Nic Anderson's TD put the game over I gave back a good chunk of the week 5 winnings in week 6 going 2-5. Either teams were using the Big Book of Guesses for bulletin board material like Georgia ‘The Bulldogs have gotten off to a slow start in every game” so they jump out to a 34-7 half time lead.
And Louisville “The stage will be too big for the Cardinals” Louisville dominates the fourth quarter on the way to a 33-20 win.
And there was the usual last second beats like Oklahoma scoring a TD with 15 seconds to go to get the over. And I convinced myself to bet on an NC State game – always a loser. I'll never learn
Not a fun weekend on the Doofus Deck.
I did go 2-1 on the parlays but 0-4 on the straight picks. Might need to use more parlays this week.
The season is approaching halfway. Seems like it just started. Here some investing advice for week 7
And Louisville “The stage will be too big for the Cardinals” Louisville dominates the fourth quarter on the way to a 33-20 win.
And there was the usual last second beats like Oklahoma scoring a TD with 15 seconds to go to get the over. And I convinced myself to bet on an NC State game – always a loser. I'll never learn
Not a fun weekend on the Doofus Deck.
I did go 2-1 on the parlays but 0-4 on the straight picks. Might need to use more parlays this week.
The season is approaching halfway. Seems like it just started. Here some investing advice for week 7
Dan Enos will be looking for anew job soon Ohio State -18.0 versus Purdue - Since 2000, the Boilermakers have hosted the Bucknuts eight times, with Spoilermakers winning five. Conversely, Ryan Day is 32-0 in Big Ten play when not playing scUM. And in 22 of those wins he has won by 20+ points.
I’ll add Ohio State to my heavy favorite money line parlay along with:
Alabama -19.5 vs Arkansas – Going to Tuscaloosa on the hot seat is never fun. HC Sam Pittman and the Arkansas Razorbacks are on a four-game losing streak.
The Hogs have not experienced a five-game losing streak since the 2019 season under Chad Morris. Much of the blame is going to former Spartan OC Dan Enos and the offense.
Meanwhile, Alabama is in a full-swing rebound since its Week 2 loss against Texas. The Crimson Tide is the only SEC West team without a conference loss, sitting nice and pretty in the driver's seat.
And:
Florida State -18.5 vs Syracuse – It’s a typical Syracuse season. Start out real hot and then when they start playing competent competition they fold like a cheap lawn chair.
Florida State has controlled this series winning nine of the last 10 meetings and covering eight
The payoff is a safe -357 earning $2.80 for every $10 invested.
I’ll add Ohio State to my heavy favorite money line parlay along with:
Alabama -19.5 vs Arkansas – Going to Tuscaloosa on the hot seat is never fun. HC Sam Pittman and the Arkansas Razorbacks are on a four-game losing streak.
The Hogs have not experienced a five-game losing streak since the 2019 season under Chad Morris. Much of the blame is going to former Spartan OC Dan Enos and the offense.
Meanwhile, Alabama is in a full-swing rebound since its Week 2 loss against Texas. The Crimson Tide is the only SEC West team without a conference loss, sitting nice and pretty in the driver's seat.
And:
Florida State -18.5 vs Syracuse – It’s a typical Syracuse season. Start out real hot and then when they start playing competent competition they fold like a cheap lawn chair.
Florida State has controlled this series winning nine of the last 10 meetings and covering eight
The payoff is a safe -357 earning $2.80 for every $10 invested.
Rumor has it Cam Rising might play South Carolina -2.0 versus Florida – Florida is terrible on the road having lost 13 of their last 14 away from the Swamp. The defense is overrated, having been shredded by Kentucky and couldn't even slow down a Utah offense playing with a backup QB.
The Cocks are going to fired up for this game, having talked all week about avenging last year’s embarrassing 38-6 loss to Florida.
And the Cocks are coming off a bye where HC Shane Beamer is 3-0 ATS after a week off, covering all games by at least 3 TDs.
Spiced up with a money line bet on:
Utah -10.5 vs Cal - Despite the absence of star quarterback Cam Rising, Utah has played well enough to be sitting at 4-1 through five games.
Without him, the Utes are running the ball at the 12th-highest rate in college football and have been doing their best Iowa impression.
Now rumors are that Rising will play.
