
Lots of interesting games this week with plenty of story lines.
The Red River Shootout. How hot will the seat get for Charlie Strong if Texas gets blown out against Oklahoma?
Is this Randy Edsall's last game coaching Maryland? He's a 33 point dog vs Ohio State
Who would have thought that the biggest game of unbeatens in the Big 12 would be Cal @ Utah. It's Game Day in the Beehive state.
The Sax Man is hoping that Georgia Tech can pull out of its nosedive and upset Clemson in a post ND hangover
South Carolina got flooded out so their match against LSU has moved to Baton Rouge. Tiger fans know the feeling. In 2005 after Hurricane Katrina the moved their home game against Arizona State to Tempe.
After two straight weeks of horrendously blown calls going their way - will T Boone Pickens pony up for a third against West Virginia?
Can Al Golden save his job at Miami (FL) by upsetting Florida State?
I'll be sure to watch those games along with this weeks Mega Bets:
The Red River Shootout. How hot will the seat get for Charlie Strong if Texas gets blown out against Oklahoma?
Is this Randy Edsall's last game coaching Maryland? He's a 33 point dog vs Ohio State
Who would have thought that the biggest game of unbeatens in the Big 12 would be Cal @ Utah. It's Game Day in the Beehive state.
The Sax Man is hoping that Georgia Tech can pull out of its nosedive and upset Clemson in a post ND hangover
South Carolina got flooded out so their match against LSU has moved to Baton Rouge. Tiger fans know the feeling. In 2005 after Hurricane Katrina the moved their home game against Arizona State to Tempe.
After two straight weeks of horrendously blown calls going their way - will T Boone Pickens pony up for a third against West Virginia?
Can Al Golden save his job at Miami (FL) by upsetting Florida State?
I'll be sure to watch those games along with this weeks Mega Bets:

Wisconsin +1.0 @ Nebraska - Two teams coming off ugly losses. Nebraska’s was uglier. I’ve been pounding on the HC Mike Riley hire since the start. Last week is an example why.
Leading 13-7, Nebraska had the ball 3rd and 7 at the Illinois 27. 1 minute left. Illinois has no time outs. All QB Tommy Armstrong has to do is run it and the game is over. He rolls out and passes. Incomplete and the clock stops.
Riley threw Armstrong under the bus saying he was surprised by the pass. Well, if he called for the pass it was a complete bonehead move. If he didn’t then he didn’t coach up Armstrong too well. With 55 seconds to go Illinois drove 73 yards for the winning score.
Wisconsin lost too but to a much better team – Iowa. It was a 10-6 defensive slugfest. The Badgers did themselves in when QB Joel Stave fumbled the ball away at the Iowa 1 yard line with 8 minutes left in the game. Then with a minute left, the Badgers got to the Iowa 16 but turned it over on downs.
Despite the loss, Wisconsin is playing much better than Nebraska. Bucky has the fourth best defense in points allowed (9.6) and and have allowed opponents to only score on 13.1% of their possession - 2nd best overall.
Nebraska's 12th best run defense is going to be challenged by Wisconsin's traditionally strong power running game. It will help that Nebraska is the most penalized team in the country.
Some conflicting trends here. While Wisconsin has lost five straight Big Ten road openers, they have schooled Nebraska over the last few years. Last year it was a 59-24 Bucky win. The Badgers have gone 4-0 ATS in all their games against Nebraska.
Leading 13-7, Nebraska had the ball 3rd and 7 at the Illinois 27. 1 minute left. Illinois has no time outs. All QB Tommy Armstrong has to do is run it and the game is over. He rolls out and passes. Incomplete and the clock stops.
Riley threw Armstrong under the bus saying he was surprised by the pass. Well, if he called for the pass it was a complete bonehead move. If he didn’t then he didn’t coach up Armstrong too well. With 55 seconds to go Illinois drove 73 yards for the winning score.
Wisconsin lost too but to a much better team – Iowa. It was a 10-6 defensive slugfest. The Badgers did themselves in when QB Joel Stave fumbled the ball away at the Iowa 1 yard line with 8 minutes left in the game. Then with a minute left, the Badgers got to the Iowa 16 but turned it over on downs.
Despite the loss, Wisconsin is playing much better than Nebraska. Bucky has the fourth best defense in points allowed (9.6) and and have allowed opponents to only score on 13.1% of their possession - 2nd best overall.
Nebraska's 12th best run defense is going to be challenged by Wisconsin's traditionally strong power running game. It will help that Nebraska is the most penalized team in the country.
Some conflicting trends here. While Wisconsin has lost five straight Big Ten road openers, they have schooled Nebraska over the last few years. Last year it was a 59-24 Bucky win. The Badgers have gone 4-0 ATS in all their games against Nebraska.

