Game Day will be in Knoxville to see if Tennessee can end an horrific losing streak. The Vols have lost 11 straight to Florida. The last time the Vols beat the gators was back in 2004. The Big Flippy came up with a trivia question – which 3 Div 1A head coaches are still coaching their same schools since that day. – Answer below.
This game is always tight. Add in Tennessee is 8-18 as a favorite I’ll take the Gators and the points.
A key matchup in the Hot Seat Playoffs as Auburn’s Gus Malzahn hosts LSU’s Les Miles tonight. Loser of this game will also get tagged with a loss by Saban too and on his way out. Both teams are radioactive for bettors. LSU is 5-10-1 ATS while Auburn is 5-16. I borrowed the Big Flippy and it came up LSU. Sorry Big Guy.
Wisconsin kicks off a nasty streak of games. Starting with #8 Michigan State they play @#4 Michigan, host #2 Ohio State, @ Iowa (# 13 last week until the gaffe against NoDak State) and host #20 Nebraska. Johnny E is gearing up for a long losing streak. Bucky will likely be the dog in all those games. I always pick State so no need to look up my pick for this game.
This game is always tight. Add in Tennessee is 8-18 as a favorite I’ll take the Gators and the points.
A key matchup in the Hot Seat Playoffs as Auburn’s Gus Malzahn hosts LSU’s Les Miles tonight. Loser of this game will also get tagged with a loss by Saban too and on his way out. Both teams are radioactive for bettors. LSU is 5-10-1 ATS while Auburn is 5-16. I borrowed the Big Flippy and it came up LSU. Sorry Big Guy.
Wisconsin kicks off a nasty streak of games. Starting with #8 Michigan State they play @#4 Michigan, host #2 Ohio State, @ Iowa (# 13 last week until the gaffe against NoDak State) and host #20 Nebraska. Johnny E is gearing up for a long losing streak. Bucky will likely be the dog in all those games. I always pick State so no need to look up my pick for this game.
lorida State was given a hydrogen bomb super atomic wedgie last week – losing to Louisville 63-20. This week they travel to Tampa to play South Florida. This one has a couple of conflicting betting angles. I love taking the angry rebound angle which would favor the Nole’s. But the Bulls will be fired up for this game too wanting to take down their in state big brother.
The Bulls are like our own personal ATM in Vegas going 11-1 during the regular season. I’ll stick with the angry rebound and take FSU laying 5.5.
There is an interesting betting angle today when Bama hosts Kent State laying 44. With the over/under at 50 I’m going to take Kent State and the over. The only way you lose both is if Bama wins by a score like 49-0 or 45-3. It’s a tight window. If the Zips get a late TD against the 3rd string one of the bets is automatic and likely both.
The Bulls are like our own personal ATM in Vegas going 11-1 during the regular season. I’ll stick with the angry rebound and take FSU laying 5.5.
There is an interesting betting angle today when Bama hosts Kent State laying 44. With the over/under at 50 I’m going to take Kent State and the over. The only way you lose both is if Bama wins by a score like 49-0 or 45-3. It’s a tight window. If the Zips get a late TD against the 3rd string one of the bets is automatic and likely both.
All those games are quatloo bets at best For this weeks Mega Bets I’ll go with
East Carolina +12.0 @ Virginia Tech – The Pirate own the ACC. Over the last three years they are 5-1 straight up. ECU’s QB Philip Nelson is going gangbusters this year hitting on 79% of his passes for 1,095 yards, 7 TDs and 3 picks. And it wasn’t against cupcakes either. He threw for 400 yards against South Carolina last week.
ECU is 6-2 ATS vs Va Tech since 2006 and 8-4 as a dog since 2013. Va Tech is8-17-1 as a home favorite. I’ll take the points.
Oklahoma State +8.0 @ Baylor – OSU QB Mason Rudolph has been on fore throwing for over 1,000 yards 6TDs and only one pick. And that was aainst some quality defenses in Pitt and Central Michigan.
Baylor has started slowly in games against cupcakes SMU and Rice. By the time they wake up they will be down a couple of scores.
Betting on Baylor will drain your wallet. They are 1-8 ATS and 2-6 as a home favorite.
I’ll take the over TD points.
San Diego +2.0 @ Indianapolis – Phil Rivers is going to torch a depleted Colt secondary. The Colts travel to London next week which has been lethal for teams and the spread.
San Diego is 5-1 against Indy and 19-8-1 as a road underdog. The Colts are 2-5-1 as a favorite at Lucas Oil field.
I’ll go with a couple of Mini Megas too with
Notre Dame -20.5 vs Duke – Bruce is in a meltdown over this pick but I’ll take the Domers in a bounce back scenario.
Arkansas +6.0 @ Texas A&M – Arkansas is 9-2 ATS as a dog. Both teams are relying on defense this year. In a low scoring game I’ll take the points.
