It's the best OL in the land versus The Sax Man and Saxy Lady established the initial pricing matrix for the naming rights to Baby Sax. $10,000 for the middle name, $50,000 for the first name. Sounds reasonable but I’ll see if there is a black Friday discount later on this month. In the mean time I’m considering a GoFundMe site. Got to get Spartacus in the name somewhere.
Week 11 is upon us and the games take on more importance. There is still plenty of time for teams to make or miss the CFP.
There are three games featuring ranked opponents this week starting with
Auburn +2.5 vs Georgia – Oh, this one should be a dandy. It’s the best OL in college ball (Georgia) versus the best DL (Auburn).
Week 11 is upon us and the games take on more importance. There is still plenty of time for teams to make or miss the CFP.
There are three games featuring ranked opponents this week starting with
Auburn +2.5 vs Georgia – Oh, this one should be a dandy. It’s the best OL in college ball (Georgia) versus the best DL (Auburn).
the best DL If you are going to beat Auburn, you have to stand up to their DL. Georgia can do that. The Dawg run game will be slowed but Fromm should be kept upright. Problem is, Fromm seems a bit off. Even in the 27-0 blow out against Mizzou. He completed less than 45% of his passes for 173 yards.
Bo Nix has had his bad moments too. In his three big games of the year, Oregon, LSU and Florida, Nix completed 42% of his passes. But those games were on the road. This game is in his crib.
The Georgia defense is superb. It ranks second only to Ohio State in points allowed. But they don’t pressure the QB all that much or make picks. Nix will have his chances to have a good time. He’ll need to. The Georgia defense is way too good against the run against and Tiger RB JaTarvious Whitlow is questionable with a knee injury.
Georgia needs this game to keep their CFP hopes alive. Auburn has a long track record of gut stomping Georgia’s hopes and wishes. Who can forget this play from 2013.
Bo Nix has had his bad moments too. In his three big games of the year, Oregon, LSU and Florida, Nix completed 42% of his passes. But those games were on the road. This game is in his crib.
The Georgia defense is superb. It ranks second only to Ohio State in points allowed. But they don’t pressure the QB all that much or make picks. Nix will have his chances to have a good time. He’ll need to. The Georgia defense is way too good against the run against and Tiger RB JaTarvious Whitlow is questionable with a knee injury.
Georgia needs this game to keep their CFP hopes alive. Auburn has a long track record of gut stomping Georgia’s hopes and wishes. Who can forget this play from 2013.
Jalen Hurts is having a fantastic year I get the feeling that this will be another one of those years. Auburn will crush another great year by Georgia and then will crush Bama's later on this year too. Oregon is helped Auburn win too. I love chaos!
No quatloos though. I'm already caught between Dr Big Guy and the Saxy Lady. Don't want that kind of chaos.
Baylor +10.0 vs Oklahoma – Game Day will be Waco. First place in the Big 12 is on the line. The Gaines' are furiously putting the final touches on the fixer uppers.
Oklahoma is coming off two shaky games. First there was a loss to Kansas State and then a nail biting 42-41 win over Iowa State. The offense is humming as always. It's second in scoring. Jalen Hurts is there to grab the Heisman if Joe Burrows slips. But the Sooner defense is back to its sieve like ways giving up 89 points over the two games.
The same things said last week about Minnesota are being repeated about Baylor this week. They haven’t played anyone, they don’t have the talent to keep up with Oklahoma. And then - Minnesota 31 Penn State 26.
It’s not like Oklahoma is playing anyone either, They have played three teams that are about to go bowling, barely beating Texas and Iowa State and losing to Kansas State.
Ten points is too much to give a solid Bear team. Baylor QB Charlie Brewer is not as good as Hurts but he'll look close against the Sooner defense. He'll keep the game close. The metric disagrees so I’ll keep the bet to a quatloo.
Perry is a threat through the ground and air Navy +7.5 @ Notre Dame – The fans aren't interested will the Domers be? Notre Dame has announced that they won't sell out after 273 games going back to the last Thanksgiving of the Nixon presidency.
