetting Notre Dame in South Bend was the highlight of the weekend, The Domers were 28 point favorites, meaning, it's the worst loss, by spread, for ND since it lost its season opener as a 28-pt favorite vs. Northwestern in 1995. Now that was a great season for the Cats - still have the Northwestern Rose Bowl flag from that season.
That was Notre Dame's 3rd loss SU as a 20+ point favorite within the first two weeks of the regular season since 1990 — the most of any school in the nation. In Week 3, Notre Dame is a big favorite against Purdue. Last year, the Irish were 3-0 ATS after a SU loss.
Is Iowa an offensive juggernaut now? They went over in week 1 and over again in week 2. Over the last three years, the Hawkeyes have gone 21-6 to the under, the best record of any school. Now they are 2-0 to the over for the first time in 20 years.
Tis week Iowa hosts Troy with a total under 40 (39.5) and favored by more that 20 (22.5). Over the last 20 years, it's only happened 41 times with Iowa with Iowa participating in five of those spots. Teams in these situations have gone 16-25 ATS.
Colorado, scUM and NC State all lost by 14+ points last weekend and are favored by 7+ points this weekend. Since 2020, teams have gone 35-55-3 ATS in this scenario. The over went 53-39-1
I stand corrected, Michigan getting blown out last week was the highlight of the weekend.
That was Notre Dame's 3rd loss SU as a 20+ point favorite within the first two weeks of the regular season since 1990 — the most of any school in the nation. In Week 3, Notre Dame is a big favorite against Purdue. Last year, the Irish were 3-0 ATS after a SU loss.
Is Iowa an offensive juggernaut now? They went over in week 1 and over again in week 2. Over the last three years, the Hawkeyes have gone 21-6 to the under, the best record of any school. Now they are 2-0 to the over for the first time in 20 years.
Tis week Iowa hosts Troy with a total under 40 (39.5) and favored by more that 20 (22.5). Over the last 20 years, it's only happened 41 times with Iowa with Iowa participating in five of those spots. Teams in these situations have gone 16-25 ATS.
Colorado, scUM and NC State all lost by 14+ points last weekend and are favored by 7+ points this weekend. Since 2020, teams have gone 35-55-3 ATS in this scenario. The over went 53-39-1
I stand corrected, Michigan getting blown out last week was the highlight of the weekend.
The Sheriff is still bragging on Cal. Last week, Cal upset Auburn as 12 point dogs (and costing me a few quatloos). Now, they turn the table being big favorites this week against San Diego State. Teams favored by double-digits after a win as a double-digit 'dog in their previous game are actually a good bet historically early in the season (first four games), going 51-37-1 ATS.
As we move further into the season we will start seeing more ranked on ranked match ups. Taking the favorites is a good strategy. Since 2020, they are over 57% ATS, including last nights win by Kansas State over Arizona 31-7. Today #5 Mizzou is favored by 16.5 over #24 Boston College.
One angle to look at in making your investments is the weather conditions. Since 2005, college games played in 13 MPH winds go 57% to the under. This week App State @ East Carolina (O/U 60.5) will be playing in 15 MPH winds, Va Tech @ Old Dominion (48.5) will be playing with winds of 14 MPH and Vanderbilt @ Georgia State (48.5) will be also be playing in 14 MPH.
Those last two games - seems like we are getting a lot more Power 4 teams playing in Group of 5 cribs lately.
As we move further into the season we will start seeing more ranked on ranked match ups. Taking the favorites is a good strategy. Since 2020, they are over 57% ATS, including last nights win by Kansas State over Arizona 31-7. Today #5 Mizzou is favored by 16.5 over #24 Boston College.
One angle to look at in making your investments is the weather conditions. Since 2005, college games played in 13 MPH winds go 57% to the under. This week App State @ East Carolina (O/U 60.5) will be playing in 15 MPH winds, Va Tech @ Old Dominion (48.5) will be playing with winds of 14 MPH and Vanderbilt @ Georgia State (48.5) will be also be playing in 14 MPH.
Those last two games - seems like we are getting a lot more Power 4 teams playing in Group of 5 cribs lately.
Arkansas -24.0 vs UAB – Trent Dilfer continues to prve me right about being one of the worst HC in Div 1A. Last week he got blasted by a bad UL Monroe team 32-6. Now he faces an Arkansas team coming off a tough OT loss to Oklahoma State.
The Hogs made one of the best OC hires, bringing back Bobby Petrino to ramp up the scoring. Forne Spartan Dan Enos failed miserably in the same spot last year.
Boise State transfer QB Taylen Green has been on fire through two games. Green has already passed for 645 yards and rushed for 149 more. Fellow transfer, former Utah RB Ja’Quinden Jackson, has rushed for 250 yards on 7.8 carry this season.
