
A couple of big news items coming out of the NFL this week. First, the Westgate issued is betting lines for total wins for the NFL teams.
Then it immediately took one off the table as Tom Brady was all but called a low down, despicable, lying, cheating douche by the NFL. That wasn’t their exact words but it was close.
Independent investigator, Ted Wells, issued a report, known as the Wells Report, not to be confused with an even more devastating document known as a Wells Notice issued by the SEC. Dobby has a drawer full if you want to see one – he ignores them and laughs “Bring it on pencil necks!” Adding yet another one to his collection.
But the Wells Report did get Brady’s attention. In it, he said that Brady “was at least generally aware” of plans to deflate the balls to less than the minimum 12.5 pounds per square inch and that it was “more probable than not” that the two Patriot employees, part time locker room attendant , Jim McNally, and equipment assistant John Jastremski intentionally did the deflating.
In return for doing Brady’s beckoning, McNally got high priced shoes and autographed footballs, jerseys and even some cash. Sounds like a reverse Fab Five deal to me.
Turns out Pretty Boy Brady was pretty much a dick to deal with too. The deflations went far beyond just one game. Back in October, Brady complained about the ball inflation. McNally texted “Tom sucks..I’m going to make the next ball a f&cking balloon.” A week later, he also texted “F&ck Tom, make sure the pump is attached to the needle…F&cking watermelons coming.” This, from a Brady fan.
Of course, Pretty Boy went all Hillary in the investigation, denying the allegations, calling it a “sting operation” and refusing to turnover any emails or texts he had related to the matter. Not sure if he has a private email server.
The NFL had been forewarned about Brady’s balls. Ryan Grigson, the Colts General Manager, emailed the NFL asking for assurances that the Pats balls would be properly inflated. Grigson was told that Mike Kensil, from the NFL Operations department would be on hand and brief the officials and informed head referee Walt Anderson to keep an eye out.
He must have been using Ellis’ bad eye. Grigson was told at halftime that “for the first time in 19 years, he (Anderson) couldn’t find the balls at the start of the game.” That’s because, in the biggest home game of the year, McNally came through – taking the footballs from the refs locker room, going into a bathroom and deflating them.
So, with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line, the NFL, a multi billion dollar organization, and Roger Goodell, paid tens of millions of dollars, couldn’t figure out how to stop a part time locker room attendant from sneaking some footballs into the biff and giving them a quick Pffsssssssssssst.
And don’t get me started again about not knowing about the Ray Rice elevator videos. What a crock.
Now the NFL has to decide what punishment to hand out. Likely, Brady will be suspended but no one knows for how long. Since this is most likely not the only season he’s been cheating – and the Patriots have a track record of bending then breaking the rules – how about an NCAA type death penalty? No draft picks for 5 years. Won’t happen but sure would be interesting.
Not knowing what may come down from the NFL monkey cage, most casinos took the win totals for the Patriots off the board. Too bad, it was looking like another easy bet. The Pats line was set at 10.5. The last time New England was won less than even 12 games was in 2009 when they went 10-6. Since then they have gone 14-2, 13-3, 12-4, 12-4 and 12-4.
Here are all the win total lines for all the teams and a comparison to their win totals last year:
Then it immediately took one off the table as Tom Brady was all but called a low down, despicable, lying, cheating douche by the NFL. That wasn’t their exact words but it was close.
Independent investigator, Ted Wells, issued a report, known as the Wells Report, not to be confused with an even more devastating document known as a Wells Notice issued by the SEC. Dobby has a drawer full if you want to see one – he ignores them and laughs “Bring it on pencil necks!” Adding yet another one to his collection.
But the Wells Report did get Brady’s attention. In it, he said that Brady “was at least generally aware” of plans to deflate the balls to less than the minimum 12.5 pounds per square inch and that it was “more probable than not” that the two Patriot employees, part time locker room attendant , Jim McNally, and equipment assistant John Jastremski intentionally did the deflating.
In return for doing Brady’s beckoning, McNally got high priced shoes and autographed footballs, jerseys and even some cash. Sounds like a reverse Fab Five deal to me.
Turns out Pretty Boy Brady was pretty much a dick to deal with too. The deflations went far beyond just one game. Back in October, Brady complained about the ball inflation. McNally texted “Tom sucks..I’m going to make the next ball a f&cking balloon.” A week later, he also texted “F&ck Tom, make sure the pump is attached to the needle…F&cking watermelons coming.” This, from a Brady fan.
Of course, Pretty Boy went all Hillary in the investigation, denying the allegations, calling it a “sting operation” and refusing to turnover any emails or texts he had related to the matter. Not sure if he has a private email server.
