Another year, another punishing Wisconsin OL Happy New Year everyone. Hope you and yours have a joyous and wonderful 2024.
The college football season is down to it's last multigame weekend and New years Day is always a fantastic day to watch football. Multiple big games featuring big boy teams in tradition rich bowls. The Doofus deck will have 4 TVs fired up for today's action starting with.
LSU vs Wisconsin over 58.0 – There are plenty of important plyers opting out but I’m going to take the over anyways.
Wisconsin's offense is built on running the football. However, star running back Braelon Allen has decided to opt out of this game, while fellow running back Chez Mellusi was lost to injury in the middle of the season. That leaves Jackson Acker and Cade Yacamelli as the two backs remaining on the depth chart.
The good news for the Badgers is they still have their dominant offensive line intact. Wisconsin finished eighth in Offensive Line Yards and fourth in Stuff Rate Allowed.
Wisconsin may not have all of its skill position players available, but its offensive line should be able to dominate up front and allow the Badgers to run the ball effectively against a terrible LSU defense. The Badgers will also be facing one of the worst rush defenses in the country on Monday, so they should be able to run the ball with a lot of success.
Wiscy QB Tanner Mordecai is a below-average passer, but he will have his top target available and he's facing an already weak Tigers secondary without one of its starting cornerbacks.
The college football season is down to it's last multigame weekend and New years Day is always a fantastic day to watch football. Multiple big games featuring big boy teams in tradition rich bowls. The Doofus deck will have 4 TVs fired up for today's action starting with.
LSU vs Wisconsin over 58.0 – There are plenty of important plyers opting out but I’m going to take the over anyways.
Wisconsin's offense is built on running the football. However, star running back Braelon Allen has decided to opt out of this game, while fellow running back Chez Mellusi was lost to injury in the middle of the season. That leaves Jackson Acker and Cade Yacamelli as the two backs remaining on the depth chart.
The good news for the Badgers is they still have their dominant offensive line intact. Wisconsin finished eighth in Offensive Line Yards and fourth in Stuff Rate Allowed.
Wisconsin may not have all of its skill position players available, but its offensive line should be able to dominate up front and allow the Badgers to run the ball effectively against a terrible LSU defense. The Badgers will also be facing one of the worst rush defenses in the country on Monday, so they should be able to run the ball with a lot of success.
Wiscy QB Tanner Mordecai is a below-average passer, but he will have his top target available and he's facing an already weak Tigers secondary without one of its starting cornerbacks.
JT Daniels maybe out but Malik Nabers will be playing The Wisconsin defense may have up decent numbers, but that was against Big Ten West which is full a lot of really bad offenses. In fact, the only offense the Badgers faced that ranked inside the top 50 was Ohio State, which put up over 400 yards against Bucky.
Heisman winner LSU QB JT Daniels won’t be playing and was the main reason LSU offense finished second overall in the country, but the drop from him to backup QB Garrett Nussmeier isn't as drastic as you would think. Nussmeier went under center in the SEC Championship last year when Daniels got hurt, and he had a great game against an incredible Georgia defense. He threw for 294 yards and 10.9 yards per attempt while registering five big-time throws.
The rest of the starters on the LSU offense are going to play in this game including star wideouts Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. And there was more to the offense than Daniels too.
The LSU offensive line was led a very good Tiger ground game. ranking first in the nation in Offensive Line Yards and third in Stuff Rate.
RB back Logan Diggs had a fantastic season averaging 5.5 yards per carry. The Tigers should be able to run all over a very average Wisconsin rush defense.
Heisman winner LSU QB JT Daniels won’t be playing and was the main reason LSU offense finished second overall in the country, but the drop from him to backup QB Garrett Nussmeier isn't as drastic as you would think. Nussmeier went under center in the SEC Championship last year when Daniels got hurt, and he had a great game against an incredible Georgia defense. He threw for 294 yards and 10.9 yards per attempt while registering five big-time throws.
The rest of the starters on the LSU offense are going to play in this game including star wideouts Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. And there was more to the offense than Daniels too.
The LSU offensive line was led a very good Tiger ground game. ranking first in the nation in Offensive Line Yards and third in Stuff Rate.
RB back Logan Diggs had a fantastic season averaging 5.5 yards per carry. The Tigers should be able to run all over a very average Wisconsin rush defense.
