Championship continues today with perhaps the most anticipated game of the weekend.
Notre Dame +10.5 vs Clemson – Another rematch but this one has CFP implications (not that the Fun Belt shouldn’t have had; but that’s another story starting with - they really need to expand the playoffs)
It was probably the biggest game of the year. ND beat Clemson 47-40 in 2OT. Tiger fans are looking forward to the game because they have Trevor this time. But it’s not like there was a drop off with backup D.J. Uiagalelei. He went off for 439 yards passing and 2 TDs.
Where ND succeeded was in limiting Etienne to 28 yards. Being +2 in turnovers in the first game didn’t hurt either. The Domer run defense is for real ranking 9th overall and 14th in overall defense. DC Clark Lea leveraged this year’s performance into getting the head gig a Vanderbilt next year.
And while all the pub will be on the return of Trevor, don’t overlook Domer QB Ian Book. He’s been on a tear over the last six games averaging 278 YPG with 13 TDs against only 1 pick.
Both teams will play the motivation angle. It’s a revenge game for Clemson. For Notre Dame, it’s the we aren’t getting respected. The betting public sure isn’t. They moved the opening line from 7.5 to 10.5 over the week.
That’s enough points for me. I'll take the Domers getting two scores and the hook. I might even venture with a quatloo despite meaning I’m betting on the Fighting Mootsies.
Notre Dame +10.5 vs Clemson – Another rematch but this one has CFP implications (not that the Fun Belt shouldn’t have had; but that’s another story starting with - they really need to expand the playoffs)
It was probably the biggest game of the year. ND beat Clemson 47-40 in 2OT. Tiger fans are looking forward to the game because they have Trevor this time. But it’s not like there was a drop off with backup D.J. Uiagalelei. He went off for 439 yards passing and 2 TDs.
Where ND succeeded was in limiting Etienne to 28 yards. Being +2 in turnovers in the first game didn’t hurt either. The Domer run defense is for real ranking 9th overall and 14th in overall defense. DC Clark Lea leveraged this year’s performance into getting the head gig a Vanderbilt next year.
And while all the pub will be on the return of Trevor, don’t overlook Domer QB Ian Book. He’s been on a tear over the last six games averaging 278 YPG with 13 TDs against only 1 pick.
Both teams will play the motivation angle. It’s a revenge game for Clemson. For Notre Dame, it’s the we aren’t getting respected. The betting public sure isn’t. They moved the opening line from 7.5 to 10.5 over the week.
That’s enough points for me. I'll take the Domers getting two scores and the hook. I might even venture with a quatloo despite meaning I’m betting on the Fighting Mootsies.
Northwestern +20.5 vs Ohio State – Don’t tell me the CFP is about getting the four best teams in and it’s all about the eyeball test. After they bent the rules to allow the Bucknuts into the Big 10 championship game the only eyeballs that they powers that be are concerned about is how many will show up to watch the games. It’s the same reason that Group of Five teams will never make it until they expand the playoffs.
But here we are. I’m not doubting that Ohio State isn’t the best team in the league but that’s a real low bar this year. Penn State – sucked. Wisconsin – sucked. Michigan – they always suck. MSU hasn’t been a contender for several years. Iowa seems like they are always this close.
The Cats have a way of just mucking up offenses. The strategy is don’t give up a lot of big plays, and on offense, methodically work its way down the field, draining the clock. It’s worked in every game except against State playing their best game in a few years.
Ohio State will look to bomb away against the weakness of the Cat defense – the secondary. It’s the same weakness for the Buckeyes except Peyton is not much of a passer.
I’ll take the points and the Bombastic Brucies. No quatloos. If Ramsey gets that deer in the headlights look, Ohio State could romp.
But here we are. I’m not doubting that Ohio State isn’t the best team in the league but that’s a real low bar this year. Penn State – sucked. Wisconsin – sucked. Michigan – they always suck. MSU hasn’t been a contender for several years. Iowa seems like they are always this close.
The Cats have a way of just mucking up offenses. The strategy is don’t give up a lot of big plays, and on offense, methodically work its way down the field, draining the clock. It’s worked in every game except against State playing their best game in a few years.
Ohio State will look to bomb away against the weakness of the Cat defense – the secondary. It’s the same weakness for the Buckeyes except Peyton is not much of a passer.
I’ll take the points and the Bombastic Brucies. No quatloos. If Ramsey gets that deer in the headlights look, Ohio State could romp.
Oklahoma -5.0 vs Iowa State – It’s another rematch. Iowa State downed the Sooners 37-30 in week 3. Since the ISU has gone 6-1. Oklahoma started out 1-2 but has reeled off six straight wins.
