Sometimes you just need a little help getting started It's the GO JUMBO weekend! Plenty of football, adult beverages, cigars and retelling the same old stories with the gang!
And a chance to see if you can Vegas for a little coin.
But with so many games who do you pick? It can be overwhelming. There are 50 lined games in college football this week and another 14 NFL games.
Well, you can just put money down on your favorite teams or against your despised rivals. That works (rarely)
Or you could pull some all nighters and catch up on your research. But you'll miss a a ton of fun as the rest of us are hitting the bars.
Mike will be bringing the Big Flippy but what fun is that?
Or you can distill down the lines into a manageable list and choose from there.
Here are some angles that have had success this year and in the past. Some teams are listed more than once so a good trend may be in the making.
I've used the opening lines. These lines are subject to change, sometimes significantly, so check your picks when you get to the Westgate Sportsbook.
I'll be updating my spreadsheet so for a cocktail I can give you the latest lines
Don't blindly take the selections - but it can help winnow down who to take (and avoid bad picks too)
College Football
Away teams with spread of 3.0 or less
Based on the Week 10 analysis these situations have won nearly 60% so far this year.
East Carolina
Clemson
Florida State
Pitt
Texas
Georgia Southern
Nevada
LSU
Auburn
Rebound scenario - good teams that lost last week
LSU
Oklahoma
Kansas State
Notre Dame
Utah
Auburn
West Virginia
Michigan State
Got my win out of the way - bad teams coming off a win (avoid these teams)
Kansas
Washington State
Texas A&M
Sagarin Point Differential - This angle has worked in the past but is so-so this year
Cincinnati
Southern Miss
Central Florida
Duke
Rice
BYU
Nevada
Utah State
Arizona State
Utah
Arkansas State
Idaho
Alabama
LSU
Florida
Auburn
Tennessee
And a chance to see if you can Vegas for a little coin.
But with so many games who do you pick? It can be overwhelming. There are 50 lined games in college football this week and another 14 NFL games.
Well, you can just put money down on your favorite teams or against your despised rivals. That works (rarely)
Or you could pull some all nighters and catch up on your research. But you'll miss a a ton of fun as the rest of us are hitting the bars.
Mike will be bringing the Big Flippy but what fun is that?
Or you can distill down the lines into a manageable list and choose from there.
Here are some angles that have had success this year and in the past. Some teams are listed more than once so a good trend may be in the making.
I've used the opening lines. These lines are subject to change, sometimes significantly, so check your picks when you get to the Westgate Sportsbook.
I'll be updating my spreadsheet so for a cocktail I can give you the latest lines
Don't blindly take the selections - but it can help winnow down who to take (and avoid bad picks too)
College Football
Away teams with spread of 3.0 or less
Based on the Week 10 analysis these situations have won nearly 60% so far this year.
East Carolina
Clemson
Florida State
Pitt
Texas
Georgia Southern
Nevada
LSU
Auburn
Rebound scenario - good teams that lost last week
LSU
Oklahoma
Kansas State
Notre Dame
Utah
Auburn
West Virginia
Michigan State
Got my win out of the way - bad teams coming off a win (avoid these teams)
Kansas
Washington State
Texas A&M
Sagarin Point Differential - This angle has worked in the past but is so-so this year
Cincinnati
Southern Miss
Central Florida
Duke
Rice
BYU
Nevada
Utah State
Arizona State
Utah
Arkansas State
Idaho
Alabama
LSU
Florida
Auburn
Tennessee
USC has dominated Cal History over the last nine years against the spread
Southern Cal 8-1 over Cal
Tulane 4-0 over Memphis
Arkansas 7-2 over LSU
Tennessee 7-2 over Kentucky
Revenge Game - favored team that lost last year to this week's opponent
South Florida -11.5 @ SMU
Marshall -21.0 vs Rice
UTEP -5.5 vs North Texas
Western Michigan -25.5 vs Eastern Michigan
Air Force -2.0 vs Nevada
Boise State -14.0 vs San Diego State
Arizona -9.0 vs Washington
Stanford -7.5 vs Utah
South Alabama -4.5 vs Texas State
UL Lafayette -7.0 @ UL Monroe
Arkansas -2.5 vs LSU
Florida -6.5 vs South Carolina
Georgia -2.5 vs Auburn
Texas A&M
GO JUMBO record
Never won on the GO JUMBO weekend - Tennessee (0-9)
Almost as bad - Buffalo (1-6), Colorado (1-8), SMU (1-7)
Never lost on the GO JUMBO weekend- Arkansas (7-0)
Almost as good - Missouri (7-1)
NFL
Favorites with spread less than 3.0 - This angle has been winning over 55%
Kansas City
Arizona
Indianapolis
Underdogs with spread greater than 3.0
Buffalo
Cincinnati
NY Giants
St Louis
Tampa Bay
Oakland
Tennessee
History against the spread over the last 9 years
Buffalo 10-7-1 vs Miami
Houston 4-1 vs Cleveland
Tampa Bay 4-1-1 vs Washington
Pat Time Zone Angle - West Coast teams playing a 1:00 game - play against these teams
San Francisco @ NY Giants
Seattle @ Kansas City
And here is a useful GO JUMBO betting tracker. One for the College games and one for the NFL.
It has the betting number which is very handy when going up to the window with your winning picks. And it helps find your picks on the betting boards in the Sportsbook. Those things are huge but are in numerical order.
It also has the teams, times, opening spreads and room to put in your bet. Very handy for tracking your winnings.
| Betting Tracking Sheet - College.pdf |
| Betting Tracking Sheet - NFL.pdf |
See you in a couple days