Georgia -3.0 @ Tennessee – Yea, it was that ugly last weekend Dawg fans. As Hatin Ass Spurrier said “Last time 22 Georgians got flattened that quickly the roof fell in at a Waffle House.”
But Georgia isn’t that bad. They just ran into a buzzsaw. Alabama was a bad matchup for the Bulldogs even without being pissed after a loss to Ole Miss. They have a great run defense and forced Greyson Lambert to beat them. He couldn’t. After missing only two passes all season he went 10-24 for 86 yards.
Tennessee won’t be able to limit RB Nick Chubb. They got gouged by Arkansas for 275 yards last week. Chubb has 13 straight games with over 100 yards rushing. He will get his 14th straight with room to spare.
Tennessee is 5-0. At least if the games were only 30 minutes. But they are 60 and the Vols are 2-3. In the three losses they had leads of 14 points only to blow it in the second half. Tennessee just can’t finish games. Of 127 FBS schools, 6 have led by 13+ every game. Florida St, Baylor, LSU, Navy, Temple & Tennessee.The Vols are 2-3. Those others are 20-0. When other teams face adversity the persevere and win. Tennessee folds.
With Chubb grinding it out and Lambert finding his groove again, Tennessee won’t even get the lead this week.
Some conflicting trends too - Georgia is 0-3 ATS vs Tennessee as a result of the last three games being decided by a FG. However, the Vols are 4-9 ATS in Knoxville while the Dawgs are 4-2 as a road favorite.
But Georgia isn’t that bad. They just ran into a buzzsaw. Alabama was a bad matchup for the Bulldogs even without being pissed after a loss to Ole Miss. They have a great run defense and forced Greyson Lambert to beat them. He couldn’t. After missing only two passes all season he went 10-24 for 86 yards.
Tennessee won’t be able to limit RB Nick Chubb. They got gouged by Arkansas for 275 yards last week. Chubb has 13 straight games with over 100 yards rushing. He will get his 14th straight with room to spare.
Tennessee is 5-0. At least if the games were only 30 minutes. But they are 60 and the Vols are 2-3. In the three losses they had leads of 14 points only to blow it in the second half. Tennessee just can’t finish games. Of 127 FBS schools, 6 have led by 13+ every game. Florida St, Baylor, LSU, Navy, Temple & Tennessee.The Vols are 2-3. Those others are 20-0. When other teams face adversity the persevere and win. Tennessee folds.
With Chubb grinding it out and Lambert finding his groove again, Tennessee won’t even get the lead this week.
Some conflicting trends too - Georgia is 0-3 ATS vs Tennessee as a result of the last three games being decided by a FG. However, the Vols are 4-9 ATS in Knoxville while the Dawgs are 4-2 as a road favorite.

Green Bay -9.0 vs St Louis - I hate giving this many points on any NFL game, especially one where the public is pounding the Pack. But Aaron Rodgers is f&*cking incredible in Lambeua. He has not thrown a pick at home since the 13th game of the 2012 season. Including the playoffs he has thrown 545 passes and 45 TD passes without a pick.
Amazing.
His quick passing will negate a strong Ram pass rush. The Rams rush defense is not that good meaning the Eddy Lacy will join in the fun. It doesn't help that St Louis lost their top tackler last week - LB Alec Ogletree.
The Rams won't be able to keep up with Rodgers as St Louis QB Nick Foles is the NFL's worst in yards per game and first downs. They are also 25th in points per game.
The trends favor the Pack. The Rams are 5-12 vs the spread on the road since 2013. Green Bay is 8-1-1 vs the spread at home during regular season since 2014,
Mike will be at the game. Should be a good one for the home team.
Amazing.
His quick passing will negate a strong Ram pass rush. The Rams rush defense is not that good meaning the Eddy Lacy will join in the fun. It doesn't help that St Louis lost their top tackler last week - LB Alec Ogletree.
The Rams won't be able to keep up with Rodgers as St Louis QB Nick Foles is the NFL's worst in yards per game and first downs. They are also 25th in points per game.
The trends favor the Pack. The Rams are 5-12 vs the spread on the road since 2013. Green Bay is 8-1-1 vs the spread at home during regular season since 2014,
Mike will be at the game. Should be a good one for the home team.

