The Doofus was feeling pretty good on Saturday Only two weeks to Vegas Baby!!
The Doofus ordered a bunch of cigars on line to stock up for the weekend. Unfortunately, I was travelling so the cigars got home before I did. Mrs. Doofus opened up the package and I got my annual admonition about health, money and the stench. Seems as though the cigar stench is worse than my every day stench. Who knew?
The Doofus had some real mixed results last weekend. On Saturday, The Big Book of Guesses sent up some pretty good picks going 28-22-1 and the Doofus took it home - going 2-0 with:
Mizzou 21 Central Florida 16 – I figured this would be a defensive slug fest and it was. UCF was leading 10-7 when Missouri broke the game open midway through the 3rd quarter with a 66 punt return for a TD. Nice. Another TD in the fourth quarter clinched it for the Tigers as they held on to win outright (didn’t need the three points after all). Sometimes Vegas just hands out little presents under the tree. A competent SEC team getting 3 against a CUSA team? Gift. Thank you. WIN
La Tech 44 Virginia 38 – Laying the three points on La Tech looked like it may be in trouble when the Cavaliers took a 24-10 lead midway through the 2nd quarter. But then the Bulldogs went off – scoring 34 straight points to take a 44-24 lead. Virginia tried to get a back door cover by scoring 2 TDs late but it wasn’t enough. The Bulldogs continue to rack up the points. The 44 points for La Tech is their lowest output on the season. La Tech QB Colby Cameron now has 12 TD passes with no interceptions. Keep an eye on the Bulldogs for the GO JUMBO weekend. They host an awful Idaho team - should be a blow out. WIN
The Doofus ordered a bunch of cigars on line to stock up for the weekend. Unfortunately, I was travelling so the cigars got home before I did. Mrs. Doofus opened up the package and I got my annual admonition about health, money and the stench. Seems as though the cigar stench is worse than my every day stench. Who knew?
The Doofus had some real mixed results last weekend. On Saturday, The Big Book of Guesses sent up some pretty good picks going 28-22-1 and the Doofus took it home - going 2-0 with:
Mizzou 21 Central Florida 16 – I figured this would be a defensive slug fest and it was. UCF was leading 10-7 when Missouri broke the game open midway through the 3rd quarter with a 66 punt return for a TD. Nice. Another TD in the fourth quarter clinched it for the Tigers as they held on to win outright (didn’t need the three points after all). Sometimes Vegas just hands out little presents under the tree. A competent SEC team getting 3 against a CUSA team? Gift. Thank you. WIN
La Tech 44 Virginia 38 – Laying the three points on La Tech looked like it may be in trouble when the Cavaliers took a 24-10 lead midway through the 2nd quarter. But then the Bulldogs went off – scoring 34 straight points to take a 44-24 lead. Virginia tried to get a back door cover by scoring 2 TDs late but it wasn’t enough. The Bulldogs continue to rack up the points. The 44 points for La Tech is their lowest output on the season. La Tech QB Colby Cameron now has 12 TD passes with no interceptions. Keep an eye on the Bulldogs for the GO JUMBO weekend. They host an awful Idaho team - should be a blow out. WIN
What the F@#$ was I thinking with the NFL?? On Sunday, the Doofus was getting ready to celebrate a pretty good weekend and the Big Book of Guesses was on fire going 9-5-1 but I forgot an important lesson in the NFL. Only elite teams can lay 7 or more points and get away with it. There is way too much parity and points are precious. There are only 2 elite teams in the NFL right now – San Francisco and Houston. I’ll be sure to wager some nice coin on those two to go to the Super Bowl. What the F@#$ was I thinking with my NFL picks?? With only 5 losing picks – the Doofus somehow managed to take two of them for Mega Bets as:
Atlanta 30 Carolina 28 – The Falcons certainly looked like an elite team after four weeks. Matt Ryan is an early candidate for MVP. The defense looked like a change in DCs might have been just the ticket as they confused and stymied the likes of Peyton Mannng. But Carolina exposed the holes in the defense – particularly in the DL. Panther QB Cam Newton kept plays alive passing for 215 yards and 2 TDs and running for an additional 86 yards. Now the story will be that Cam is back – he is not. Be careful taking the Panthers.
