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2021 - 2022 Bowl Season Part 2

12/21/2021

1 Comment

 
PictureMizzou prefers to run bur their best RB is sitting this one out.
Army -6.5 vs Missouri - Army has been good at shutting teams down. Yeah, Western Kentucky and Wake Forest, put up big numbers but those are explosive aerial offenses. That's not Missouri. The Tigers are much more effective moving the ball on the ground. 

Army has been stout against the run, holding opposing teams to 112 YPG even playing against Air Force and Navy. And now the Tigers best RB, Tyler Badie is sitting this one out.

As you expect for a service academy, Army is all about the run. And that is the Mizzou defense’s weak spot. They gave up 229 YPG on the ground, dead last in the SEC. 

​Army should be able to run all over the Tigers’ defense and pick up the win. But the spread is a bit too large for me, it moved from 3.5 to open to 6.5 now,  so I’ll take Army and the money line and parlay it with the under 54.0

PictureNorth Texas also likes to pound the rock
North Texas  vs Miami (OH) over 55.0 – It’s the “Look what I found in the seat cushions bowl” When the season ended, there were more teams qualified for a bowl than there were bowls, so the came up with the Frisco Football Classic. Not to be confused with last night’s Tropical Smoothie Café Frisco Bowl Bruce loves the names of these bowls – he has a few NSFW potential sponsors.

Both games are being played in Frisco TX, the beer vendors are getting a workout.

And how can this be a classic? They just made it up a couple weeks ago. It’s so new it’s not included in our Confidence Pool. Not that I have much confidence in this game.
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North Texas likes to run the ball. The Redskins struggle against the run. Miami (OH) likes to pass the ball. The Mean Green struggles against the pass.
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I have no idea which of these two 6-6- meh teams will win so I’ll go with the over 55.0

PictureBig Kat Bryant led the defensive resurgence for UCF
Central Florida +7.0 vs Florida – Now here’s a much more fun game. UCF loves to get their shots at the SEC. In 2017, they ended up a perfect season 13-0 season by beating Auburn, ironically against their current HC Gus Malzahn.

Similar to that game, this one will come down to whether the Gators are focused or just trying to get a disappointing season out of the way. Will they be the team that had Bama on the ropes in week 3 or the team that mailed it in throughout the rest of the year, getting HC Dan Mullen fired? Their best WR Jacob Copeland opting for the transfer portal might be a clue. 
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Despite bringing in Malzahn, UCF is not the high powered attack from years past. Losing starting QB Dillon Gabriel (also in week 3) put a damper on the passing game. The defense stepped up though, behind Auburn transfer (I wonder how that happened?) DL Big Kat Bryant. Over the last 6 games they didn’t let up more than 17 points.

I’m going with the more motivated team to cover. I'm not about to bet on a team that let up 52 points to Samford. 

1 Comment
Dwink
12/24/2021 12:43:49 am

Good bet on Army! A little salve after our coaching debacle vs Navy. As I told an old Air Force Academy friend who we beat in 1972, nice to see an academy sweep in the bowl games … oops, Navy didn’t get invited with a 4-8 record.

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