For all of this weeks spreads, picks times and much much more here is the 2016 Week 4 Bettors Guide
East Carolina +12.0 @ Virginia Tech – The Pirate own the ACC. Over the last three years they are 5-1 straight up. ECU’s QB Philip Nelson is going gangbusters this year hitting on 79% of his passes for 1,095 yards, 7 TDs and 3 picks. And it wasn’t against cupcakes either. He threw for 400 yards against South Carolina last week.
ECU is 6-2 ATS vs Va Tech since 2006 and 8-4 as a dog since 2013. Va Tech is8-17-1 as a home favorite. I’ll take the points.
Oklahoma State +8.0 @ Baylor – OSU QB Mason Rudolph has been on fore throwing for over 1,000 yards 6TDs and only one pick. And that was aainst some quality defenses in Pitt and Central Michigan.
Baylor has started slowly in games against cupcakes SMU and Rice. By the time they wake up they will be down a couple of scores.
Betting on Baylor will drain your wallet. They are 1-8 ATS and 2-6 as a home favorite.
I’ll take the over TD points.
San Diego +2.0 @ Indianapolis – Phil Rivers is going to torch a depleted Colt secondary. The Colts travel to London next week which has been lethal for teams and the spread.
San Diego is 5-1 against Indy and 19-8-1 as a road underdog. The Colts are 2-5-1 as a favorite at Lucas Oil field.
I’ll go with a couple of Mini Megas too with
Notre Dame -20.5 vs Duke – Bruce is in a meltdown over this pick but I’ll take the Domers in a bounce back scenario.
Arkansas +6.0 @ Texas A&M – Arkansas is 9-2 ATS as a dog. Both teams are relying on defense this year. In a low scoring game I’ll take the points.
For all of this weeks spreads, picks times and much much more here is the 2016 Week 4 Bettors Guide
2016 Week 4 Bettors Guide |
The Sheriff has an amazing ability to pick the pushes betting on both last week. This week he goes with:
Cal/Arizona State (OVER 82.5). Cal has averaged 47.0 points in its first 3 games and Arizona State has averaged 48.0 points. Neither team has much of a defense so it should be a shootout in the Desert Saturday night. The Sheriff is good at math so he will take the OVER.
Doofus – Overs are always fun bets. Especially with these two teams. Cal is 3-0 with overs and ASU is 2-0.
Washington (-9.5) over Arizona. It’s a little premature to say Washington is legit after feasting on 3 cupcakes (Rutgers, Idaho, and Portland State) by a combined score of 148-30, but it’s not too premature to say that RichRod’s Wildcats definitely suck. This is a trap game for Washington because it has a showdown with Stanford next week, but Chris Peterson is too good of a coach to let his team take this game lightly. Huskies win big.
Doofus – Good call. Huskies are on a 5-1 win streak ATS and have covered the last three in a row. Zona is 2-6 as the dog. Could be a look ahead game for the Huskies as they face Stanford next week.
Stanford (-3) over UCLA. UCLA actually opened as a (1) point favorite, but the money has been flowing Stanford’s way and currently the Cardinal are a 3-point favorite. It’s understandable the line moved because Stanford has absolutely owned the Bruins in the Jim Mora era, beating them 8 consecutive times. The Sheriff was VERY tempted to take the points and the Bruins, but he can’t bet against the dominance of the Cardinal. Stanford will win this one, but these two teams may meet again in the PAC-12 Championship game.
Doofus – Another good call. The Tree owns UCLA going 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS. Stanford is also 8-2 ATS away from the Farm
Trivia answers - Les Miles, Bob Stoops and Kirk Ferentz
Cal/Arizona State (OVER 82.5). Cal has averaged 47.0 points in its first 3 games and Arizona State has averaged 48.0 points. Neither team has much of a defense so it should be a shootout in the Desert Saturday night. The Sheriff is good at math so he will take the OVER.
Doofus – Overs are always fun bets. Especially with these two teams. Cal is 3-0 with overs and ASU is 2-0.
Washington (-9.5) over Arizona. It’s a little premature to say Washington is legit after feasting on 3 cupcakes (Rutgers, Idaho, and Portland State) by a combined score of 148-30, but it’s not too premature to say that RichRod’s Wildcats definitely suck. This is a trap game for Washington because it has a showdown with Stanford next week, but Chris Peterson is too good of a coach to let his team take this game lightly. Huskies win big.
Doofus – Good call. Huskies are on a 5-1 win streak ATS and have covered the last three in a row. Zona is 2-6 as the dog. Could be a look ahead game for the Huskies as they face Stanford next week.
Stanford (-3) over UCLA. UCLA actually opened as a (1) point favorite, but the money has been flowing Stanford’s way and currently the Cardinal are a 3-point favorite. It’s understandable the line moved because Stanford has absolutely owned the Bruins in the Jim Mora era, beating them 8 consecutive times. The Sheriff was VERY tempted to take the points and the Bruins, but he can’t bet against the dominance of the Cardinal. Stanford will win this one, but these two teams may meet again in the PAC-12 Championship game.
Doofus – Another good call. The Tree owns UCLA going 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS. Stanford is also 8-2 ATS away from the Farm
Trivia answers - Les Miles, Bob Stoops and Kirk Ferentz