Cincinnati +4.0 @ Tennessee – Derrick Henry is back baby. The public is pounding the Titans moving this line up to 4.0. But Cincinnati is pretty good against the run (5th in YPG) and I’m pretty sure he won’t be 100%. Tennessee’s whole offensive philosophy is to establish Henry to set up the play action pass. If Henry is a bit hobbled that strategy goes out the window.
Meanwhile Cincinnati will be able to expose the Titans secondary which finished 25th overall this year. The Tians are especially vulnerable against slot receivers so Tyler Boys should be in for a good day. Tennessee is not as good as the Raider against the run so Joe Mixon should have an impact as well
San Francisco +5.5 @ Green Bay – The Niners chances got a huge boost when Nick Bosa cleared the concussion protocol. Bosa will be able to pressure Rodgers since the Green Bay OL sucks.
Fred Warner is also expected to play against the Pack. With Warner on the field, AJ Dillon won’t be able to take over if Green Bay gets up late.
Green Bay struggles against the run and TEs across the middle so Kittle and Samuel are in for big days too.
This line is perhaps the farthest off of the day. I’m going with a Mega Bet on the Niners and the points. I’ll even throw in a quatloo on the Niners to win outright. The NIners just seem to have the Packs number
As Lions fans know, Stafford gets hurt every year. This year it’s his back. The Rams covered up his injury by running roughshod over the Cardinals. They won’t be able to run on the Bucs which allowed the 3rd fewest rushing yards this year.
Tampa Bay is not without its problems too. They are down two of the best WRs leaving Jalen Ramsey able to focus and limit Mike Evans. Fournette is also out so the Bucs will struggle to run the ball.
All in I would rather bet on a healthy Brady over an injured Stafford. In a revenge game for TB at home I’ll put a quatloo on the Bucs and the points. I’ll also put a quatloo on the under 48.0
He’s facing a Chiefs defense he torched back in week 5, throwing for 315 yards and three touchdowns while also rushing for 59 yards and another score. Mahomes struggled in that game netting on 272 yards on 54 attempts with most of the damage done in garbage time But Mahomes really sucked in the beginning of the season and should do better this weekend. Still the Bills are terrific against the pass so Mahomes will still have issues. The Bills are susceptible against the run meaning Jerick McKinnon could do some damage.
It’s a revenge game for the Chiefs at home but I’m still on the red hot Bills. Put me in for a quatloo on the money line. Put me down for a Mini Mega on the Bills to win the Super Bowl too at 5-1.