I'll wager a QB wearing 9 will win the Super Bowl The playoffs have been fantastic so far. After all four games in the divisional round were decided on the last play, the championship games were both decided by a FG – one in OT and the other inside the two minute warning.
That second game cost me a wager. I was torn by the hook on the Rams Niner game and it cost me. Still, I’m 8-4 in the playoffs so I’m sitting pretty going into the Big Game.
Before I get into handicapping the game, here’s some fun facts to amuse your friends and to challenge them with a little trivia:
If Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow wins, he will be the first player ever to win the Heisman, win the College national championship, be the #1 pick and win a Super Bowl.
There have been three Super Bowl winning quarterbacks to wear No. 9 on their jersey. Jim McMahon (1985), Drew Brees (2009), Nick Foles (2017). It’s guaranteed to grow to four this year as both Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow wear No. 9.
That second game cost me a wager. I was torn by the hook on the Rams Niner game and it cost me. Still, I’m 8-4 in the playoffs so I’m sitting pretty going into the Big Game.
Before I get into handicapping the game, here’s some fun facts to amuse your friends and to challenge them with a little trivia:
If Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow wins, he will be the first player ever to win the Heisman, win the College national championship, be the #1 pick and win a Super Bowl.
There have been three Super Bowl winning quarterbacks to wear No. 9 on their jersey. Jim McMahon (1985), Drew Brees (2009), Nick Foles (2017). It’s guaranteed to grow to four this year as both Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow wear No. 9.
The Super Bowl head coaches went from oldest last year to youngest this year Speaking of Stafford and Burrow, this is the second time that quarterbacks who were the #1 picks in the NFL draft have faced off in the Super Bowl. The first was in 2015 when Peyton Manning (Tennessee) and the Broncos beat Cam Newton (Auburn) and the Panthers.
That Super Bowl was also the last time two SEC quarterbacks started. Including this year’s Super Bowl, there have been four overall. The other two were Super Bowl XLI when Manning and the Colts beat Rex Grossman (Florida) and the Bears. The first was way back in 1977 when Kenny Stabler (Alabama) and the Raiders trounced Fran Tarkenton (Georgia) and the Vikings 32-14.
Speaking of 4 – both teams were seeded number 4 in the playoffs. It’s the first time no teams seeded 1-3 from either conference made it to the Super Bowl.
Rams head coach Sean McVay and Bengals head coach Zac Taylor will be a combined 74 years and 299 days old on Sunday. It's the youngest combined age for the two Super Bowl head coaches by almost nine years. That’s in stark contrast to last year’s Super Bowl when Tampa Bay's Bruce Arians and Kansas City's Andy Reid set the Super Bowl record for oldest combined ages at 131 years and 87 days old.
That Super Bowl was also the last time two SEC quarterbacks started. Including this year’s Super Bowl, there have been four overall. The other two were Super Bowl XLI when Manning and the Colts beat Rex Grossman (Florida) and the Bears. The first was way back in 1977 when Kenny Stabler (Alabama) and the Raiders trounced Fran Tarkenton (Georgia) and the Vikings 32-14.
Speaking of 4 – both teams were seeded number 4 in the playoffs. It’s the first time no teams seeded 1-3 from either conference made it to the Super Bowl.
Rams head coach Sean McVay and Bengals head coach Zac Taylor will be a combined 74 years and 299 days old on Sunday. It's the youngest combined age for the two Super Bowl head coaches by almost nine years. That’s in stark contrast to last year’s Super Bowl when Tampa Bay's Bruce Arians and Kansas City's Andy Reid set the Super Bowl record for oldest combined ages at 131 years and 87 days old.
LA has hosted some classic Super Bowls But McVay and Taylor won’t be the youngest head coaches in the four major sports to reach the finals. That record belongs to 36 year old Scotty Bowman (Canadiens) and 37 year old Harry Sinden (Bruins) in the 1970 Stanley Cup but Woz knew that.
McVay is only the fifth coach to reach the Super Bowl twice in his first five years as a coach. The first three are all in the Hall of Fame – Tom Flores (Raiders) Joe Gibbs (Washington) and Jimmy Johnson (Cowboys). The other HC is Mike Tomlin with the Steelers who is still coaching and will likely make the HOF too.
Regardless of who wins, it will mark the 17th season in a row that a team has not repeated as champion, the longest drought in Super Bowl history.
This will be the eighth time the LA area has hosted a Super Bowl. Two of the Super Bowls were historic. The first Super Bowl was played in the Memorial Coliseum when Green Bay defeated the Kansas City Chiefs. Also in the Coliseum, Miami capped off the only undefeated season in NFL history when they beat Washington in Super Bowl VII.