Iowa State is coming in hot with a resounding 42-6 over a good West Virginia. Brock Purdy is peaking at the right time and has 17 TDs versus 6 picks. The running game is in good hands with Breece Hall. He has nearly 1,400 yards and another 17 TDS.
This game will come down to Okie QB Spencer Rattler. The Sooner defense has improved markedly under DC Alex Grinch. The offense is even better leading the Big 12 in passing offense, total offense and total points – as usual. But Rattler can be a bit inconsistent.
I’ll take the experienced Purdy and the points over the freshman Rattler. Put me in for a quatloo.
Iowa State is coming in hot with a resounding 42-6 over a good West Virginia. Brock Purdy is peaking at the right time and has 17 TDs versus 6 picks. The running game is in good hands with Breece Hall. He has nearly 1,400 yards and another 17 TDS.
This game will come down to Okie QB Spencer Rattler. The Sooner defense has improved markedly under DC Alex Grinch. The offense is even better leading the Big 12 in passing offense, total offense and total points – as usual. But Rattler can be a bit inconsistent.
I’ll take the experienced Purdy and the points over the freshman Rattler. Put me in for a quatloo.
Tulsa +14.5 @ Cincinnati – Can Cincinnati get past the Covid? They haven’t played since before Thanksgiving as it passes through the roster. All the while they have dropped in the rankings to ninth.
They were supposed to play Tulsa twice so far each time the BearCats have had to pass. When Cincinnati does play they are outstanding. The defense is fifth in points allowed (15.0 PPG) and fifth overall. Desmond Ridder leads an offense that averages over 40 points per game.
The worry is, and what the CFP is looking at is – what kind of defenses has Cincy faced? Army is third and held the Bearcats to 24 points. The next best is Houston’s 71st ranked D.
Tulsa is no slouch on defense either ranking 20th overall. They should be able to corral Ridder. In a low scoring game, I’ll take the 2TDs and the hook. Put me down for a quatloo and another quatloo on the under 45.5.
They were supposed to play Tulsa twice so far each time the BearCats have had to pass. When Cincinnati does play they are outstanding. The defense is fifth in points allowed (15.0 PPG) and fifth overall. Desmond Ridder leads an offense that averages over 40 points per game.
The worry is, and what the CFP is looking at is – what kind of defenses has Cincy faced? Army is third and held the Bearcats to 24 points. The next best is Houston’s 71st ranked D.
Tulsa is no slouch on defense either ranking 20th overall. They should be able to corral Ridder. In a low scoring game, I’ll take the 2TDs and the hook. Put me down for a quatloo and another quatloo on the under 45.5.
San Jose State +6.0 @ Boise State – Outside the Fun Belt the best feel good story of the year has been the other Spartans. They have only had 3 winning seasons since way back in the Perles era – 1992. Two years removed from a 1-11 season, they are 6-0 this year and look to win their first conference championship since 1991 when the won the old Big West title.
Key to the turnaround is grad transfer QB Nick Starkel. After coming over from Texas A&M via Arkansas he has led the offense to 30.7 PPG. RB Tyler Nevens has also helped averaging 8.9 yards per carry. The defense has been fantastic, allowing a mere 17.5 PPG.
Boise is used to playing in these games. . This is going for their fifth title since 2012 and 15th since 1999. After getting blasted by BYU when the Broncos were down to their 4th string QB, BSU has rebounded and is perfect in Mountain West play. They are perfect against SJSU too sporting a 14-0 record all time.
While it’s the same old same old for Boise, there is nothing special about the team. They are just good enough.
It’s a magical season for the Spartans. I’ll take the points and lay a Mini Mega Nevens to pound a suspect Boise rush defense and Cinderella wins the Ball.
Key to the turnaround is grad transfer QB Nick Starkel. After coming over from Texas A&M via Arkansas he has led the offense to 30.7 PPG. RB Tyler Nevens has also helped averaging 8.9 yards per carry. The defense has been fantastic, allowing a mere 17.5 PPG.
Boise is used to playing in these games. . This is going for their fifth title since 2012 and 15th since 1999. After getting blasted by BYU when the Broncos were down to their 4th string QB, BSU has rebounded and is perfect in Mountain West play. They are perfect against SJSU too sporting a 14-0 record all time.
While it’s the same old same old for Boise, there is nothing special about the team. They are just good enough.
It’s a magical season for the Spartans. I’ll take the points and lay a Mini Mega Nevens to pound a suspect Boise rush defense and Cinderella wins the Ball.
