OK, killer clowns, you had your fun. You had spent last weekend running around saying "on any given Saturday" and "that's why they play the game"
You get that week every year. Now its over. The big boys will show you what its like to play after the wake up call. Normalcy returns to College Football
Some of the big games this weekend
Penn State -9.5 vs Michigan - Game Day is in Happy Valley this week. Chief scUM Moron Desmond Howard will pick Michigan and will be wrong again.
Two factors for taking the Nits. It's not because of Saquan Barkely and the run game. It actually hasn't been doing all that great. He gets his yards catching the ball and special teams. Michigan will stop the run.
Franklin knows this so he will will bomb away on a shaky scUM secondary. Meanwhile, the overlooked Penn State defense will keep the pathetic Michigan offensive game scheming easily in check. The scUM coaches are fully aware that O'Kornhole locks onto receivers so the scUM passing game is simplistic at best. Penn State will easily sqaunch it
Oh, and its a revenge game for the shower monkeys at home. It's a large spread but I'll take Penn State for a Mega Bet as they go for style points for and expose an overrated Hairball.
You get that week every year. Now its over. The big boys will show you what its like to play after the wake up call. Normalcy returns to College Football
Some of the big games this weekend
Penn State -9.5 vs Michigan - Game Day is in Happy Valley this week. Chief scUM Moron Desmond Howard will pick Michigan and will be wrong again.
Two factors for taking the Nits. It's not because of Saquan Barkely and the run game. It actually hasn't been doing all that great. He gets his yards catching the ball and special teams. Michigan will stop the run.
Franklin knows this so he will will bomb away on a shaky scUM secondary. Meanwhile, the overlooked Penn State defense will keep the pathetic Michigan offensive game scheming easily in check. The scUM coaches are fully aware that O'Kornhole locks onto receivers so the scUM passing game is simplistic at best. Penn State will easily sqaunch it
Oh, and its a revenge game for the shower monkeys at home. It's a large spread but I'll take Penn State for a Mega Bet as they go for style points for and expose an overrated Hairball.
Notre Dame -3.5 vs USC - One benefactor of last week was Notre Dame. With so many upsets, the Domers haveing laying in wait - moving back into the playoff discussion.
Now is their chance on the big stage to make their case. USC has been good but not the juggernaut expected a thte beginning of the season. I'll take the Domers at home in what should be a good intense game. But according to the Joe rule - no quatloos.
Oklahoma State -7.0 @ Texas - After the loss to TCU and a little too close win over Texas Tech, Okie State is kind of over looked. Texas is coming off an emotional loss to Oklahoma last week.
I'll take the Pokes to roll up the score a little bit to get back some of that national attention from earlier in the year. Just a quatloo though.
Kansas State +14.5 vs Oklahoma - The Sooners are coming off a tough rivalry win over Texas after having been upset by Iowa State. Do they have anything left in the tank?
KSU has two wins over Div 1A teams. Take another look though. Those teams are winless. 14.5 points is too many for me so I'll take the WildCats. No quatloos.
Now is their chance on the big stage to make their case. USC has been good but not the juggernaut expected a thte beginning of the season. I'll take the Domers at home in what should be a good intense game. But according to the Joe rule - no quatloos.
Oklahoma State -7.0 @ Texas - After the loss to TCU and a little too close win over Texas Tech, Okie State is kind of over looked. Texas is coming off an emotional loss to Oklahoma last week.
I'll take the Pokes to roll up the score a little bit to get back some of that national attention from earlier in the year. Just a quatloo though.
Kansas State +14.5 vs Oklahoma - The Sooners are coming off a tough rivalry win over Texas after having been upset by Iowa State. Do they have anything left in the tank?
KSU has two wins over Div 1A teams. Take another look though. Those teams are winless. 14.5 points is too many for me so I'll take the WildCats. No quatloos.
Miami (FL) -17.0 vs Syracuse - Killer Clown #1 got the win in its own basement. Now they take to the road. I like what Dino Babers is doing up by the Finger Lakes but they aren't ready to splatter two in row. And not on the road.
That said, 17.0 is too much for me. I'll take the Cuse to cover. I'll make it part of the Point Whore Parlay
Central Florida -7.0 @ Navy - Easily one of the best games of the week. Forget about the Power Five, these two gang of Five teams are playing for a chance at the New Years Day slot.
