Fear the Dark Side Now this is just a little too strange for me. Bill Belichick signs Tim Tebow. There is a great media circus but it really didn’t mean anything. Tebow isn’t going to replace Brady at QB. He might get some time in a Wildcat or as a tight end. But it doesn’t really move the needle on how the Pats are going to do this year.
Then, TE Aaron Hernandez goes off and caps some semi pro football player – or at least was somehow involved (inserting allegedly to placate Dobby). And with Rob Gronkowski becoming an injury riddled head case -suddenly the Patriots need a TE! How nice that Tebow is on the roster. I’m not a big one for coincidences but I’m sure the Massachusetts’s DA office is checking with the NSA to get a copy of Belichcik’s phone calls to Hernandez and Tebow.
Over in College Football - No sooner than Vegas got done posting all the spreads for the 2013 NFL season when they got busy posting the spreads for 250 of the top NCAA Div 1A games too!!
And of course the Doofus has loaded every single spread along with the latest game times and TV listings – just so you can be prepared for the upcoming season.
Then, TE Aaron Hernandez goes off and caps some semi pro football player – or at least was somehow involved (inserting allegedly to placate Dobby). And with Rob Gronkowski becoming an injury riddled head case -suddenly the Patriots need a TE! How nice that Tebow is on the roster. I’m not a big one for coincidences but I’m sure the Massachusetts’s DA office is checking with the NSA to get a copy of Belichcik’s phone calls to Hernandez and Tebow.
Over in College Football - No sooner than Vegas got done posting all the spreads for the 2013 NFL season when they got busy posting the spreads for 250 of the top NCAA Div 1A games too!!
And of course the Doofus has loaded every single spread along with the latest game times and TV listings – just so you can be prepared for the upcoming season.
| 2013 Div 1A Weekly Bettors Guide.xls |
The Doofus has been hard at work updating all the lines And some interesting angles pop out when taking a look at the preseason lines.
1. The Strip is expecting big things out of the defending champs. Vegas lined 10 of the Tide’s 12 games. Bama is expected to win 9 of those games by double digits. The only single digit spread is as a 6 point favorite when the travel to Kyle field in a revenge match against Texas A&M. They are also favored by 11.5 in Tuscaloosa versus LSU. The Tide opens as a 17 point chalk in the opener in the Georgia Dome versus Va Tech. They are also favored by 24 over Auburn in the Iron Bowl. The Big Guy is rolling his eyes over that one.
2. Speaking of the War Eagles, Auburn is favored in only one game this year – their opener at home versus Washington State. They are dogs in their other 7 lined games including at Texas A&M (24.0), home versus Georgia (15.0) and at Tennessee (8.0). I think new HC Gus Malzahn will pop a few surprises on the bookies this year.
3. A win against Florida in the Sugar Bowl and the Louisville Cardinal bandwagon is way past fire marshal occupancy ratings. The Cardinals are favored in all nine of their lined games. The only non-double digit chalk is at Cincinnati (3.0). Teams that vault in the preseason rankings (Louisville is usually ranked somewhere around 10th) due to a big bowl win typically disappoint. And while I like what HC Charlie Strong is doing down at Papa John stadium – I’ll be looking to fade his squad this year. Louisville will not be winning the National Championship in Basketball and Football this year.
4. LSU is not getting their usual amount of love this year. The Bayou Bengals are favored in 6 of their lined games and dogs in the other three. All their dog games are away from Baton Rouge - @ Georgia (6.0) @ Bama (11.5) and somewhat surprisingly @ Ole Miss (2.0). I kinda like Les Miles’ squads when they are overlooked.
5. Despite the improvements in the Georgia Tech defense in the second half of last year and a new DC in Ted Roof – The Wreck is a favorite in only one game this year – versus North Carolina. The Sax Man and Ellis are giving me wildly conflicting advice on that game. Meanwhile, GT is a dog in 5 other games. Getting points against Georgia (9.0) and Clemson (also 9.0) was expected but getting 7.0 @ Miami (FL) sounds like a nice opportunity to back the triple option.
6. Georgia was a play away from playing in the National Championship game and Vegas hasn’t forgotten. The Dawgs are favored in all 9 of their lined games (they don’t play Bama in the regular season). Three of the spreads are pretty tight though - @ Clemson (3.5); versus South Carolina (4.0) and in the world’s largest outdoor cocktail party Florida (4.0). Going to be an interesting year between the hedges.
7. For all the ass kissing that Michigan gets from the preseason publications – Vegas is not dumb enough to give away their money. The Wolvies are 5-3-1 in their 9 lined games. The one push is home versus Notre Dame. And Vegas knows how to read through the BS. They have posted Michigan State as 3.0 favorites in East Lansing. They got that line right!
8. That doesn’t mean that Vegas is always right. They have the Spartans as favorites in 4 games and dogs in three others – @ Notre Dame (6.0); @ Nebraska (6.0) and @ Northwestern (3.0). State blew a bunch of games last year late but kept them close. Take the Green and White when they are getting more than 3. And here is an interesting stat – Over the last 4 years MSU has won more conference games than any other team in the Big 10 at 27.
