I’ve seen estimates that as much as $150 million to $1 billion changed hands (mainly from bettors to the casinos) as a result of the last play of the Packers Seahawks game. To recap, Green Bay led Seattle 12-7 (the Pack was covering the 3.5 spread) when Seattle throws up a Hail Mary pass. The ball makes it to the end zone and then the chaos ensued.
A pile of Packers and Seahawks jump for the ball but Green Bay DB Jennings appeared to have intercepted the ball – grabbing it as Seattle WR Golden Tate (a Domer no less) gets a hand on it. One ref ruled that Tate had joint possession and a TD while another ruled it incomplete. The play went to the replay ref. A full 10 minutes! goes by while the refs review it. And then they still blow the call – ruling it a Seattle TD. Totally blown call
In the Detroit Tennessee game – the outcome may not have been a direct result of a blown call but it may have had a strong influence. In overtime, Tennessee threw an incomplete pass from their own 44 yard line but a penalty for an illegal hit was also called. Replay showed the pass was incomplete but the penalty was mistakenly marked off from the Detroit 44 yard line – giving the Titans an extra 12 yards. The Titans went on to kick a winning FG.
Mercifully, late Wednesday the NFL and the refs union reached a deal - sending those Lingerie League castoffs back to the local Footlocker where they came from.
In the college ranks there was a little bit of lunacy too. Just when you thought John L “Slappy” “Smiles” Smith was done making a fool of himself he does this. Remember – he coaches Arkansas What State? Alabama?? There a lot of Hog fans who wished he coached Alabama. John L was brought in as a one year stop gap – but he may not even make through the year. Guy has totally lost it. And despite all the tom foolery in the pro and college ranks – the Big Book of Guesses had its first winning week of the season going 35-31-2 - and the Doofus had his third straight winning week going 2-1 yet again as:
Notre Dame 13 Michigan 6 – As predicted, Notre Dames defense contained Shoelaces forcing him to throw. And when he did it was a total disaster. Robinson threw 4 interceptions and lost one fumble. He was pathetic. Pat send along this great recap of the Wolverine performance scUM. The Domers beat the 5 point spread for a WIN
Chicago 23 St Louis 6 – The Bear D carried the day as Jay Cutler continues to suck. A Bear pick 6 midway through the 4th quarter sealed the deal. Chicago easily covered the 7 point spread WIN
And for the second time in three weeks there was a point whore parlay win!!
UNLV +10.5 vs Air Force – Final UNLV 38 Air Force 35 WIN
Akron +32.5 @ Tennessee – Final Tennessee 47 Akron 26 WIN
UAB +36.5 @ Ohio State – Final Ohio State 29 UAB 15 WIN
If it weren’t for the stupid back door hook loss on Utah State the Doofus would have went 6-0. That’s all right – still feeling pretty good about last week. Let’s hope the good picking continues through the GO JUMBO weekend!
For the year the Mega Bets are 7-5 and the Point Whore Parlay is 9-3. Nice.
The Big Flippy sent in his second string by having Big Flippy Jr. make the picks last week. Jr. had about the same luck as his old man. He took Utah State LOSS, the team playing Notre Dame (he refused to say the name publicly) LOSS and St Louis LOSS. The Big Floppy is now 1-8 on the year. Fade the Floppy!
The season is now getting into gear – time to start ramping up the picks. This week the Doofus will make four picks - going with:
Week 5 Mega Bets
Green Bay -7.5 vs New Orleans – The Saints are just a mess right now. They start out games hot and then when the other team makes a few in game adjustments – they melt down. Last week ,New Orleans was up 24-6 in the third quarter only to lose to an equally inept Kansas City 27-24. Now the Saints travel up to the not yet frozen tundra to take on a seething Green Bay. The Pack was jobbed last week and they will be pissed. After facing three of the best defenses in the league in Frisco, Da Bears and Seattle – the Saints pathetic defense will seem like a MAC school. Aaron Rodgers is going to make a lot of fantasy owners very happy.
Atlanta -7.0 vs Carolina – Cam Newton is a basket case. He’s reportedly seeing the team shrink. Looking ahead to facing the offbeat schemes the Falcons have been using lately can’t help his psyche. The Falcons were able to confuse Peyton Manning – they will send Cam into a rubber room. Meanwhile Matt Ryan has been torching every defense he’s faced this year. Carolina’s 24th ranked D will be no match for the Ryan Air attack.
Missouri +2.5 @ Central Florida – A middle of the pack SEC team goes on the road to face a good but not great CUSA team and gets points? Gotta take a look at that. Mizzou battled 5th ranked Georgia before melting down in the fourth quarter; beat a respectable Arizona State team then stumbled against 6th ranked South Carolina. What’s Central Florida’s signature win? Beating Akron? Florida International? Hanging tough against Ohio State? Bettors are overreacting the the Mizzou SEC losses and overrating Central Florida. I like UCF – when they are getting points - not as a favorite.
La Tech -3.0 @ Virginia - La Tech is an offensive dynamo this year. Their lowest scoring output so far? – 52 points against Illinois. Virginia started out with a win over Penn State but that just seems less impressive now. Since then they have been blasted by Ga Tech and TCU. Virginia’s offense will get back on track this week but won’t be able to keep up with the Bulldogs
And for the Point Whore Parlay I’ll take:
UNLV +20.5 @ Utah State
Colorado State +14.0 vs Air Force
Buffalo +16.0 @ UConn
The Big Flippy refused to fade - the great quarter predicts the following victories:
As the Great Flippy says - remember, when you flip, you either get head, or tail. What can be better than that?
And as always - here is the Week 5 Bettors Guide Week 5 Bettors Guide.xls