Cooper Kupp will be the first player ever to lead the league in receptions, receiving yards, receiving TDs and make it to the Super Bowl.
McVay is only the fifth coach to reach the Super Bowl twice in his first five years as a coach. The first three are all in the Hall of Fame – Tom Flores (Raiders) Joe Gibbs (Washington) and Jimmy Johnson (Cowboys). The other HC is Mike Tomlin with the Steelers who is still coaching and will likely make the HOF too.
Regardless of who wins, it will mark the 17th season in a row that a team has not repeated as champion, the longest drought in Super Bowl history.
This will be the eighth time the LA area has hosted a Super Bowl. Two of the Super Bowls were historic. The first Super Bowl was played in the Memorial Coliseum when Green Bay defeated the Kansas City Chiefs. Also in the Coliseum, Miami capped off the only undefeated season in NFL history when they beat Washington in Super Bowl VII.
Cooper Kupp will be the first player ever to lead the league in receptions, receiving yards, receiving TDs and make it to the Super Bowl.
It's the first SB with the #1 and #2 WRs The 2nd place wide receiver in combined receiving yards was Ja’Marr Chase with Cincinnati. This will be the first Super bowl to feature the first and second place WRs.
In the last 10 Super Bowls played in California, the over has gone 10-1 hmmmmmmm
The team that has won the coin toss has lost seven straight Super Bowls. Double hmmmmmm.
OK, enough fun facts. You want some tips on making wagers, your friends want tips, even your Grandma who never watches sports probably has some action on the Super Bowl. So here we go:
In the last 10 Super Bowls played in California, the over has gone 10-1 hmmmmmmm
The team that has won the coin toss has lost seven straight Super Bowls. Double hmmmmmm.
OK, enough fun facts. You want some tips on making wagers, your friends want tips, even your Grandma who never watches sports probably has some action on the Super Bowl. So here we go:
Don't overlook Joe Mixon Cincinnati +4.0 vs LA Rams – After finishing last in the AFC North last year with a 4-11-1 record, it didn’t appear the Bengals were headed anywhere this year after a 5-4 start including losses to the Bears and the Jets. The offense kicked in, averaging 26.9 points PPG while going 8-3 including wins over defending AFC champs Kansas City and #1 seed Tennessee.
The combination of Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins has put opposing defenses on their heels and if teams overcompensate against the pass, Cincinnati hands the ball of the 1,200 yard rusher Joe Mixon.
Los Angeles went all in this year kicking Jared Goof and two first round picks to get Matthew Stafford . A 7-1 start had everyone thinking the Rams were the best in the league. But a three game losing streak including a second loss to the Niners put doubts in everyone’s minds. The dropped to sixth in Super Bowl handicapping.
The combination of Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins has put opposing defenses on their heels and if teams overcompensate against the pass, Cincinnati hands the ball of the 1,200 yard rusher Joe Mixon.
Los Angeles went all in this year kicking Jared Goof and two first round picks to get Matthew Stafford . A 7-1 start had everyone thinking the Rams were the best in the league. But a three game losing streak including a second loss to the Niners put doubts in everyone’s minds. The dropped to sixth in Super Bowl handicapping.
The Rams doubled down and grabbed Von Miller and OBJ So, the Rams doubled down acquiring Von Miller and OBJ as the season rolled on. The efforts have paid off as the Rams have gone 10-1 since that slump.
Cincinnati will be playing loose as they are young team with nothing to prove. The Rams have the weight of being the favorite at home no less. Many of the players figure this may be their last chance to get a ring. If Stafford is feeling the pressure, he may look more like the eight turnover QB during the last month of the season than the one turnover player of the playoffs.
Cincinnati will likely run at Aaron Donald. He’s great at getting to the QB but not so much at run defense. The Niners were able to win using this strategy. But San Francisco has a Pro Bowl center and guard. The Bengals OL is not nearly as good. There’s a reason that the Rams are 14-3 against teams not named the Niners.
Cincinnati will be playing loose as they are young team with nothing to prove. The Rams have the weight of being the favorite at home no less. Many of the players figure this may be their last chance to get a ring. If Stafford is feeling the pressure, he may look more like the eight turnover QB during the last month of the season than the one turnover player of the playoffs.
Cincinnati will likely run at Aaron Donald. He’s great at getting to the QB but not so much at run defense. The Niners were able to win using this strategy. But San Francisco has a Pro Bowl center and guard. The Bengals OL is not nearly as good. There’s a reason that the Rams are 14-3 against teams not named the Niners.