Alabama -17.0 vs Florida - This was shaping up to be a key CFP matchup. The winner was in but could if the game were close, the loser could nab the a second SEC spot.
Then this happened last week in the Swamp. The game is tied, LSU has it 3rd and 10 with 2 minutes left. If the Gators make a stop they will get the ball back with a chance to drive for a winning FG.
The the most incredible blunder I's seen in a long long time
Then this happened last week in the Swamp. The game is tied, LSU has it 3rd and 10 with 2 minutes left. If the Gators make a stop they will get the ball back with a chance to drive for a winning FG.
The the most incredible blunder I's seen in a long long time
Throwing a shoe?? I've seem some dumb things before, many (but not all) am I guilty of, but never throwing a shoe??
LSU then goes and kicks a FG with 23 seconds to go. But the game isn't quite over yet. Florida gets it into position for a bomb FG and....misses. LSU wins.
Cost me the safe money line parlay. Crap
With the loss it knocked the Gators out of any chance at the CFP. Even with a win over Bama, I'm not sure a two loss team (and Texas A&M hanging around) gets in. It likely cost Kyle Trask the Heisman too.
Not that it matters. Bama is destroying everything in their path. remember when the TIde used to be about Heisman RBs and amazing defenses? No more, The defense is good enough but now they win with bombs away on offense.
The Gators bomb away too but are quite as good and their defense isn't on par with Bama's either.
Nick will run up the score to secure the #1 overall seeding. No quatloos though. One of the kids wants to root for the Gators and I don't want to root against him.
Might lay a quatloo on the over 74.5 though just for fun.
In the non-championship games:
Air Force -2.5 @ Army – In another example of bizarreness of 2020, the Commander in Chief trophy will be decided after the Army Navy game.
It’s the service academies, they are going to run the ball. Army absolutely stuffed Navy last week in a 15-0 shut out.
But Air Force has something that Navy lacks – a semblance of a passing game. They have a better defense too, ranking 8th overall. I’ll take the Fly Boys to go airborne and win the game by slightly more than a FG. Another Mini Mega
Minnesota +12.0 @ Wisconsin - How is Bucky favored by 12 points. I'm not sure they can even score 12 points. It's worth a quatloo on the Goofers to find out.
Air Force -2.5 @ Army – In another example of bizarreness of 2020, the Commander in Chief trophy will be decided after the Army Navy game.
It’s the service academies, they are going to run the ball. Army absolutely stuffed Navy last week in a 15-0 shut out.
But Air Force has something that Navy lacks – a semblance of a passing game. They have a better defense too, ranking 8th overall. I’ll take the Fly Boys to go airborne and win the game by slightly more than a FG. Another Mini Mega
Minnesota +12.0 @ Wisconsin - How is Bucky favored by 12 points. I'm not sure they can even score 12 points. It's worth a quatloo on the Goofers to find out.
Missouri -1.0 @ Mississippi State – While everyone has been focused on which big boys in the SEC to which will make it to the CFP, Mizzou has quetly been having a respectable season. They have won five of their last seven including a win over another respectable team – Arkansas.
Mississippi State stunned the world with an opening weekend win over LSU. Since then they are 1-7 with the one win over lowly Vanderbilt.
This should a relatively low scoring game as both teams have decent defenses but offenses that can struggle.
I’ll lay a Mini Mega on the better team, the Tigers.
Texas A&M -14.0 @ Tennessee – It would take a whole lot of weirdness for the Aggies to make the CFP. But they can still play in a NY6 game.
They will go for style points but not sure they are able. The offense has issues.
I’ll put a quatloo on A&M just to make the game interesting
And for all the game, spreads, picks and much much more - here is the 2020 Week 16 Bettors Guide
Mississippi State stunned the world with an opening weekend win over LSU. Since then they are 1-7 with the one win over lowly Vanderbilt.
This should a relatively low scoring game as both teams have decent defenses but offenses that can struggle.
I’ll lay a Mini Mega on the better team, the Tigers.
Texas A&M -14.0 @ Tennessee – It would take a whole lot of weirdness for the Aggies to make the CFP. But they can still play in a NY6 game.
They will go for style points but not sure they are able. The offense has issues.
I’ll put a quatloo on A&M just to make the game interesting
And for all the game, spreads, picks and much much more - here is the 2020 Week 16 Bettors Guide
2020_week_16_bettors_guide.xlsx |
Remember the 2021 GO JUMBO trip is Nov 13, 2021
And don't forget your drink coupons!
And don't forget your drink coupons!