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2020 Week 11 - The SEC takes a time out

11/13/2020

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PictureState will be wearing Block S helmets to honor George Perles
It used to be that the SEC would go cupcake city in the penultimate week of the season. This year, the COVID bus took a tour of the Southeast, knocking out 4 SEC games – Texas A&M @ Tenn; UGA @ Mizzou; Auburn @ Miss State and perhaps the best game of the week Bama @ LSU. 

The Covid bus didn't limit its tour to just the Southeast. A full 15 games or 25% of the 59 scheduled games have been postponed or cancelled including 6 of the Top 25 teams. 

The slate is bit limited but there are still some good games on tap including:

Wisconsin -4.0 @ Michigan​ - While the rest of college football is sitting this one out, Wisconsin comes in from the sidelines. After two weeks of self quarantine, the Badgers look to continue Harbaugh's death spiral. 

Is Graham Mertz for real? We will find out as he faces a scUM secondary that gets torched on a weekly basis. 

Michigan is a mess right now (not that there's anything wrong with that). I'll lay a Mini Mega on a rested Bucky picking up where he left off and stomping the Wolverines. 

PictureThe Arkansas defense will keep it close against Florida
Arkansas +17.0 @ Florida – Arkansas QB Felipe Franks looks to upset his former school. Not that he is missed in Gainesville. Current gator QB, Kyle Trask, became the first SEC QB to throw for four TDs in five straight games in last week’s Cocktail Party win.  

Arkansas has just enough defense to keep this game close against a Florida team coming off last week’s high. I’ll put a Mini Mega on the Hogs.

Boston College +13.0 vs Notre Dame – Do you think Mootsie is worried? 2002, ND was 8-0 coming off a huge win over Florida State, the next week, BC 14 ND 7. In 1993, ND was 10-0 coming off a huge win over Florida State, the next week, BC 41 ND 39.
​
I’ll go with that trend and take the Eagle for a quatloo. 

PictureShane Beuchle leads the FBS in passing yards
SMU +3.0 @ Tulsa – It’s the AAC’s most balanced offense versus the best defense. SMU’s Shane Buechele leads the FBS in completions (189), attempts (283) and yards (2,581), while hitting for 20 TDs against only three picks. Try to limit him and the running game will hit you for an average 193 yards per game.

Tulsa has the best defense in the AAC but last we saw them they needed some help with questionable calls by the refs to beat a bad East Carolina.

SMU is 4-0 on the road. The wrong team is favored. I’ll lay a Mini Mega on the money line on SMU.
​
Miami (FL) -2.0 @ Va Tech – Liberty is good, but c’mon Va Tech that was embarrassing. Bet on these teams at your own risk. Some weeks’ they are world beaters, the next, they are losing to Liberty.
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I’ll take D’Eriq King to take apart a Hokie defense sorely missing Bud Foster. Put me in for a quatloo

PictureMarshall might get the themselves
And sporting investors may be interested in the games. I'll lay quatloos on all these

Fresno State -10.0 @ Utah State - USU is truly awful at college football. So bad they fired HC Gary Andersen three games into the season. The Bulldogs will bomb way against the 104th worst pass defense. Lay the points

USC @ Arizona Under 68.0 - The Condoms will get up early and coast in the second half. Arizona won't be able to score enough against the USC defense. 

Marshall vs Middle Tenn State over 57.0 - Conversely, Marshall just might get the over by themselves. They won't need too. The Blue Raiders have just enough pop to get to the high teens. You might have the over before the fourth quarter starts. 

For this week's Point Whore Parlay I'll go with:
Vanderbilt +17.0 @ Kentucky
Hawaii +11.0 @ San Diego State
Temple +25.5 @ Central Florida

​And this week I’m going wild with two money line parlays.

PictureWest Virginia is 4-0 at home
The first is a more aggressive one
Florida Atlantic over FIU
Rutgers over Illinois
West Virginia over TCU
Wisconsin over Michigan
 
The second is a more in line with what has been winning before
Cincinnati over East Carolina
Marshall over Middle Tenn State
Kentucky over Vanderbilt
​UL Lafayette over South Alabama
Appalachian St over Georgia St
UAB over North Texas (Cancelled after I made the pick - so down to a 7 game parlay)
Nevada over New Mexico
San Jose State over UNLV

Pat sent this over. I'm putting it in for no other reason than it brings back great memories

What ever happened to Hal?

And for all the games, spreads, picks and much much more here is the 2020 Week 11 Bettors Guide
2020_week_11_bettors_guide.xlsx
File Size: 60 kb
File Type: xlsx
Download File

Remember the 2021 Go Jumbo trip is Nov 13, 2021

And don't forget your drink coupons!
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