It was "Flags Up America" - a practice run for when the gang comes down I was remiss in my recap of last week – neglecting to mention that the Big Guy and Mrs Doofus went out and got a nice new addition to the Doofus Deck – a beautiful 58” flat screen TV. A superb Hi-Def portal into the great wide world of college football.
The Big Guy, being a full service son, not only went to the store to pick it up but also installed it too. The old TVs are now relegated to auxiliary status. Where they once hosted the main action now they show the "other" games.
The TVs are all stacked on Mrs. Doofus' old bakers rack for some great viewing.
Too bad the inaugural game was the Spartans but a welcome addition none the less.
While he was putting up the TVs I was putting up the flags, posting the spreads on a dry erase board and setting up the drink cart. A good practice run for when the gang comes down next weekend.
Fading teams coming off big wins and backing teams recovering from bad losses has been paying off.
As for the bounce back teams:
Georgia was upset at home by Vandy but has a bye this week
Air Force lost to New Mexico as a 14 point favorite. The Falcons defense has flown away. This week they are 16.5 point favorites at home versus Hawaii. That's too many points. I'll take the Rainbow Warriors for a quatloo.
For the fade teams coming off big wins:
Vandy hosts East Tenn State so no action
New Mexico is laying 17.5 versus and equally bad UL Monroe. I'll take the WarHawks but no quatloos.
The Big Guy, being a full service son, not only went to the store to pick it up but also installed it too. The old TVs are now relegated to auxiliary status. Where they once hosted the main action now they show the "other" games.
The TVs are all stacked on Mrs. Doofus' old bakers rack for some great viewing.
Too bad the inaugural game was the Spartans but a welcome addition none the less.
While he was putting up the TVs I was putting up the flags, posting the spreads on a dry erase board and setting up the drink cart. A good practice run for when the gang comes down next weekend.
Fading teams coming off big wins and backing teams recovering from bad losses has been paying off.
As for the bounce back teams:
Georgia was upset at home by Vandy but has a bye this week
Air Force lost to New Mexico as a 14 point favorite. The Falcons defense has flown away. This week they are 16.5 point favorites at home versus Hawaii. That's too many points. I'll take the Rainbow Warriors for a quatloo.
For the fade teams coming off big wins:
Vandy hosts East Tenn State so no action
New Mexico is laying 17.5 versus and equally bad UL Monroe. I'll take the WarHawks but no quatloos.
South Florida has been a scoring machine this year In revenge games:
Nebraska lost to Purdue last year but they are a still 24 point favorite. Purdue cam out fired up in their last game against Iowa. Can they do it 2 weeks in a row? I'll take the Boilers but no dinero.
With nothing really striking me on those angles I'll go with good ol' fashioned analyis and take these Mega Bets
South Florida -6.5 @ Temple – Houston may get all the pub but the best team in the American just may be South Florida. The Bulls are an offensive dynamo, ranking 15th total offense, 8th in rushing and 8th in scoring. They have scored 35 or more points in 12 straight games.
The Temple is not the rock that is was last year and will be missing both starting safeties. Also not the same as last year is Owl QB PJ Walker. He seems to suffer from “even year itis” In 2013 and 2015 he had superb years scoring 39 TDs to 16 picks. But he falters during the even years. In 2014 and so far in 2016 he’s had 23 TDs against 25 picks.
Both teams are on hot streaks. Temple has covered 5 straight ATS after while South Florida is 12-3-1 ATS.
Look for the Owls to keep the game close and for South Florida to pull away late to get the cover.
Minnesota -3.9 @ Phildelphia - Everyone is jumping off the Wentzwagon. After starting out 3-0 Philly has dropped two straight.
Minnesota has yet to let up 17 points in a game this season. Wentz isn't about to be the first.
Meanwhile Viking QB Sam Bradford will be able to tee off against a secondary he is very familiar with, having practiced against his former mates for years.
The trends favor the Vikes - they have covered 10 straight games (including the preseason) They are 16-5 ATS as the visitor and 6-0 ATS versus teams with a winning record. Philly is 9-19-1 ATS against teams with a winning record.
Nebraska lost to Purdue last year but they are a still 24 point favorite. Purdue cam out fired up in their last game against Iowa. Can they do it 2 weeks in a row? I'll take the Boilers but no dinero.