UCF has been stout against the run. No team has over 200 yeards against an active Knight DL. Navy will get that but that's because that's all they do. But it'll take too long.
Meanwhile, the last time Navy faced a competent passing game they lost last week to Memphis 30-27 (while stil geting the Doofius the cover).
UCF is much batter at chucking it around the yard. I'll put them down for a Mini Mega.
Washington State -10.0 vs Colorado - The night cap game has last years defending PAC 12 champion visiting Wazzou coming off an upset. Colorado is looking like last year was a flash in the pan. Washington State is going to come out fired up after last Friday's loss. I'll lay a quatloo on the Cougars.
For my other Mega Bet I'll take
South Florida -11.0 @ Tulane - Tulane is making some noise this year in the AAC. Willie Fritz brought the triple option over from Georgia Southern and is now a tough out.
But South Florida is the cream of the Group of Five and like Penn State is going for style points to get to a New Year's Day game.
The Bulls will keep sending those love letters to the committee with a picture of the scoreboard.
That said, 17.0 is too much for me. I'll take the Cuse to cover. I'll make it part of the Point Whore Parlay
Central Florida -7.0 @ Navy - Easily one of the best games of the week. Forget about the Power Five, these two gang of Five teams are playing for a chance at the New Years Day slot.
UCF has been stout against the run. No team has over 200 yeards against an active Knight DL. Navy will get that but that's because that's all they do. But it'll take too long.
Meanwhile, the last time Navy faced a competent passing game they lost last week to Memphis 30-27 (while stil geting the Doofius the cover).
UCF is much batter at chucking it around the yard. I'll put them down for a Mini Mega.
Washington State -10.0 vs Colorado - The night cap game has last years defending PAC 12 champion visiting Wazzou coming off an upset. Colorado is looking like last year was a flash in the pan. Washington State is going to come out fired up after last Friday's loss. I'll lay a quatloo on the Cougars.
For my other Mega Bet I'll take
South Florida -11.0 @ Tulane - Tulane is making some noise this year in the AAC. Willie Fritz brought the triple option over from Georgia Southern and is now a tough out.
But South Florida is the cream of the Group of Five and like Penn State is going for style points to get to a New Year's Day game.
The Bulls will keep sending those love letters to the committee with a picture of the scoreboard.
Denver +1.5 @ LA Chargers - The NFL had their killer clown week last week too with teams like Denver getting beat by the dreadful NY Football Not So Giants. The Chargers shouldn't be favored over anyone outside the Browns and the Giants.
I'll put a Mega on the Broncos showing last week was just a fluke
Some other Mini Megas -
West Virginia -9.5 vs Baylor - Baylor has been getting a lot of kudos after their close loss to Oklahoma. But it's still a bad team. I like Matt Rhule as their coach but he has a lot of work to do.
West Virginia loses close in the big games but blows out the sisters of the poor. I'll take the Neers.
Atlanta +3.5 vs New England - If it weren't for Brady, New England would be pathetic. Even with him they are not the Pats of old. They have regressed starting with a bad OL.
Atlanta was a voctim of the Killer Clown week last week as they led by 17 over Buffalo and then got chainsawed. The Falcons will bounce back and win outright at home
And for this week's Point Whore Parlay I'll take
Syracuse +17.0 @ Miami (FL)
Kansas +38.5 @ TCU
Kentucky +13.0 @ Mississippi State
I'll put a Mega on the Broncos showing last week was just a fluke
Some other Mini Megas -
West Virginia -9.5 vs Baylor - Baylor has been getting a lot of kudos after their close loss to Oklahoma. But it's still a bad team. I like Matt Rhule as their coach but he has a lot of work to do.
West Virginia loses close in the big games but blows out the sisters of the poor. I'll take the Neers.
Atlanta +3.5 vs New England - If it weren't for Brady, New England would be pathetic. Even with him they are not the Pats of old. They have regressed starting with a bad OL.
Atlanta was a voctim of the Killer Clown week last week as they led by 17 over Buffalo and then got chainsawed. The Falcons will bounce back and win outright at home
And for this week's Point Whore Parlay I'll take
Syracuse +17.0 @ Miami (FL)
Kansas +38.5 @ TCU
Kentucky +13.0 @ Mississippi State
The Sheriff hopes to keep his winning streak going with
Cal (+3) vs Arizona. Khalil Tate has run for over 500 yards the past two weeks against Colorado and UCLA, but (and the Sheriff never thought he’d say this) Cal has a much better defense than either of those teams and has been very effective at keeping QBs in the pocket and stopping the run. If this game were in the Desert, he wouldn’t touch it but in Berkeley, the Bears can and will win this game.