The fans will be missing out on a unique player. It’s no surprise that a Navy QB racks up yards on the ground but Malcolm Perry is taking it to another level with 1,042 yards, 12th among all rushers, along with 16 TD so far on the season. But unlike normal triple option teams, he’s a threat through the air too. He’s passed for 722 yards and 6 TDs.
After a miserable season last year, Navy is on a roll going 7-1 including five straight wins.
Notre Dame looked like they were in consideration for a playoff spot after a close loss to Georgia but they’ve been struggling lately. They barely beat USC, then embarrassed by scUM before nipping Va Tech.
Navy will control the clock while ND QB Ian Brook will struggle to challenge the Navy secondary in chilly, breezy conditions. I’ll take the Middies for a quatloo.
The fans will be missing out on a unique player. It’s no surprise that a Navy QB racks up yards on the ground but Malcolm Perry is taking it to another level with 1,042 yards, 12th among all rushers, along with 16 TD so far on the season. But unlike normal triple option teams, he’s a threat through the air too. He’s passed for 722 yards and 6 TDs.
After a miserable season last year, Navy is on a roll going 7-1 including five straight wins.
Notre Dame looked like they were in consideration for a playoff spot after a close loss to Georgia but they’ve been struggling lately. They barely beat USC, then embarrassed by scUM before nipping Va Tech.
Navy will control the clock while ND QB Ian Brook will struggle to challenge the Navy secondary in chilly, breezy conditions. I’ll take the Middies for a quatloo.
Can Temple contain the Tulane rush attack? As the metric starts to slip it is generating more picks.
Marshall -4.5 vs La Tech – I had my doubts. La Tech is explosive and on a roll. The Bulldogs have won 8 straight after dropping their opener to Texas. But I stuck with the metric for a quatloo. Final Marshall 31 La Tech 10. Perhaps the metric is back to its winning ways.
We will see with:
Tulane -6.0 @ Temple – Tulane’s option attack is rolling. It has the 10th best ground game in the country which should pose a problem to a leaky Owl defense. For an option attack, the Green can still get you through the air averaging 212.3 passing yards per game. The Owls are vulnerable against the pass, giving up 234.2 passing yards per game.
Not only will Tulane move the ball against the Owls, the Green Wave also have one of the best scoring offenses in the country, averaging 36.4 points per game, 10 points more than the Owls average.
I’ll take the Wave for a quatloo.
Marshall -4.5 vs La Tech – I had my doubts. La Tech is explosive and on a roll. The Bulldogs have won 8 straight after dropping their opener to Texas. But I stuck with the metric for a quatloo. Final Marshall 31 La Tech 10. Perhaps the metric is back to its winning ways.
We will see with:
Tulane -6.0 @ Temple – Tulane’s option attack is rolling. It has the 10th best ground game in the country which should pose a problem to a leaky Owl defense. For an option attack, the Green can still get you through the air averaging 212.3 passing yards per game. The Owls are vulnerable against the pass, giving up 234.2 passing yards per game.
Not only will Tulane move the ball against the Owls, the Green Wave also have one of the best scoring offenses in the country, averaging 36.4 points per game, 10 points more than the Owls average.
I’ll take the Wave for a quatloo.
The Hole could score on the UMass defense Iowa -3.0 vs Minnesota – It’s a trap! A Top Ten team (Minnesota) is getting points against the 20th ranked team (Iowa)? And to top it off, Minnesota is coming in brimming with confidence after a huge win over Penn State while Iowa is dejected after a close loss to Wisconsin.
Gopher QB Tanner Morgan is deadly efficient, #4 overall, while Hawkeye QB Nate Stanley is meh. The public is taking the bait. I’m not. I'll stick with the metric. The Floyd of Rosedale stays in Iowa. I’ll take Iowa but no quatloos.
The Sheriff disagrees. He's a public kind of guy.
Northwestern -40.5 vs UMass – The metric got Northwestern wrong last week but just barely. Up 22-21 the Cats doink a FG that would have gotten the cover and forced Purdue to go for a TD. Purdue then wins on a FG with 3 seconds left.
