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Week 17 Mega Bets - Part 1

12/21/2014

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PicturePhilbin is struggling to get the Fins motivated
The Doofus rented a house in the mountains in order to accommodate the horde of kids about to descend on Doofus Manor. 

Mrs. Doofus had the foresight to rent a place about an hour away from the gang in case some football watching with beverages and cigars gets scheduled. So Ellis, Chris, Dobby, Bruce.... the onus is now on you guys. I got pre-cleared for a getaway. 

Meanwhile, I'll be watching tons of football at the Alpine Command starting with some NFL action today. The track record in the NFL has steadily improved through the season so I'll put down another Mega Bet on

Minnesota +4.0 @ Miami - Injuries are racking the once stout Miami defense. Over the last two weeks they have been outscored 69-26 (including 48-3 in the second half). During that time QB Ryan Tannehill has struggled throwing only two TDs versus three picks. 

The Fins are out of the playoff hunt and has basically quit on HC Joe Philbin. Miami is 0-3 ATS over the last three games

Meanwhile, the Vikings continue to play tough for HC Mike Zimmer. Minnesota is a covering machine going 7-1 ATS over their last eight. 

Miami is not good at being the favorite. They are 5-15 ATS when giving 3.5 or more. This spread is just too high. I'll take the Vikings to cover if not win outright. 

I'll also take a Mini Mega 

Indianapolis +3.5 @ Dallas -  This line is an overreaction to the Boys blow out win over Philly last week. Dallas sucks as a home favorite going 11-26 ATS. 

This would be a Mega Bet if Indy WR TY Hilton was at full strength

For all of this week's NFL picks here is the Week 17 Bettors Guide

Week 17 Bettors Guide
File Size: 26 kb
File Type: xlsx
Download File

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