For those able to get to Vegas Baby! before the season starts - you can try your hand at playing the Over/Under on season wins for both College ball and the NFL.
In Div 1A some of the over/under lines are:
ALABAMA 10 NOTRE DAME 8.5 OKLAHOMA 10
TEXAS 8 BOISE ST 10.5 MISSISSIPPI ST 7.5
LSU 9.5 MIAMI FL 8 STANFORD 9
OREGON ST 6.5 SOUTH CAROLINA 9 TCU 9
ARKANSAS 8.5 BYU 8.5 TEXAS A&M 8.5
MISSOURI 7.5 GEORGIA 8.5 MICHIGAN ST 7.5
OKLAHOMA ST 8.5 AUBURN 6 NEBRASKA 9.5
TENNESSEE 6.5 FLORIDA ST 9.5 PENN ST 7.5
VIRGINIA TECH 10 NORTH CAROLINA 8 WISCONSIN 9.5
MICHIGAN 7 ARIZONA ST 8 UTAH 7.5
WEST VIRGINIA 9.5 NEVADA 8 FLORIDA 7.5
UNLV 2.5 USC 7.5
MSU at 7.5? QB Kirk Cousins is a 5th year senior and while they may not go 11-1 again they won't go below 8-4
Utah moves into the Pac 12 but should get at least 8 wins. They should be 3-0 outside the conference with games against Pitt, Montana State and BYU (that will be a good game) leaving a 5-4 record in conference. Very doable.
For the under - I'll take UNC (sorry Ellis). the Stillehto Heels are going to be a train wreck this year. Who fires their HC the week before practice starts?? It's going to get ugly in Chapel Hill.
And how embarrasing for UNLV. The line is 2.5 for the home team. Still - I don't see any lay ups for the Runnin' Rebs. Even 1AA Southern Utah wil give them a game. New Mexico should be a win but that's about it. I'll pass.
The NFL lines are especially dicey as the free agent market continues to play out but there are some interesting lines..
AFC O/U 2010 Record NFC O/U 2010 Record W L W L
Baltimore 11 12 4 Arizona 6 5 11
Buffalo 5 4 12 Atlanta 10.5 13 3
Cincinnati 7.5 4 12 Carolina 4.5 2 14
Cleveland 6.5 5 11 Chicago 9.5 11 5
Denver 6 4 12 Dallas 9 6 10
Houston 8 6 10 Detroit 7.5 6 10
Indianapolis 10 10 6 Green Bay 11.5 10 6
Jacksonville 6 8 8 Minnesota 6.5 6 10
Kansas City 8 10 6 New Orleans 10 11 5
Miami 8 7 9 NY Giants 9.5 10 6
New England 11.5 14 2 Philadelphia 10 10 6
NY Jets 10 11 5 San Francisco 8 6 10
Oakland 7 8 8 Seattle 7 7 9
Pittsburgh 11 12 4 St Louis 7 7 9
San Diego 10 9 7 Tampa Bay 8.5 10 6
Tennessee 6.5 6 10 Washington 6.5 6 10
Totals 132 130 126 131.5 126 130
The Lions have made some nice additions to their defense with DT Fairly and MLB Tulloch. As long as Stafford stays upright - I'll take the over. 8-8 should be doable with the Vikings continuing to regress along with Chicago.
I also like Arizona and the over. Recent free agent QB Kolb should make the offense go throwing to WR Fitzgerald and recent free agent addition TE Todd Heap. In a weak NFC West they should have enough fire power to take the division. Add to that Seattle got worse by losing QB Hasselback and replacing him with QB Tavarius Jackson from Minnesota. Bad move by the SeaHens.
Phildelphia was the surprise winner for the CB Asomugha sweeptake putting them in the pole position for the NFC East. They won 10 last year and I like them to better that record in 2011.
Overall there will be 256 wins in the NFL next year but the total of the overs is 263.5 which means there is more room with the unders. Besides Seattle - my favorite under is Cincinnati. When Matt Millen left the Lions, the Bungles took over as the worst run team in the league. Carson Palmer looks like he will stay retired (Cincy put him on the did not report list) leaving them with either former Oakland QB Grabowski or rookie Andy Dalton taking first string snaps. They won 4 games last year - taking 7.5 this year is a big stretch.
And Carolina is not going to go from 2 wins to 4.5 with Cam Newton at the helm (even if they do sign Derek Anderson) . When your biggest move in free agency is keeping your best player (RB DeAngelo Williams) it doesn't bode well for picking up wins in a stacked NFC South. Most likely they will go winless against New Orleans, Atlanta and Tampa Bay. Add 2 more losses against Indy and Green Bay means they have to go 4-4 versus the rest of the schedule (including Chicago, Detroit, Arizona and Jax).
Remember its 3 months to VEGAS BABY!! See you at the Vegas Hilton on 11/11/11