With nothing really striking me on those angles I'll go with good ol' fashioned analyis and take these Mega Bets
South Florida -6.5 @ Temple – Houston may get all the pub but the best team in the American just may be South Florida. The Bulls are an offensive dynamo, ranking 15th total offense, 8th in rushing and 8th in scoring. They have scored 35 or more points in 12 straight games.
The Temple is not the rock that is was last year and will be missing both starting safeties. Also not the same as last year is Owl QB PJ Walker. He seems to suffer from “even year itis” In 2013 and 2015 he had superb years scoring 39 TDs to 16 picks. But he falters during the even years. In 2014 and so far in 2016 he’s had 23 TDs against 25 picks.
Both teams are on hot streaks. Temple has covered 5 straight ATS after while South Florida is 12-3-1 ATS.
Look for the Owls to keep the game close and for South Florida to pull away late to get the cover.
Minnesota -3.9 @ Phildelphia - Everyone is jumping off the Wentzwagon. After starting out 3-0 Philly has dropped two straight.
Minnesota has yet to let up 17 points in a game this season. Wentz isn't about to be the first.
Meanwhile Viking QB Sam Bradford will be able to tee off against a secondary he is very familiar with, having practiced against his former mates for years.
The trends favor the Vikes - they have covered 10 straight games (including the preseason) They are 16-5 ATS as the visitor and 6-0 ATS versus teams with a winning record. Philly is 9-19-1 ATS against teams with a winning record.
UMass is 2-0 ATS versus the SEC Massachusetts +20.0 @ South Carolina – Let me see if I got this right, South Carolina has yet to score 21 points in a game this season and they are favoured by 20.0?
South Carolina is dead last in scoring offense this year. No surprise there, their head coach is Muschamp after all.
The Minutemen have a plucky enough defense to keep the Cocks from exploding all of a sudden. They kept games close in two SEC enocounters already losing by 17 to Florida and 12 to Mississippi State. They should keep this game within 20.0
The trends favor UMass. South Carolina is 5-9 ATS as a favorite and Murschamp is 8-15 in that role.
South Carolina is dead last in scoring offense this year. No surprise there, their head coach is Muschamp after all.
The Minutemen have a plucky enough defense to keep the Cocks from exploding all of a sudden. They kept games close in two SEC enocounters already losing by 17 to Florida and 12 to Mississippi State. They should keep this game within 20.0
The trends favor UMass. South Carolina is 5-9 ATS as a favorite and Murschamp is 8-15 in that role.
It takes two to score to get the over Texas Tech There are only two more practice seesions before the Go Jumbo weekend. Time to start ramping up the picks. I'll go with a bunch of Mini Megas to get those last few reps in
NC State +19.5 @ Louisville – The Pack DL was able to contain Clemson’s high powered offense. They should be able to do the same against Louisville. Will NC State be able to get over the oh so close loss to Clemson? I think so. They’ll keep this game close too
Wisconsin -4.5 @ Iowa – Bucky is playing at a high level right now. Emotionally they could be in for a let down but they should wake up in time to roll the Hawkeyes.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma under 85.5 – It takes two teams rippin' through it to get over 80. The Red Raiders won’t hold up their end of the bargain. They only got 17 against West Virginia.
Colorado +2.0 @ Stanford – I saw the spread and waited for the Sheriff to confirm. See below for the red hot Sheriff’s picks
Miami +3.0 vs Buffalo - Miami finally got their OL back from injury and pounded the Steelers. Granted, Pittsburgh was without Big Ben but last I heard he didn't play defense.
New Orleans +6.0 @ Kansas City - The fabulous Drew Brees and the high flying Saints offense will score late to get a back door cover
The Fin defense should be able to contain the Bills offense even if a dinged up LeSean McCoy plays.
NC State +19.5 @ Louisville – The Pack DL was able to contain Clemson’s high powered offense. They should be able to do the same against Louisville. Will NC State be able to get over the oh so close loss to Clemson? I think so. They’ll keep this game close too
Wisconsin -4.5 @ Iowa – Bucky is playing at a high level right now. Emotionally they could be in for a let down but they should wake up in time to roll the Hawkeyes.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma under 85.5 – It takes two teams rippin' through it to get over 80. The Red Raiders won’t hold up their end of the bargain. They only got 17 against West Virginia.