9. Bruce’s Northwestern Purple Haze is favored in 7 games and dogs in 2. High expectations in Evanston this year as HC Pat Fitzgerald’s squad is considered to be a dark horse team to go to Pasadena. Winning 10 games for only the second time in school history will do that. Getting 8.0 points at home versus Ohio State is no surprise but getting 6.0 @ Wisconsin sounds a bit much. The Badgers will be breaking in a new offensive scheme this year and should flounder early this year (game is Oct 5th).
10. Ohio State went undefeated last year and if the spreads are right they will win all their games this year too. The Bucknuts are favored in all 10 of their lined games. 8 of those games are expected to be blow outs as OSU is favored in double digits. The two single digit games are on the road - @ Michigan (6.0) and @ Northwestern (8.0). The Wildcats are coming off a bye the prior week so I might take the Cats in that game too.
11. Losing LB Manti Te’o to the NFL and QB Everett Golson to so called “poor academic judgment” didn’t seem to stop the love for the Domers. ND is favored in 10 of their 12 games. The only game where they are getting points is when they travel to Palo Alto to take on a revenge minded Stanford. Vegas is anticipating that the Domer D will carry the day again this year as the spreads are pretty right against Oklahoma (2.0); Southern Cal (5.0) and Arizona State (4.0). All those games are at home by the way. Might have to take a look at taking the Irish when they host ASU.
12. Oklahoma State is favored in 9 of 10 games this year. And blowouts are going to be the order of the day. The Pokes are favored by double digits in 7 of those games and by 9.0 when they host Kansas State. The only tight game is when they host arch rival Oklahoma (3.0). OSU gets 6.5 when they travel to Austin. Might piss off Mark but getting points from an underperforming Horn team sounds pretty appealing.
13. Oregon may have a new head coach but Vegas is expecting the same old results from the Quack Attack. The Ducks are favored in all 11 of their lined games. All but one game is by double digits – the lone exception being when Oregon travels to Stanford as a 4.0 favorite. That game has been superb over the last few years and should be again. But giving 20.0 at home versus UCLA seems a bit steep as does giving 16.0 in a rivalry game against the improved Beavers of Oregon State.
14. Dobby’s Rutgers team drew a huge yawn from Vegas this year as they could only gather enough energy to put out lines for 2 games – a push when they host Arkansas and getting 10.0 at Louisville. Oh well – I’m sure Dobby will bring over a nice IPA to make the games interesting.
15. And Rutgers got more respect than Rock’s Wake Forest squad. The Deacs only got lined on two games but both as big dogs. They are getting 21.0 @ Clemson and 18.0 when they host Florida State. Hey Rock – in Vegas being a Big Dog is not considered a good thing.
16. North Carolina got the monkey off their back when after 5 straight losses (4 as favorites) to their junior arch rival NC State, the Heels finally won last year – 43-35 (covering the 7 points too) This year they are favored again against NC State. But it’s the only game in which they are favored. The Boys in Carolina blue are dogs in three and a push when they host Miami (FL). Might want to take a look at UNC when they get 12.0 in their opener against South Carolina.
17. The Sheriff of Malibu’s Cal squad is getting no respect from Vegas – the Bears are dogs in all nine of their lined games – 8 by double digits. Sounds like a tough year in Strawberry Canyon.
And to get those football juices flowing – here is a cool video on some Dantonio highlights. Hear they were showing this to recruits. Signings are on a great pace this year.
1. The Strip is expecting big things out of the defending champs. Vegas lined 10 of the Tide’s 12 games. Bama is expected to win 9 of those games by double digits. The only single digit spread is as a 6 point favorite when the travel to Kyle field in a revenge match against Texas A&M. They are also favored by 11.5 in Tuscaloosa versus LSU. The Tide opens as a 17 point chalk in the opener in the Georgia Dome versus Va Tech. They are also favored by 24 over Auburn in the Iron Bowl. The Big Guy is rolling his eyes over that one.
2. Speaking of the War Eagles, Auburn is favored in only one game this year – their opener at home versus Washington State. They are dogs in their other 7 lined games including at Texas A&M (24.0), home versus Georgia (15.0) and at Tennessee (8.0). I think new HC Gus Malzahn will pop a few surprises on the bookies this year.
3. A win against Florida in the Sugar Bowl and the Louisville Cardinal bandwagon is way past fire marshal occupancy ratings. The Cardinals are favored in all nine of their lined games. The only non-double digit chalk is at Cincinnati (3.0). Teams that vault in the preseason rankings (Louisville is usually ranked somewhere around 10th) due to a big bowl win typically disappoint. And while I like what HC Charlie Strong is doing down at Papa John stadium – I’ll be looking to fade his squad this year. Louisville will not be winning the National Championship in Basketball and Football this year.
4. LSU is not getting their usual amount of love this year. The Bayou Bengals are favored in 6 of their lined games and dogs in the other three. All their dog games are away from Baton Rouge - @ Georgia (6.0) @ Bama (11.5) and somewhat surprisingly @ Ole Miss (2.0). I kinda like Les Miles’ squads when they are overlooked.