The Cal offense has had some success but against pitiful competition. Against Auburn, the only decent run defense Cal has faced to this point, this team was only able to put up 10 points. Utah’s defense is much better than Auburn’s
The payoff is a decent +116
The Cocks are going to fired up for this game, having talked all week about avenging last year’s embarrassing 38-6 loss to Florida.
And the Cocks are coming off a bye where HC Shane Beamer is 3-0 ATS after a week off, covering all games by at least 3 TDs.
Spiced up with a money line bet on:
Utah -10.5 vs Cal - Despite the absence of star quarterback Cam Rising, Utah has played well enough to be sitting at 4-1 through five games.
Without him, the Utes are running the ball at the 12th-highest rate in college football and have been doing their best Iowa impression.
Now rumors are that Rising will play.
The Cal offense has had some success but against pitiful competition. Against Auburn, the only decent run defense Cal has faced to this point, this team was only able to put up 10 points. Utah’s defense is much better than Auburn’s
The payoff is a decent +116
Rocky Lombardi will be under pressure all day Another small favorite with spice money line parlay is (MAC version):
Ohio -5.5 @ Northern Illinois – Ohio has a punishing defense, good against both the pass and run.
Former Spartan now NIU QB, Rocky Lombardi is playing like he did at State, below average. The Huskies aren’t bad but not good either running or passing.
NIU relies on its average run game where the Bobcat defense excels. Ohio will have the Huskies in plenty of 3rd and longs and then tee off on Rocky in passing situations.
We’ve seen this picture show before in Spartan Stadium. Not pretty.
The Bobcats should win comfortably.
I’ll spice it up going with the money line on:
Toledo -17.5 @ Ball State – QB Dequan Finn leads what's shaping up to be the best offense in the conference. The Rockets lead the league in multiple categories, including yards per game (473.2), points per game (40.8), first downs (143) and third-down conversions (51.3%).
Ohio -5.5 @ Northern Illinois – Ohio has a punishing defense, good against both the pass and run.
Former Spartan now NIU QB, Rocky Lombardi is playing like he did at State, below average. The Huskies aren’t bad but not good either running or passing.
NIU relies on its average run game where the Bobcat defense excels. Ohio will have the Huskies in plenty of 3rd and longs and then tee off on Rocky in passing situations.
We’ve seen this picture show before in Spartan Stadium. Not pretty.
The Bobcats should win comfortably.
I’ll spice it up going with the money line on:
Toledo -17.5 @ Ball State – QB Dequan Finn leads what's shaping up to be the best offense in the conference. The Rockets lead the league in multiple categories, including yards per game (473.2), points per game (40.8), first downs (143) and third-down conversions (51.3%).
While DeQuan Finn leads the MACs best offense Another key performer is his favorite target, Jerjuan Newton. The receiver has already racked up nine touchdown catches and has found the end zone in every game this season.
Ball State’s offense is struggling on offense primarily due to an inability to find a consistent player at the quarterback position. HC Mike Neu has flipped between Layne Hatcher and Kadin Semonza. Neither one has been impressive.
Toledo will put this game away early
Eastern Michigan -8.5 vs Kent State – Both of these teams are brutal offensively. They both are in the bottom 10 in the FBS in passing offense and scoring offense this season.
Neither team runs the ball well either, ranking in the bottom 25 of the country in that department.
Where the teams deviate is on the defensive side of the ball. Kent State is a bottom-10 team in scoring defense in the FBS while Eastern Michigan is in the upper third in the nation. The Eagles may have their struggles against the run but Kent State does nothing well offensively. Eastern Michigan forces turnovers and will make Kent State miserable on both sides of the ball. The Hurons defense will win the game.
The payoff is +110
Ball State’s offense is struggling on offense primarily due to an inability to find a consistent player at the quarterback position. HC Mike Neu has flipped between Layne Hatcher and Kadin Semonza. Neither one has been impressive.
Toledo will put this game away early
Eastern Michigan -8.5 vs Kent State – Both of these teams are brutal offensively. They both are in the bottom 10 in the FBS in passing offense and scoring offense this season.
Neither team runs the ball well either, ranking in the bottom 25 of the country in that department.
