I hope everyone had a fantastic Christmas! The Doofus family was able to gather around and have a great meal at the Sax Man’s house. The grandkids were have a blast, running around begging to get tickled to which we were more than happy to oblige.
The night before we gathered at the Swag Mans house for adult beverages and board games. The Swag Man gave us an Irish good night. Doofus Favorite Disney Daughter and I were waiting for him to finish his turn, when after 15 minutes we realized he had gone to bed. I’ll give him a break, I was 5 in the morning. Still his turn though. Maybe tonight.
The Bowl picks have been fantastic so far with a perfect record 0-5. Time to end this streak and forget about opt outs and missing head coaches. They don’t appear to have any influence on the games at all. I’ll just go with how I would have picked them during the regular season.
Im also just going to have fun picks too taking the overs starting with
The night before we gathered at the Swag Mans house for adult beverages and board games. The Swag Man gave us an Irish good night. Doofus Favorite Disney Daughter and I were waiting for him to finish his turn, when after 15 minutes we realized he had gone to bed. I’ll give him a break, I was 5 in the morning. Still his turn though. Maybe tonight.
The Bowl picks have been fantastic so far with a perfect record 0-5. Time to end this streak and forget about opt outs and missing head coaches. They don’t appear to have any influence on the games at all. I’ll just go with how I would have picked them during the regular season.
Im also just going to have fun picks too taking the overs starting with
Bowling Green vs Minnesota over 41.5 – Both teams love to run and both teams struggle to stop the run.
The Gophers will be down to their 3rd string QB, Cole Kramer. Kramer had taken a total of six snaps this year. Normally, I would assume that would mean fewer points but so far this bowl season it means stupid turnovers and defensive scores.
Minnesota gets their best RB back from injury, however, with Darius Taylor, who has been out since week 8.
Bowling Green has a stud RB too in Ta’Ron Keith. He’s a bulldozer, averaging 4.1 yards after contact. Should he get into the red zone, he should get plenty of scores. The Gophers are in the bottom five in allowing teams to score within their own 20.
By the way, the Minnesota DC won’t be on the sidelines. He will be State’s new DC. He better get this problem fixed.
The Gophers will be fired up for this game as Bowling Green went to Minnesota in 2021 as 30 point underdogs and won 14-10.
I like overs. I’ll take it here as each team runs over the other one and Minnesota’s quarterback makes one or two stupid turnovers
The Gophers will be down to their 3rd string QB, Cole Kramer. Kramer had taken a total of six snaps this year. Normally, I would assume that would mean fewer points but so far this bowl season it means stupid turnovers and defensive scores.
Minnesota gets their best RB back from injury, however, with Darius Taylor, who has been out since week 8.
Bowling Green has a stud RB too in Ta’Ron Keith. He’s a bulldozer, averaging 4.1 yards after contact. Should he get into the red zone, he should get plenty of scores. The Gophers are in the bottom five in allowing teams to score within their own 20.
By the way, the Minnesota DC won’t be on the sidelines. He will be State’s new DC. He better get this problem fixed.
The Gophers will be fired up for this game as Bowling Green went to Minnesota in 2021 as 30 point underdogs and won 14-10.
I like overs. I’ll take it here as each team runs over the other one and Minnesota’s quarterback makes one or two stupid turnovers
Rice versus Texas State over 60 – I’ll go for the over here too both for the opposite reason, rather than betting against bad defenses, Ill bet on productive offenses.
Texas State can beat you through the air with QB TJ Finley who has thrown for 3,287 yards and 24 touchdowns. And on the ground with RB Ismail Mahdi who cranked out 1,209 yards and 10 scores on the ground.
Texas State ranked top-20 in Offensive Line Yards, Rushing success rate and Passing success rate. The Bobcats were also fantastic at finishing drives, a big reason why their offense was so successful.
Rice will be slinging the ball all day long as Texas State is horrific in the secondary. QB AJ Padgett came in late in the season when JT Daniels retired for medical reasons. He threw six touchdown passes and three picks over the last three outings, but most importantly, he hit 64% of his throws on the year.
The formula for the Owls has to be just this simple. Run enough to keep the Bobcats excellent pass rush honest. then get Padgett to hit the midrange throws against a D that’s totally awful on third downs, and take shots down the field against that terrible secondary.
I’m counting on Texas State to light up the scoreboard and just enough Owl points to get the over.
Texas State can beat you through the air with QB TJ Finley who has thrown for 3,287 yards and 24 touchdowns. And on the ground with RB Ismail Mahdi who cranked out 1,209 yards and 10 scores on the ground.
Texas State ranked top-20 in Offensive Line Yards, Rushing success rate and Passing success rate. The Bobcats were also fantastic at finishing drives, a big reason why their offense was so successful.
Rice will be slinging the ball all day long as Texas State is horrific in the secondary. QB AJ Padgett came in late in the season when JT Daniels retired for medical reasons. He threw six touchdown passes and three picks over the last three outings, but most importantly, he hit 64% of his throws on the year.
The formula for the Owls has to be just this simple. Run enough to keep the Bobcats excellent pass rush honest. then get Padgett to hit the midrange throws against a D that’s totally awful on third downs, and take shots down the field against that terrible secondary.
I’m counting on Texas State to light up the scoreboard and just enough Owl points to get the over.
Kansas vs UNLV over 67.5 – It’s probably the adult beverage gifts I got doing the talking but, what the heck, I’ll for 3 for 3 on overs today.
If you thought Rice and Texas State can put up points, you haven’t seen nothing yet. UNLV and Kansas could care less about defense, they just want to outscore you.
Remember when UNLV was really bad at football? Well this year they turned things around and played in the Mountain West Championship game its first winning season on 10 years.
There may not be a more fun offense to watch than that of the Rebels. UNLV wants confuse opposing defenses with heavy pre-snap motion. They show nearly every formation a person could find in a college football video game, pivoting between two tight ends, two running backs and an empty backfield from down to down.
If you thought Rice and Texas State can put up points, you haven’t seen nothing yet. UNLV and Kansas could care less about defense, they just want to outscore you.
Remember when UNLV was really bad at football? Well this year they turned things around and played in the Mountain West Championship game its first winning season on 10 years.
There may not be a more fun offense to watch than that of the Rebels. UNLV wants confuse opposing defenses with heavy pre-snap motion. They show nearly every formation a person could find in a college football video game, pivoting between two tight ends, two running backs and an empty backfield from down to down.
The result is a top-10 rush explosive unit, and a 25th ranked in Passing success rate. The offense had to supply plenty of points to help out a defense that struggled in Mountain West action, ranking a pathetic 126th in Defensive passing success rate.
With a much tougher strength of schedule, Kansas has a huge offensive advantage in the passing game. Not only that, but Kansas will also be able to run at will. The Jayhawks are able to get explosive runs using the outside zone, an area that the Rebels have shown they are unable to stop.
UNLV was fifth in the nation in third down conversions - the Kansas D is miserable on third downs. UNLV was also amazing in the red zone - Kansas has one of the worst red zone defenses in the country.
Tow fun offenses playing defenses that don’t work. The last game of the day ould be the highest scoring.
With a much tougher strength of schedule, Kansas has a huge offensive advantage in the passing game. Not only that, but Kansas will also be able to run at will. The Jayhawks are able to get explosive runs using the outside zone, an area that the Rebels have shown they are unable to stop.
UNLV was fifth in the nation in third down conversions - the Kansas D is miserable on third downs. UNLV was also amazing in the red zone - Kansas has one of the worst red zone defenses in the country.
Tow fun offenses playing defenses that don’t work. The last game of the day ould be the highest scoring.