5. Despite the improvements in the Georgia Tech defense in the second half of last year and a new DC in Ted Roof – The Wreck is a favorite in only one game this year – versus North Carolina. The Sax Man and Ellis are giving me wildly conflicting advice on that game. Meanwhile, GT is a dog in 5 other games. Getting points against Georgia (9.0) and Clemson (also 9.0) was expected but getting 7.0 @ Miami (FL) sounds like a nice opportunity to back the triple option.
6. Georgia was a play away from playing in the National Championship game and Vegas hasn’t forgotten. The Dawgs are favored in all 9 of their lined games (they don’t play Bama in the regular season). Three of the spreads are pretty tight though - @ Clemson (3.5); versus South Carolina (4.0) and in the world’s largest outdoor cocktail party Florida (4.0). Going to be an interesting year between the hedges.
7. For all the ass kissing that Michigan gets from the preseason publications – Vegas is not dumb enough to give away their money. The Wolvies are 5-3-1 in their 9 lined games. The one push is home versus Notre Dame. And Vegas knows how to read through the BS. They have posted Michigan State as 3.0 favorites in East Lansing. They got that line right!
8. That doesn’t mean that Vegas is always right. They have the Spartans as favorites in 4 games and dogs in three others – @ Notre Dame (6.0); @ Nebraska (6.0) and @ Northwestern (3.0). State blew a bunch of games last year late but kept them close. Take the Green and White when they are getting more than 3. And here is an interesting stat – Over the last 4 years MSU has won more conference games than any other team in the Big 10 at 27.
9. Bruce’s Northwestern Purple Haze is favored in 7 games and dogs in 2. High expectations in Evanston this year as HC Pat Fitzgerald’s squad is considered to be a dark horse team to go to Pasadena. Winning 10 games for only the second time in school history will do that. Getting 8.0 points at home versus Ohio State is no surprise but getting 6.0 @ Wisconsin sounds a bit much. The Badgers will be breaking in a new offensive scheme this year and should flounder early this year (game is Oct 5th).
10. Ohio State went undefeated last year and if the spreads are right they will win all their games this year too. The Bucknuts are favored in all 10 of their lined games. 8 of those games are expected to be blow outs as OSU is favored in double digits. The two single digit games are on the road - @ Michigan (6.0) and @ Northwestern (8.0). The Wildcats are coming off a bye the prior week so I might take the Cats in that game too.
11. Losing LB Manti Te’o to the NFL and QB Everett Golson to so called “poor academic judgment” didn’t seem to stop the love for the Domers. ND is favored in 10 of their 12 games. The only game where they are getting points is when they travel to Palo Alto to take on a revenge minded Stanford. Vegas is anticipating that the Domer D will carry the day again this year as the spreads are pretty right against Oklahoma (2.0); Southern Cal (5.0) and Arizona State (4.0). All those games are at home by the way. Might have to take a look at taking the Irish when they host ASU.
12. Oklahoma State is favored in 9 of 10 games this year. And blowouts are going to be the order of the day. The Pokes are favored by double digits in 7 of those games and by 9.0 when they host Kansas State. The only tight game is when they host arch rival Oklahoma (3.0). OSU gets 6.5 when they travel to Austin. Might piss off Mark but getting points from an underperforming Horn team sounds pretty appealing.
13. Oregon may have a new head coach but Vegas is expecting the same old results from the Quack Attack. The Ducks are favored in all 11 of their lined games. All but one game is by double digits – the lone exception being when Oregon travels to Stanford as a 4.0 favorite. That game has been superb over the last few years and should be again. But giving 20.0 at home versus UCLA seems a bit steep as does giving 16.0 in a rivalry game against the improved Beavers of Oregon State.
14. Dobby’s Rutgers team drew a huge yawn from Vegas this year as they could only gather enough energy to put out lines for 2 games – a push when they host Arkansas and getting 10.0 at Louisville. Oh well – I’m sure Dobby will bring over a nice IPA to make the games interesting.
15. And Rutgers got more respect than Rock’s Wake Forest squad. The Deacs only got lined on two games but both as big dogs. They are getting 21.0 @ Clemson and 18.0 when they host Florida State. Hey Rock – in Vegas being a Big Dog is not considered a good thing.
16. North Carolina got the monkey off their back when after 5 straight losses (4 as favorites) to their junior arch rival NC State, the Heels finally won last year – 43-35 (covering the 7 points too) This year they are favored again against NC State. But it’s the only game in which they are favored. The Boys in Carolina blue are dogs in three and a push when they host Miami (FL). Might want to take a look at UNC when they get 12.0 in their opener against South Carolina.
17. The Sheriff of Malibu’s Cal squad is getting no respect from Vegas – the Bears are dogs in all nine of their lined games – 8 by double digits. Sounds like a tough year in Strawberry Canyon.
And to get those football juices flowing – here is a cool video on some Dantonio highlights. Hear they were showing this to recruits. Signings are on a great pace this year.
Remember – only 4 months to Vegas Baby! This year’s blast is Oct 26th at the LVH hotel. GO JUMBO