Where the teams deviate is on the defensive side of the ball. Kent State is a bottom-10 team in scoring defense in the FBS while Eastern Michigan is in the upper third in the nation. The Eagles may have their struggles against the run but Kent State does nothing well offensively. Eastern Michigan forces turnovers and will make Kent State miserable on both sides of the ball. The Hurons defense will win the game.
The payoff is +110
Who knows where this one is headed And the final small favorite with spice money line parlay (SEC Version)
Texas A&M +3.0 @ Tennessee – Yeah, I know, Joe Milton III has a rocket arm. Problem is that he often doesn’t know where to aim that rocket. He’s completing just 63% of his passes this season and considering the strength of his arm, all three of his interceptions this year have been on deep passes.
Milton has really struggled when under pressure, which is something this Texas A&M front does really well. The Aggies lead the country with 26 sacks this season and have a dominant front seven. Poor ol Joe will be under pressure all game.
As much as we think of Tennessee as this high-flying offense, it wants to be a run-first team.
But this is an incredibly difficult matchup against a Texas A&M defense that’s top-10 in the country at defending the run. The Aggies are allowing just 2.6 yards per carry and have only allowed one rushing score all year.
Texas A&M +3.0 @ Tennessee – Yeah, I know, Joe Milton III has a rocket arm. Problem is that he often doesn’t know where to aim that rocket. He’s completing just 63% of his passes this season and considering the strength of his arm, all three of his interceptions this year have been on deep passes.
Milton has really struggled when under pressure, which is something this Texas A&M front does really well. The Aggies lead the country with 26 sacks this season and have a dominant front seven. Poor ol Joe will be under pressure all game.
As much as we think of Tennessee as this high-flying offense, it wants to be a run-first team.
But this is an incredibly difficult matchup against a Texas A&M defense that’s top-10 in the country at defending the run. The Aggies are allowing just 2.6 yards per carry and have only allowed one rushing score all year.
Payton Thorne and the Auburn offense have sucked all year
Texas A&M will shut down the Volunteers’ rushing attack and force Milton to throw the ball around, which is when he gets into trouble.
We saw what Florida was able to do against Tennessee a few weeks ago, and the Aggies are a much better version of that.
Mixed in with:
LSU -11.5 vs Auburn - LSU has simply needed to outgun its opponents on offense this season, and hope its pass defense doesn’t give away the game. No worries about that this weekend. The Auburn offense (led by another MSU transfer QB) is not very good to be polite the other Tiger pass game won’t be able to expose LSU’s biggest weakness.
Auburn has not had much recent success away from Jordan-Hare during conference play. The Tigers haven’t recorded a road SEC victory since October 2021 losing by an average of 16 points in that span.
You’d be broke if you consistently relied on LSU’s defense this year to win you bets, but I’m going to do just that. LSU held Mississippi State to just 14 points and 201 total yards a month ago, and they should be able to do something similar against Auburn.
Texas A&M will shut down the Volunteers’ rushing attack and force Milton to throw the ball around, which is when he gets into trouble.
We saw what Florida was able to do against Tennessee a few weeks ago, and the Aggies are a much better version of that.
Mixed in with:
LSU -11.5 vs Auburn - LSU has simply needed to outgun its opponents on offense this season, and hope its pass defense doesn’t give away the game. No worries about that this weekend. The Auburn offense (led by another MSU transfer QB) is not very good to be polite the other Tiger pass game won’t be able to expose LSU’s biggest weakness.
Auburn has not had much recent success away from Jordan-Hare during conference play. The Tigers haven’t recorded a road SEC victory since October 2021 losing by an average of 16 points in that span.
You’d be broke if you consistently relied on LSU’s defense this year to win you bets, but I’m going to do just that. LSU held Mississippi State to just 14 points and 201 total yards a month ago, and they should be able to do something similar against Auburn.
Penn State relies on a punishing ground game Another investment:
Indiana +34.0 @ Michigan – The fighting booger eaters are 0-3 as favorites of 36, 38 and 40 so far this year. In those three games, they never even scored enough points to cover with outputs of 30, 35 and 31 against the subpar defenses of UNLV, Bowling Green and East Carolina.
The Hoosier offense is terrible, they just fired their OC but Indiana defense did at least have respectable efforts against Ohio State and Louisville, holding each to under 24 points.