The NFL had been forewarned about Brady’s balls. Ryan Grigson, the Colts General Manager, emailed the NFL asking for assurances that the Pats balls would be properly inflated. Grigson was told that Mike Kensil, from the NFL Operations department would be on hand and brief the officials and informed head referee Walt Anderson to keep an eye out.
He must have been using Ellis’ bad eye. Grigson was told at halftime that “for the first time in 19 years, he (Anderson) couldn’t find the balls at the start of the game.” That’s because, in the biggest home game of the year, McNally came through – taking the footballs from the refs locker room, going into a bathroom and deflating them.
So, with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line, the NFL, a multi billion dollar organization, and Roger Goodell, paid tens of millions of dollars, couldn’t figure out how to stop a part time locker room attendant from sneaking some footballs into the biff and giving them a quick Pffsssssssssssst.
And don’t get me started again about not knowing about the Ray Rice elevator videos. What a crock.
Now the NFL has to decide what punishment to hand out. Likely, Brady will be suspended but no one knows for how long. Since this is most likely not the only season he’s been cheating – and the Patriots have a track record of bending then breaking the rules – how about an NCAA type death penalty? No draft picks for 5 years. Won’t happen but sure would be interesting.
Not knowing what may come down from the NFL monkey cage, most casinos took the win totals for the Patriots off the board. Too bad, it was looking like another easy bet. The Pats line was set at 10.5. The last time New England was won less than even 12 games was in 2009 when they went 10-6. Since then they have gone 14-2, 13-3, 12-4, 12-4 and 12-4.
Here are all the win total lines for all the teams and a comparison to their win totals last year:

And who is expected to have the biggest regression? Why, the Detroit Lions, of course, along with the Steelers. The Detroit and Pittsburgh lines were set a full 2 ½ games below last year’s wins.
I can see why. Detroit relied on its defense to win games and now with Suh and Fairley gone wins are going to harder to come by. And the schedule is a lot tougher with road games at Seattle, Saints and Chargers along with home games against Denver and Philadelphia. Getting 8-9 wins sounds about right.
The Falcons have the opposite prognosis. Atlanta is expected to win a full three more games than last year. Much of it has to do with a new defensive minded head coach and a relatively easy schedule. They get Tampa Bay twice, Jacksonville, Tennessee and Washington. Still, one first round DE does not a defense make. I’d take the under 9 if the gang would let me.
Some others I would take – NY Jets under 7.0. If you have to decide between Ryan Fitzpatrick or Geno Smith as you QB, you’re in a world of hurt. Sure they got Brandon Marshall but who is going to get the ball to him. And don’t forget that division rival Miami just got Suh.
Same with Chicago. Jay Cutler has tanked it and he’s lost Marshall to boot. I’ll take under 7.0
And in Washington, HC Jay Gruden and RGIII are on the same wavelength. Having to play two games against Dallas, Philly and a NY Giant team that should be better behind a stronger offensive line – I’ll take the under 6.0
I like taking the unders on the win totals. If you notice the total overall wins for the league it equals 263.5 a full 7.5 more wins than mathematically possible. Vegas knows their audience. Everyone wants to bet on their favorite team having a breakout season. Vegas makes their money betting against the fans. Unders are the way to go.
Remember, the 2015 Go Jumbo trip is Nov 7th at the Westgate Resort. Only 6 more months to go.
I can see why. Detroit relied on its defense to win games and now with Suh and Fairley gone wins are going to harder to come by. And the schedule is a lot tougher with road games at Seattle, Saints and Chargers along with home games against Denver and Philadelphia. Getting 8-9 wins sounds about right.
The Falcons have the opposite prognosis. Atlanta is expected to win a full three more games than last year. Much of it has to do with a new defensive minded head coach and a relatively easy schedule. They get Tampa Bay twice, Jacksonville, Tennessee and Washington. Still, one first round DE does not a defense make. I’d take the under 9 if the gang would let me.
Some others I would take – NY Jets under 7.0. If you have to decide between Ryan Fitzpatrick or Geno Smith as you QB, you’re in a world of hurt. Sure they got Brandon Marshall but who is going to get the ball to him. And don’t forget that division rival Miami just got Suh.
Same with Chicago. Jay Cutler has tanked it and he’s lost Marshall to boot. I’ll take under 7.0
And in Washington, HC Jay Gruden and RGIII are on the same wavelength. Having to play two games against Dallas, Philly and a NY Giant team that should be better behind a stronger offensive line – I’ll take the under 6.0
I like taking the unders on the win totals. If you notice the total overall wins for the league it equals 263.5 a full 7.5 more wins than mathematically possible. Vegas knows their audience. Everyone wants to bet on their favorite team having a breakout season. Vegas makes their money betting against the fans. Unders are the way to go.
Remember, the 2015 Go Jumbo trip is Nov 7th at the Westgate Resort. Only 6 more months to go.