The Falcons needed a Hail Mary Pass and a walk off FG just to win the game. Giving 7 with the not quite elite Falcons equals a LOSS
Green Bay 28 New Orleans 27 – I knew Green Bay was not elite but I figured that they would be fired up after getting jobbed by the replacement refs the week before. Well they got jobbed by the regular refs too. New Orleans got away with a blatant offensive interference (ironically a favorite call by the replacement refs) on a first quarter TD to tie it 7-7. The Saints built a 21-14 half time lead but like they have done all season they blew it.
With 7 minutes left Green Bay scored the go ahead TD and led 28-27. On the ensuing kick-off Darrren Sproles fumbled the ball but the refs goofed again and ruled him down by contact. Replay showed he clearly fumbled but Green Bay had used their challenge (stupidly I might add) and so the play stood. And with it went my chance to get a cover. LOSS
Well – if going 2-2 is a down weekend I guess things aren’t that bad.
The Big Flippy went 2-2 also with:
Green Bay - Loss
Carolina – Win
Central Florida - Loss
La Tech – Win
The Point Whore Parlay had only its second losing week going 1-2 with:
UNLV +20.5 @ Utah State – Final Utah State 35 UNLV 13 LOSS (this one was looking pretty good until USU reeled off 15 unanswered in the 4th quarter - including a safety. Are you kidding me I lost it with a safety?? Crap!)
Colorado State +14.0 vs Air Force – Final – Air Force 42 Colorado State 21 LOSS
Buffalo +16.0 @ UConn – Final UConn 24 Buffalo 17 WIN
That brings the Point Whore Parlay record to 10-5. Should have used some of those for the Mega Bets. But wagering Mega Bets on massive underdogs takes Edgerrin James size cajones. The Doofus imagines his to be average or as George Costanza says - “Shrinkage!!”
With only two more preseason weeks here are the
Week 6 Mega Bets
Kent State -3.0 @ Eastern Michigan – Last year, it appeared that former Michigan DC and current Eastern HC Ron English had finally turned the tide for the woeful Eagles. This year things are back to normal. Eastern is about as good as milk left on the kitchen counter for a week. They are 117th in rushing, 100th in passing, 118th in scoring and 108th in scoring defense. Doesn’t get much worse than that. And their record shows it going 0-4 including two losses in the MAC and a loss to 1AA Illinois State. Meanwhile Kent State has gone 3-1 including two wins in the MAC and a win over the same Towson team that hung tough with LSU. A middle of the road MAC team goes to a pathetic MAC team - I’ll give the 3.
Seattle +3.0 @ Carolina – This spread is an overreaction to last week’s games. Carolina almost upset the Falcons in the Georgia Dome while Seattle fluffed at St Louis. I like spreads like this. Seattle is clearly a better team with a great defense. Cam while look ordinary again as will the running game which gashed Atlanta for 199 yards. The better team getting points? I’ll take it.
Pittsburgh -3.5 vs Philadelphia – Michael Vick looked great against New York running for 49 yards and passing for 241. He looked good because the Giants overpursued letting Vick scramble keeping plays alive. The Steelers are coming off a bye and get James Harrison and Troy Polamalu back. Just in time. Well rested – the Steeler D will make Vick look like he did at the beginning of the season.
For the Point Whore Parlay I’ll take:
New Mexico State +9.5 @ Idaho
UNLV +27.0 @ La Tech
Washington St +15.0 @ Oregon State
And here are all the picks and the Week 6 Bettors Guide Week 6 Bettors Guide.xls
Atlanta 30 Carolina 28 – The Falcons certainly looked like an elite team after four weeks. Matt Ryan is an early candidate for MVP. The defense looked like a change in DCs might have been just the ticket as they confused and stymied the likes of Peyton Mannng. But Carolina exposed the holes in the defense – particularly in the DL. Panther QB Cam Newton kept plays alive passing for 215 yards and 2 TDs and running for an additional 86 yards. Now the story will be that Cam is back – he is not. Be careful taking the Panthers.