I’ll take the Hoosiers as part of a Point Whore Parlay along with:
UMass +41.5 @ Penn State - This is a horrible spot for Penn State. It's playing a cupcake the week before one of the biggest games of the season against Ohio State I doubt PSU will want to show too much and will probably rest some starters once they build a big lead in the second half.
Also, the Nits are not they explosive, relying on a grinding offense to win. I’m going against the trend here as Penn State is 10-0-1 ATS since last year but 41.5 is a bit much to cover in a sandwich game.
But not:
Vanderbilt +31.5 @ Georgia - Amazingly, Vanderbilt has started off the season 0-7 ATS with all seven games going over the closing total. That makes the Vandy fade and over parlay a perfect 7-0 on the year.
In SEC games, favorites of 30 or more have gone 9-19 ATS (32.1%) since 2005. But I’m not adding this to the Point Whore Parlay, No need to give Kirby more bulleting board material.
The payoff is a nice +267
Indiana +34.0 @ Michigan – The fighting booger eaters are 0-3 as favorites of 36, 38 and 40 so far this year. In those three games, they never even scored enough points to cover with outputs of 30, 35 and 31 against the subpar defenses of UNLV, Bowling Green and East Carolina.
The Hoosier offense is terrible, they just fired their OC but Indiana defense did at least have respectable efforts against Ohio State and Louisville, holding each to under 24 points.
I’ll take the Hoosiers as part of a Point Whore Parlay along with:
UMass +41.5 @ Penn State - This is a horrible spot for Penn State. It's playing a cupcake the week before one of the biggest games of the season against Ohio State I doubt PSU will want to show too much and will probably rest some starters once they build a big lead in the second half.
Also, the Nits are not they explosive, relying on a grinding offense to win. I’m going against the trend here as Penn State is 10-0-1 ATS since last year but 41.5 is a bit much to cover in a sandwich game.
But not:
Vanderbilt +31.5 @ Georgia - Amazingly, Vanderbilt has started off the season 0-7 ATS with all seven games going over the closing total. That makes the Vandy fade and over parlay a perfect 7-0 on the year.
In SEC games, favorites of 30 or more have gone 9-19 ATS (32.1%) since 2005. But I’m not adding this to the Point Whore Parlay, No need to give Kirby more bulleting board material.
The payoff is a nice +267
Some NFL scouts say he is better than Trevor and Luck I’ll also take a flyer on an over with:
USC +2.5 @ Notre Dame – For USC, while this game won't affect their standing in the Pac 12, it's a must-win if they want to make the College Football Playoff.
After losing to Louisville, it’s second of the season, the Irish's hopes of the College Football Playoff spot are all but over. Now, it's time for them to play spoiler for the remainder of the season.
Caleb Williams hasn’t tailed ff after winning the Heisman last year. Many NFL scouts reportedly believe Williams is the best QB prospect over the last decade. Some NFL scouts believe Williams would have gone before Andrew Luck and Trevor Lawrence.
Think Sam Hartman is going to want to show up in this game? He shouldn’t have a problem against a Condom defense that can’t stop a runny nose. With a backup quarterback, Arizona put up over 500 yards of offense and threw for five touchdowns against this USC putrid excuse for a defense.
I’ll pass on the spread, USC has failed to cover in three straight games but I will take the over 60.5 for a quatloo.
Remember the Go Jumbo trip is Nov 11th at the Westgate SuperBook
USC +2.5 @ Notre Dame – For USC, while this game won't affect their standing in the Pac 12, it's a must-win if they want to make the College Football Playoff.
After losing to Louisville, it’s second of the season, the Irish's hopes of the College Football Playoff spot are all but over. Now, it's time for them to play spoiler for the remainder of the season.
Caleb Williams hasn’t tailed ff after winning the Heisman last year. Many NFL scouts reportedly believe Williams is the best QB prospect over the last decade. Some NFL scouts believe Williams would have gone before Andrew Luck and Trevor Lawrence.
Think Sam Hartman is going to want to show up in this game? He shouldn’t have a problem against a Condom defense that can’t stop a runny nose. With a backup quarterback, Arizona put up over 500 yards of offense and threw for five touchdowns against this USC putrid excuse for a defense.
I’ll pass on the spread, USC has failed to cover in three straight games but I will take the over 60.5 for a quatloo.
Remember the Go Jumbo trip is Nov 11th at the Westgate SuperBook