The Arkansas defense should easily contain a 101st ranked UAB offense. With more talent, far better coaching and fired up at home the Hogs will roll the Blazers.
The Hogs made one of the best OC hires, bringing back Bobby Petrino to ramp up the scoring. Forne Spartan Dan Enos failed miserably in the same spot last year.
Boise State transfer QB Taylen Green has been on fire through two games. Green has already passed for 645 yards and rushed for 149 more. Fellow transfer, former Utah RB Ja’Quinden Jackson, has rushed for 250 yards on 7.8 carry this season.
The Arkansas defense should easily contain a 101st ranked UAB offense. With more talent, far better coaching and fired up at home the Hogs will roll the Blazers.
Mississippi State -11.5 vs Toledo – Toledo is not the Rocket teams of old. The talent is just not there this year. Last week they barely escaped a bad UMass team in a misleading 28-23 win. It took a TD on a KR and multiple personal fouls by the Minutemen to secure the win. UMass was the better football team, averaging almost six more plays and 20 more yards on a per-drive basis.
The other MSU nearly knocked off Arizona State losing 30-23 last week. But the Bulldogs were actually a bit better overall in a number of statistical categories, averaging over a full yard per play more than the Forks.
The Bulldogs were just done in by turnovers, including an ASU scoop six following a sack. Mississippi State's up tempo offense under new head coach Jeff Lebby should have plenty of opportunities to exploit a Toledo defense that lost its top two pass-rushers and all three starting cornerbacks - one to Wisconsin and two others to the NFL, including first-round draft pick Quinyon Mitchell.
The market hasn’t caught up to how bad Toledo will be this year. I’ll take the better talented team at home to cover.
The other MSU nearly knocked off Arizona State losing 30-23 last week. But the Bulldogs were actually a bit better overall in a number of statistical categories, averaging over a full yard per play more than the Forks.
The Bulldogs were just done in by turnovers, including an ASU scoop six following a sack. Mississippi State's up tempo offense under new head coach Jeff Lebby should have plenty of opportunities to exploit a Toledo defense that lost its top two pass-rushers and all three starting cornerbacks - one to Wisconsin and two others to the NFL, including first-round draft pick Quinyon Mitchell.
The market hasn’t caught up to how bad Toledo will be this year. I’ll take the better talented team at home to cover.
Mississippi -22.5 @ Wake Forest – This is a huge mismatch when the Rebs have the ball. Ole Miss has scored 128 points so far this year (granted vs Furman and Middle Tenn State). The fan base was excited when star QB Jaxson Dart said he will return Oxford for one more season. Dart has been unreal thus far, completing 47-of-54 passes for nearly 800 yards.
The Wake Forest secondary was a complete disaster last week vs Virginia. Cav QB Anthony Colandrea 357 yards and completed over 76% of his passes. In total, Wake Forest allowed 430 yards of total offense last week and will have its hands full trying to cover the explosive weapons on the Rebel roster.
Wake Forest's offense took a step back after losing QB Sam Hartman to ND last year. Boise transfer Hank Bachmeier. He’s adequate and has a good WR in Donavan Greene but they just wont be able to keep up with Mississippi.
For this weeks Point Whore Parlay I'll go with:
Colorado State +7.5 vs Colorado
Utah State +20.0 vs Utah
Oregon State +16.5 vs Oregon
I'm off to a good start on my Hold the Tables Premier League betting strategy. This week I took Man U over Southhampton and Arsenal +138 to win over Tottenham and +235 to tie
And for all the games, times, spreads, picks and much much more - here is the 2024 Week 3 Bettors Guide
The Wake Forest secondary was a complete disaster last week vs Virginia. Cav QB Anthony Colandrea 357 yards and completed over 76% of his passes. In total, Wake Forest allowed 430 yards of total offense last week and will have its hands full trying to cover the explosive weapons on the Rebel roster.
Wake Forest's offense took a step back after losing QB Sam Hartman to ND last year. Boise transfer Hank Bachmeier. He’s adequate and has a good WR in Donavan Greene but they just wont be able to keep up with Mississippi.
For this weeks Point Whore Parlay I'll go with:
Colorado State +7.5 vs Colorado
Utah State +20.0 vs Utah
Oregon State +16.5 vs Oregon
I'm off to a good start on my Hold the Tables Premier League betting strategy. This week I took Man U over Southhampton and Arsenal +138 to win over Tottenham and +235 to tie
And for all the games, times, spreads, picks and much much more - here is the 2024 Week 3 Bettors Guide
2024_week_3.xlsx |
Remember the 2024 Go Jumbo trip is Nov 16th at the Westgate SuperBook
And don't forget your drink coupons
And don't forget your drink coupons