Wash St (-10.5) vs Colorado. After getting beaten 37-3 by Cal last Friday, Wazzu will bounce back at home and beat a Colorado team that is the worst in the PAC-12 South. Cougs win big.
Purdue (-9) @ Rutgers. This is a critical game for the Boilermakers if they want to go bowling in 2017. Purdue hung tough against Wisconsin last week, and the Sheriff is betting they will come up with a similar effort on the road again this week in the swamps of Jersey.
Cal (+3) vs Arizona. Khalil Tate has run for over 500 yards the past two weeks against Colorado and UCLA, but (and the Sheriff never thought he’d say this) Cal has a much better defense than either of those teams and has been very effective at keeping QBs in the pocket and stopping the run. If this game were in the Desert, he wouldn’t touch it but in Berkeley, the Bears can and will win this game.
Wash St (-10.5) vs Colorado. After getting beaten 37-3 by Cal last Friday, Wazzu will bounce back at home and beat a Colorado team that is the worst in the PAC-12 South. Cougs win big.
Purdue (-9) @ Rutgers. This is a critical game for the Boilermakers if they want to go bowling in 2017. Purdue hung tough against Wisconsin last week, and the Sheriff is betting they will come up with a similar effort on the road again this week in the swamps of Jersey.
The Sax Man is making a mid season correction
RIP to the Saxman's weekly parlay. The entire premise of the parlay was that the NFL was becoming a top-heavy league and I couldn't have been more wrong. Underdogs have a 68% winning percentage ATS and Over .500 outright!!!
As they always say in B-School, beware the sunk cost fallacy. As a graduate of the best business school in the Southeast (rankings be damned), I feel like I should cut my losses and abandon what has obviously been a losing strategy.
With that in mind, I shall enter the first of what must be a promising weekly underdog teaser.
Three Team 6 point teaser:
San Fransciso (+12) vs Dallas
Washington (+11) at Philly
Arizona (+9.5) vs Rams
NCAA picks:
Iowa (-1.5) over Northwestern: This line would make a lot more sense if the 'Cats had a real home field advantage. Ryan field will be over run with Yellow as Iowa grads will take over Evanston and Iowa wins by at least a FG.
Notre Dame vs USC UNDER 65.5: I was contemplating taking ND -3.5 here as I think USC is having a classic underachieving year, but the only way I see USC winning is in a defensive slugfest similar to the UGA ND game in week 2.
I don't think USC can score on the Domers, so 65.5 is a lot of points for ND to achieve mostly on their own. My guess is a 28-17 win that has South Bend thinking playoffs and setting up for disappointment against NC State.
And for all the picks, spreads and much much more here is this week's bettors guide
RIP to the Saxman's weekly parlay. The entire premise of the parlay was that the NFL was becoming a top-heavy league and I couldn't have been more wrong. Underdogs have a 68% winning percentage ATS and Over .500 outright!!!
As they always say in B-School, beware the sunk cost fallacy. As a graduate of the best business school in the Southeast (rankings be damned), I feel like I should cut my losses and abandon what has obviously been a losing strategy.
With that in mind, I shall enter the first of what must be a promising weekly underdog teaser.
Three Team 6 point teaser:
San Fransciso (+12) vs Dallas
Washington (+11) at Philly
Arizona (+9.5) vs Rams
NCAA picks:
Iowa (-1.5) over Northwestern: This line would make a lot more sense if the 'Cats had a real home field advantage. Ryan field will be over run with Yellow as Iowa grads will take over Evanston and Iowa wins by at least a FG.
Notre Dame vs USC UNDER 65.5: I was contemplating taking ND -3.5 here as I think USC is having a classic underachieving year, but the only way I see USC winning is in a defensive slugfest similar to the UGA ND game in week 2.
I don't think USC can score on the Domers, so 65.5 is a lot of points for ND to achieve mostly on their own. My guess is a 28-17 win that has South Bend thinking playoffs and setting up for disappointment against NC State.
And for all the picks, spreads and much much more here is this week's bettors guide
2017 Week 8 Bettors Guide.xlsx |