The Mini Megas have being doing pretty good this year. This week I'm going with:
Central Michigan +7.5 @ Western Michigan – These teams are about equal. Both teams hung tough against their Big Ten opponents. It’s a rivalry game. I’ll take the TD and the hook.
Northwestern +7.5 @ Michigan – I would Mega Bet this game if I didn’t want to jinx it. These two teams are identical. Great defenses and struggling offenses. Their best wins were over West Coast teams playing at noon. Northwestern’s win over Standford is looking a lot better than scUM’s over BYU.
Michigan fans are about to find out why Iowa let QB Jake Rudock go. He'll turn it over and the Cats will roll.
UConn +2.5 @ Central Florida – I’ll test the Big Al Rule for non Vegas Weekends by taking UConn to win outright over the most disappointing team in Div 1A.
UConn might not be very good but the defense is OK. UCF HC George O'Leary said he will retire at the end of the season. This year they are arguably the worst team in Div 1A. Looks like he got the retirement off to an early start.
A bar down in Orlando was serving free beer until UCF wins. They ran out last weekend. Hope they bought extra this week.
For the Point Whore Parlay I'll take:
Arkansas +16.0 @ Alabama
Wyoming +23.5 @ Air Force
Maryland +33.0 @ Ohio S
Central Michigan +7.5 @ Western Michigan – These teams are about equal. Both teams hung tough against their Big Ten opponents. It’s a rivalry game. I’ll take the TD and the hook.
Northwestern +7.5 @ Michigan – I would Mega Bet this game if I didn’t want to jinx it. These two teams are identical. Great defenses and struggling offenses. Their best wins were over West Coast teams playing at noon. Northwestern’s win over Standford is looking a lot better than scUM’s over BYU.
Michigan fans are about to find out why Iowa let QB Jake Rudock go. He'll turn it over and the Cats will roll.
UConn +2.5 @ Central Florida – I’ll test the Big Al Rule for non Vegas Weekends by taking UConn to win outright over the most disappointing team in Div 1A.
UConn might not be very good but the defense is OK. UCF HC George O'Leary said he will retire at the end of the season. This year they are arguably the worst team in Div 1A. Looks like he got the retirement off to an early start.
A bar down in Orlando was serving free beer until UCF wins. They ran out last weekend. Hope they bought extra this week.
For the Point Whore Parlay I'll take:
Arkansas +16.0 @ Alabama
Wyoming +23.5 @ Air Force
Maryland +33.0 @ Ohio S
After going 1-2 the last few weeks, the Sheriff is going to try to channel his “inner Dude” and come up with some better picks this week.
Utah (-7) over Cal. It pains me to bet against my Bears, but my money will be on the Utes this week. The offensive line didn’t protect Goff very well last week, and if Utah gets as many hits on him as Wazzou did, Jared will be leaving that field on a stretcher. Another factor working against Cal is that Gameday will be in Utah. Cal tends to wilt on the Big Stage and they haven’t played a primetime game in years. Utah had a bye last week so they have had two weeks to prepare for the Bears. In all honesty, I’m surprised this isn’t a double digit spread – I expect the Utes to win this game easily.
Washington State (+17) over Oregon. Wazzou has an excellent sophomore QB in Luke Falk and a great wide receiver in Gabe Marks. If not for a few inopportune turnovers, the Cougs could have easily beaten Cal last week in Berkeley. In addition to a great passing game, Washington State has a touch defensive line that pressured Goff all day and kept the Bear’s running game in check. The Cougs will give the Ducks a much tougher game than many people expect.
USC (-17) over Washington. The Huskies simply don’t have the talent to keep up with the Condoms. Chris Petersen is going to need at least another year to mold that team in his image. Right now, Washington is playing a lot of inexperience kids (including an 18-year old true freshman QB Jake Browning) who are bound to be intimidated playing on a nationally televised, Thursday night platform. The only way the Huskies stay in this game is if USC shows up with its typical arrogance and sense of entitlement (wait a minute, that’s exactly how USC normally shows up … mmmm …. ) No, I can’t do it. I will take the hated ones and lay the 17.
Doofus: I liked the Washington defense and took the Huskies. It paid off as Washington won the game outright 17-12.
Utah (-7) over Cal. It pains me to bet against my Bears, but my money will be on the Utes this week. The offensive line didn’t protect Goff very well last week, and if Utah gets as many hits on him as Wazzou did, Jared will be leaving that field on a stretcher. Another factor working against Cal is that Gameday will be in Utah. Cal tends to wilt on the Big Stage and they haven’t played a primetime game in years. Utah had a bye last week so they have had two weeks to prepare for the Bears. In all honesty, I’m surprised this isn’t a double digit spread – I expect the Utes to win this game easily.
Washington State (+17) over Oregon. Wazzou has an excellent sophomore QB in Luke Falk and a great wide receiver in Gabe Marks. If not for a few inopportune turnovers, the Cougs could have easily beaten Cal last week in Berkeley. In addition to a great passing game, Washington State has a touch defensive line that pressured Goff all day and kept the Bear’s running game in check. The Cougs will give the Ducks a much tougher game than many people expect.
USC (-17) over Washington. The Huskies simply don’t have the talent to keep up with the Condoms. Chris Petersen is going to need at least another year to mold that team in his image. Right now, Washington is playing a lot of inexperience kids (including an 18-year old true freshman QB Jake Browning) who are bound to be intimidated playing on a nationally televised, Thursday night platform. The only way the Huskies stay in this game is if USC shows up with its typical arrogance and sense of entitlement (wait a minute, that’s exactly how USC normally shows up … mmmm …. ) No, I can’t do it. I will take the hated ones and lay the 17.
Doofus: I liked the Washington defense and took the Huskies. It paid off as Washington won the game outright 17-12.
And for all of this weeks spread, picks, times and much much more here is the Week 6 Bettors Guide

Week 6 Bettors Guide |
Remember - the 2015 GO JUMBO trip is Nov 7th at the Westgate Resort