A freshman QB playing against Iowa's defense? I'll take the defense The problem with LSU that its defense can't stop a nosebleed. The Tigers are 121st in EPA/Play Allowed, The biggest reason LSU has struggled on defense is because of its inability to stop teams on third downs. The Tigers are allowing teams to convert 46.9% of third downs, which ranks 124th in the nation.
Two effective offenses against porous defenses. I’ll take the over for a quatloos.
Iowa +5.5 vs Tennessee - The Tennessee offense has been led by the passing attack of Joe Milton and the ground game headlined by Jaylen Wright and Jabari Small. But, all three of those players have opted out of this one, so Tennessee will turn to a freshman. backup quarterback Nico Iamaleava, a five-star freshman from California.
On the other side, the Volunteers defense will be down four starters by way of the transfer portal. They will be without a starting defensive end and three members of their secondary.
Iowa has arguably the worst offense in the nation but the defense and special teams set them up well. The Hawkeyes had the 18th best starting position. A freshman QB against an elite defense will put the Iowa offense in great starting position again.
I’ll go with an ugly low scoring game with Iowa staying within a FG of a depleted Tennessee team for a quatloo.
Two effective offenses against porous defenses. I’ll take the over for a quatloos.
Iowa +5.5 vs Tennessee - The Tennessee offense has been led by the passing attack of Joe Milton and the ground game headlined by Jaylen Wright and Jabari Small. But, all three of those players have opted out of this one, so Tennessee will turn to a freshman. backup quarterback Nico Iamaleava, a five-star freshman from California.
On the other side, the Volunteers defense will be down four starters by way of the transfer portal. They will be without a starting defensive end and three members of their secondary.
Iowa has arguably the worst offense in the nation but the defense and special teams set them up well. The Hawkeyes had the 18th best starting position. A freshman QB against an elite defense will put the Iowa offense in great starting position again.
I’ll go with an ugly low scoring game with Iowa staying within a FG of a depleted Tennessee team for a quatloo.
Liberty's offense is prolific Oregon -18.0 vs Liberty – Be careful what you wish for. Liberty was the Group of Five entrant into the New Year Six Bowl game and gets to face Oregon who was the Pac 12 championship game from the CFP.
Normally, I don’t like giving up huge points like this but it worked brilliantly with Georgia and should work here. Liberty may be 13-0 but it was against the easiest schedule in Div 1A. That’s right no one, not even scUM had an easier schedule that Liberty.
I also looked to see if Oregon was going to mail this one in with a Florida State load of players opting out. Nope, only a handful of Ducks are taking New Years Day off.
For Liberty, the Flames’ 40.8 points per game were the fifth-most in the country, as Liberty was the only team in the nation to rush for more than 300 yards per game.
The Flame have been extremely balanced, ranking third in EPA per rush and first in EPA per pass. It’s not often that you see a team ranked in the top three nationally in both facets of offense. But you will in this game as Oregon was 2nd in EPA per rush and 3rd in EPA per pass,
Normally, I don’t like giving up huge points like this but it worked brilliantly with Georgia and should work here. Liberty may be 13-0 but it was against the easiest schedule in Div 1A. That’s right no one, not even scUM had an easier schedule that Liberty.
I also looked to see if Oregon was going to mail this one in with a Florida State load of players opting out. Nope, only a handful of Ducks are taking New Years Day off.
For Liberty, the Flames’ 40.8 points per game were the fifth-most in the country, as Liberty was the only team in the nation to rush for more than 300 yards per game.
The Flame have been extremely balanced, ranking third in EPA per rush and first in EPA per pass. It’s not often that you see a team ranked in the top three nationally in both facets of offense. But you will in this game as Oregon was 2nd in EPA per rush and 3rd in EPA per pass,
But hasn't faced anything like Oregon's defense The problem for Liberty is they haven’t faced anything like the Duck defense. The Ducks were one of three Pac-12 teams to hold opponents to fewer than 100 rushing yards per game (97.5).
The defense left much to be desired for Liberty, however. The Flames are just 83rd in Run Success Allowed, coming against a CUSA slate.
Liberty’s passing defense ranked outside the top 100 (244.8 yards per game) and will be without starting cornerback Preston Hodge.
Both teams can move the ball and score but only one has a defense and racked up great stats against quality competition. I’ll put a quatloos on the Ducks to cover.
I'll also put a quatloo on the Ducks to score over 23.5 points in the first half. I'm wary of the full game over if Oregon gets a big lead and rests its starters.
Playoff Predictions coming soon!
