Tampa Bay +2.5 vs Dallas – Tonight we are right back where we started, a Monday night rematch of the opening Sunday Night game. Tampa Bay dominated that night, as the defense completely shut down Prescott, who suffered an injury, and the Cowboys offense in a 19-3 victory. Four months later, after all the ups and downs, it feels like these teams are right back where they started.
Dallas’s offense was stymied when CeeDee Lamb was bottled up with just two catches for 29 yards on 11 targets in that first matchup. Tampa’s defense is nasty when healthy - and they are finally healthy again. Since the bye, the Buccaneers have always been missing at least one cornerback, but they all figure to be back for this game. Tampa Bay will also have its safeties on the field after missing them for several games.
Dak Prescott has been an interception machine this year. In the last seven games alone, he’s thrown 11 interceptions. He's also missing several offensive linemen, including his center, which will be problematic against a Tampa front that can get after the quarterback.
Dallas’s offense was stymied when CeeDee Lamb was bottled up with just two catches for 29 yards on 11 targets in that first matchup. Tampa’s defense is nasty when healthy - and they are finally healthy again. Since the bye, the Buccaneers have always been missing at least one cornerback, but they all figure to be back for this game. Tampa Bay will also have its safeties on the field after missing them for several games.
Dak Prescott has been an interception machine this year. In the last seven games alone, he’s thrown 11 interceptions. He's also missing several offensive linemen, including his center, which will be problematic against a Tampa front that can get after the quarterback.
The Buccaneers are also excellent against the run, so Prescott won't be able to lean as much on Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott is struggling, yet the Cowboys will continue to give him carries because they are very poorly coached.
Tampa’s offense hasn’t exactly been great, but this faltering Dallas defense might be the perfect remedy. The Cowboys pass defense nosedived to 25th over the past six weeks and has no answers or healthy bodies at corner. The Cowboys have an elite pass rush but a porous secondary, and no one gets the ball out faster than Tom Brady which will neutralize Micah Parsons and company.
The Buccaneers had been missing offensive linemen for a while, but Tristan Wirfs and Donovan Smith were able to return from injury. Center Ryan Jensen is set to return from injured reserve as well. The Buccaneers have been without Jensen all year, so he'll be a welcome addition to the blocking unit, which had struggled so much previously.
With the OL finally healthy, Brady will have enough time to find Michael Evans for some big gains. Dallas is the worst in the NFL in covering WR2 so Chris Godwin should have a big day too.
I’m going to put a Mega bet on Tampa Bay on the money line at +125. I’m also going to make a prop bet that Chris Godwin over 67.5 yards receiving.
Investors should note: Wild Card teams with a .500 or below record are 8-1 ATS and 6-3 SU
Dak Prescott is 0-4 ATS in the playoffs.
Tom Brady is 3-0 both ATS and straight up as a playoff underdog.
Tampa’s offense hasn’t exactly been great, but this faltering Dallas defense might be the perfect remedy. The Cowboys pass defense nosedived to 25th over the past six weeks and has no answers or healthy bodies at corner. The Cowboys have an elite pass rush but a porous secondary, and no one gets the ball out faster than Tom Brady which will neutralize Micah Parsons and company.
The Buccaneers had been missing offensive linemen for a while, but Tristan Wirfs and Donovan Smith were able to return from injury. Center Ryan Jensen is set to return from injured reserve as well. The Buccaneers have been without Jensen all year, so he'll be a welcome addition to the blocking unit, which had struggled so much previously.
With the OL finally healthy, Brady will have enough time to find Michael Evans for some big gains. Dallas is the worst in the NFL in covering WR2 so Chris Godwin should have a big day too.
I’m going to put a Mega bet on Tampa Bay on the money line at +125. I’m also going to make a prop bet that Chris Godwin over 67.5 yards receiving.
Investors should note: Wild Card teams with a .500 or below record are 8-1 ATS and 6-3 SU
Dak Prescott is 0-4 ATS in the playoffs.
Tom Brady is 3-0 both ATS and straight up as a playoff underdog.