Colorado +2.0 @ Stanford – I saw the spread and waited for the Sheriff to confirm. See below for the red hot Sheriff’s picks
Miami +3.0 vs Buffalo - Miami finally got their OL back from injury and pounded the Steelers. Granted, Pittsburgh was without Big Ben but last I heard he didn't play defense.
New Orleans +6.0 @ Kansas City - The fabulous Drew Brees and the high flying Saints offense will score late to get a back door cover
The Fin defense should be able to contain the Bills offense even if a dinged up LeSean McCoy plays.
It’s been awhile but I’ll do a Point Whore parlay with:
Oregon State +37.0 @ Washington (Sorry Sheriff)
Eastern Michigan +22.5 @ Western Michigan (Michigan’s 2nd and 4th best teams going at it. Central is 3rd)
Hawaii +16.5 @ Air Force
Oregon State +37.0 @ Washington (Sorry Sheriff)
Eastern Michigan +22.5 @ Western Michigan (Michigan’s 2nd and 4th best teams going at it. Central is 3rd)
Hawaii +16.5 @ Air Force
The Sheriff continues on a tear. Last week he went 2-1 just missing going 3-0 by a point on the Washington State UCLA game. That makes him 7-2 over the last three weeks with the losses, a combined 1.5 points. I’ll be sure to bet his games on the GO JUMBO weekend.
This week he is going with:
Cal (-3) over Oregon. The Golden Bears have had two weeks to heal their injuries from the disappointing overtime loss to Oregon State, a loss which may keep them out of a bowl game at the end of the year. An awful Oregon team however, is just what the doctor ordered. Cal always plays better at home and should win this game by at least a touchdown.
Doofus: Oregon has had 2 weeks to stew over their blowout loss to Washington and Cal had trouble with Oregon State’s spread last week. I’ll go with the Sheriff but only for a quatloo
Washington (-37) over Oregon State. The Beavers tough little dual-threat starting QB Darrell Garretson was injured last week against Utah and is out for the season. The only thing that could derail the Huskies from covering the 37 is Chris Petersen’s innate sense of decency and unwillingness to kick an opponent when he’s down. Then again, Washington did hang 70 points on Oregon so maybe Chris Petersen has a little Mick Jagger in him, after all ?? The Sheriff is betting Chris is a Stones fan and keeps his foot on the gas long enough to cover this number.
Doofus: Too many points for me. I’ll take the Beav. No quatloos but I'll put them on the Point Whore Parlay
Colorado (+2) over Stanford. The Buffs are the Sheriff’s pick to win the PAC-12 South this year, and while this will be a tough one, he sees Colorado pulling off the upset.
Doofus: When I saw this spread I knew where the Sheriff was going. Put me down for a Mini Mega on the Buffs.
This week he is going with:
Cal (-3) over Oregon. The Golden Bears have had two weeks to heal their injuries from the disappointing overtime loss to Oregon State, a loss which may keep them out of a bowl game at the end of the year. An awful Oregon team however, is just what the doctor ordered. Cal always plays better at home and should win this game by at least a touchdown.
Doofus: Oregon has had 2 weeks to stew over their blowout loss to Washington and Cal had trouble with Oregon State’s spread last week. I’ll go with the Sheriff but only for a quatloo
Washington (-37) over Oregon State. The Beavers tough little dual-threat starting QB Darrell Garretson was injured last week against Utah and is out for the season. The only thing that could derail the Huskies from covering the 37 is Chris Petersen’s innate sense of decency and unwillingness to kick an opponent when he’s down. Then again, Washington did hang 70 points on Oregon so maybe Chris Petersen has a little Mick Jagger in him, after all ?? The Sheriff is betting Chris is a Stones fan and keeps his foot on the gas long enough to cover this number.
Doofus: Too many points for me. I’ll take the Beav. No quatloos but I'll put them on the Point Whore Parlay
Colorado (+2) over Stanford. The Buffs are the Sheriff’s pick to win the PAC-12 South this year, and while this will be a tough one, he sees Colorado pulling off the upset.
Doofus: When I saw this spread I knew where the Sheriff was going. Put me down for a Mini Mega on the Buffs.
And for all this weeks game's spreads, picks and much much more here is the Week 8 2016 Bettors Guide
| Week 8 2016 Bettors Guide.xlsx |
The GO JUMBO weekend is 2 weeks from Saturday!!
Can't wait to see everyone there
Can't wait to see everyone there