Chase's YAC will be a key to the game If it turns into a wide open game with passes aplenty the Rams should have the advantage. Cooper Kupp has been amazing all year and should have a field day against the suspect Bengal secondary. Stafford has steadily shown more confidence in OBJ as the season progressed taking the top off defenses allowing even more room for Kupp to operate.
That said, the matchup of Jalen Ramsey against Ja”Marr Chase will be one for the ages. Chase is fantastic with yards after the catch. Ramsey can cover all the routes and is very physical. However, the Rams at 2nd worst in allowing YACs.
The special teams are about even. Rams kicker Matt Gay was the best kicker during the regular season making 94% of his FGs and missing just one XP. but has shown some yips during the post season missing two FGs. Chortles were heard through draft rooms across the league when Cincinnati drafted Evan McPherson in the 5th round last year. But those snickers went away when he made an NFL rookie record 12-12 in the playoffs including several from beyond 50 yards.
That said, the matchup of Jalen Ramsey against Ja”Marr Chase will be one for the ages. Chase is fantastic with yards after the catch. Ramsey can cover all the routes and is very physical. However, the Rams at 2nd worst in allowing YACs.
The special teams are about even. Rams kicker Matt Gay was the best kicker during the regular season making 94% of his FGs and missing just one XP. but has shown some yips during the post season missing two FGs. Chortles were heard through draft rooms across the league when Cincinnati drafted Evan McPherson in the 5th round last year. But those snickers went away when he made an NFL rookie record 12-12 in the playoffs including several from beyond 50 yards.
I have the game being decided by a FG Like last week’s Rams game, I like the Rams but I’m worried that the spread might be a tad too big. The way the playoffs have been going this game could end up with a walk off FG. Therefore, I’m going to take the points and put a Mega on the Bengals.
But just in case the Rams and Stafford get going against the Bengal’s defense I’ll put another Mega bet on the over 48.5. And since it’s the last football game of the season, I’ll parlay those picks at +265 with a quatloo.
Now, of course, there are plenty of other ways to bet the Super Bowl from the opening coin toss (heads and tails both at -102) to the color of the Gatorade bath at the end of the game (orange +200, yellow/green +350 and blue +400)
Here are some other fun prop bets:
But just in case the Rams and Stafford get going against the Bengal’s defense I’ll put another Mega bet on the over 48.5. And since it’s the last football game of the season, I’ll parlay those picks at +265 with a quatloo.
Now, of course, there are plenty of other ways to bet the Super Bowl from the opening coin toss (heads and tails both at -102) to the color of the Gatorade bath at the end of the game (orange +200, yellow/green +350 and blue +400)
Here are some other fun prop bets:
I'll take the under 1:55 on Quicky Mickey How long will the national anthem be (Mickey Guyton) – 1 minute, 55 seconds is the line: Mickey is known as quicky Mickey for her short national anthems. I’ll take the under
Will there be a doink +400 – sure why not
Who will the MVP thank first – team/teammates +100; City/fans +275; God/religion +350; family +800; coaches +1600; team owner +2000; any other +1000 – Mrs. Doofus trooped us off to church today so I’ll go with the big guy upstairs at +350
Who will be the MVP – I’ll hedge the Bengals covering and take Stafford at +100. I also get the middle if the Rams to win but not cover.
Will there be an octopus – I had to look that one up. All I could think of was the Red Wings and the playoffs but it’s a player scoring a TD and the subsequent 2 point conversion. Since I got that far I’ll take the yes at +1200
Sony Michel rushing yards – I’ll take the over 20.5. He’s averaged 24 YPG in the playoffs against better defenses than the Bengals. One good run and he has the over.
Will there be a doink +400 – sure why not
Who will the MVP thank first – team/teammates +100; City/fans +275; God/religion +350; family +800; coaches +1600; team owner +2000; any other +1000 – Mrs. Doofus trooped us off to church today so I’ll go with the big guy upstairs at +350
Who will be the MVP – I’ll hedge the Bengals covering and take Stafford at +100. I also get the middle if the Rams to win but not cover.
Will there be an octopus – I had to look that one up. All I could think of was the Red Wings and the playoffs but it’s a player scoring a TD and the subsequent 2 point conversion. Since I got that far I’ll take the yes at +1200
Sony Michel rushing yards – I’ll take the over 20.5. He’s averaged 24 YPG in the playoffs against better defenses than the Bengals. One good run and he has the over.
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Good luck and remember the 2022 GO JUMBO trip is Oct 29 at the Westgate Super Book