The Falcons needed a Hail Mary Pass and a walk off FG just to win the game. Giving 7 with the not quite elite Falcons equals a LOSS
Green Bay 28 New Orleans 27 – I knew Green Bay was not elite but I figured that they would be fired up after getting jobbed by the replacement refs the week before. Well they got jobbed by the regular refs too. New Orleans got away with a blatant offensive interference (ironically a favorite call by the replacement refs) on a first quarter TD to tie it 7-7. The Saints built a 21-14 half time lead but like they have done all season they blew it.
With 7 minutes left Green Bay scored the go ahead TD and led 28-27. On the ensuing kick-off Darrren Sproles fumbled the ball but the refs goofed again and ruled him down by contact. Replay showed he clearly fumbled but Green Bay had used their challenge (stupidly I might add) and so the play stood. And with it went my chance to get a cover. LOSS
Well – if going 2-2 is a down weekend I guess things aren’t that bad.
The Big Flippy went 2-2 also with:
Green Bay - Loss
Carolina – Win
Central Florida - Loss
La Tech – Win
The Point Whore Parlay had only its second losing week going 1-2 with:
UNLV +20.5 @ Utah State – Final Utah State 35 UNLV 13 LOSS (this one was looking pretty good until USU reeled off 15 unanswered in the 4th quarter - including a safety. Are you kidding me I lost it with a safety?? Crap!)
Colorado State +14.0 vs Air Force – Final – Air Force 42 Colorado State 21 LOSS
Buffalo +16.0 @ UConn – Final UConn 24 Buffalo 17 WIN
That brings the Point Whore Parlay record to 10-5. Should have used some of those for the Mega Bets. But wagering Mega Bets on massive underdogs takes Edgerrin James size cajones. The Doofus imagines his to be average or as George Costanza says - “Shrinkage!!”
With only two more preseason weeks here are the
Week 6 Mega Bets
Kent State -3.0 @ Eastern Michigan – Last year, it appeared that former Michigan DC and current Eastern HC Ron English had finally turned the tide for the woeful Eagles. This year things are back to normal. Eastern is about as good as milk left on the kitchen counter for a week. They are 117th in rushing, 100th in passing, 118th in scoring and 108th in scoring defense. Doesn’t get much worse than that. And their record shows it going 0-4 including two losses in the MAC and a loss to 1AA Illinois State. Meanwhile Kent State has gone 3-1 including two wins in the MAC and a win over the same Towson team that hung tough with LSU. A middle of the road MAC team goes to a pathetic MAC team - I’ll give the 3.
Seattle +3.0 @ Carolina – This spread is an overreaction to last week’s games. Carolina almost upset the Falcons in the Georgia Dome while Seattle fluffed at St Louis. I like spreads like this. Seattle is clearly a better team with a great defense. Cam while look ordinary again as will the running game which gashed Atlanta for 199 yards. The better team getting points? I’ll take it.
Pittsburgh -3.5 vs Philadelphia – Michael Vick looked great against New York running for 49 yards and passing for 241. He looked good because the Giants overpursued letting Vick scramble keeping plays alive. The Steelers are coming off a bye and get James Harrison and Troy Polamalu back. Just in time. Well rested – the Steeler D will make Vick look like he did at the beginning of the season.
For the Point Whore Parlay I’ll take:
New Mexico State +9.5 @ Idaho
UNLV +27.0 @ La Tech
Washington St +15.0 @ Oregon State
And here are all the picks and the Week 6 Bettors Guide Week 6 Bettors Guide.xls
| Week 6 Bettors Guide.xls |
GO JUMBO in 2 weeks - October 20th at the LVH!!
RSS Feed