Covering 2.5 is a whole lot different than covering nearly 6 TDs. Northwestern hasn’t scored 40 points in a game all year.
But if there is one team that Northwestern can score that many points on it’s the UMass. The fewest points the Minutemen have let up (other than to the worst team in Div 1A Akron) is 44 points. UConn is bad and they racked up 56. I’ll lay the points for a Mini Mega.
Gopher QB Tanner Morgan is deadly efficient, #4 overall, while Hawkeye QB Nate Stanley is meh. The public is taking the bait. I’m not. I'll stick with the metric. The Floyd of Rosedale stays in Iowa. I’ll take Iowa but no quatloos.
The Sheriff disagrees. He's a public kind of guy.
Northwestern -40.5 vs UMass – The metric got Northwestern wrong last week but just barely. Up 22-21 the Cats doink a FG that would have gotten the cover and forced Purdue to go for a TD. Purdue then wins on a FG with 3 seconds left.
Covering 2.5 is a whole lot different than covering nearly 6 TDs. Northwestern hasn’t scored 40 points in a game all year.
But if there is one team that Northwestern can score that many points on it’s the UMass. The fewest points the Minutemen have let up (other than to the worst team in Div 1A Akron) is 44 points. UConn is bad and they racked up 56. I’ll lay the points for a Mini Mega.
Texas can't stop anyone through the air Iowa State -7.0 vs Texas – I’m OK with this one. Texas has no defense. The Longhorn pass defense is 124th overall. In comes Iowa State and QB Brock Purdy with the 8th best passing game..
Texas is getting roasted for well over 230 yards per game by everyone except inept Rice and giving up two touchdown passes or more in every game.
Purdy was awful last year against the Longhorns throwing three picks. He’ll get his revenge and torch the Texas secondary.
In what should be a high scoring game I’ll go with the Cyclones as they have some semblance of a defense. Texas does not. Plus Iowa State is 20-7-1 ATS after a loss. That’s a nice streak to rely on.
Just a quatloo though. I’d go for more if the spread were under a TD.
Ball State -2.5 vs Central Michigan – Not sure I like this one. Ball State is getting gashed against the run while Central is among the best is stopping the running attack.
Ball State is demoralized after blowing a lead against western Michigan in a key MAC west game. They allowed a whopping 506 total yards including 382 on the ground. Central comes in hot after crushing 48-10 Northern Illinois.
I’m going to go against the metric here and take the Chips and the points.
Texas is getting roasted for well over 230 yards per game by everyone except inept Rice and giving up two touchdown passes or more in every game.
Purdy was awful last year against the Longhorns throwing three picks. He’ll get his revenge and torch the Texas secondary.
In what should be a high scoring game I’ll go with the Cyclones as they have some semblance of a defense. Texas does not. Plus Iowa State is 20-7-1 ATS after a loss. That’s a nice streak to rely on.
Just a quatloo though. I’d go for more if the spread were under a TD.
Ball State -2.5 vs Central Michigan – Not sure I like this one. Ball State is getting gashed against the run while Central is among the best is stopping the running attack.
Ball State is demoralized after blowing a lead against western Michigan in a key MAC west game. They allowed a whopping 506 total yards including 382 on the ground. Central comes in hot after crushing 48-10 Northern Illinois.
I’m going to go against the metric here and take the Chips and the points.
Mizzou's offense is sputtering Florida -6.5 @ Mizzou – It was those late summer days. Pleasant afternoons, cool evenings and Mizzou was 5-1. I was one of those wondering if the Tigers would win the SEC east. Three ugly losses later and HC Barry Odom’s fanny is getting just a little warm. Losses to vandy and Kentucky were bad enough then came an ugly blanking by Georgia. Mizzou has been outscored 77-21 during the slide.
Tiger QB Kelly Bryant hasn’t been healthy for weeks and missed the Georgia game. If he does play, his hammy is going to be a liability against a Gator defense that leads the SEC in sacks and TFL’s
This feels a bit like a trap, but Mizzou has yet to beat at team this year that will go bowling, and the one good team it played, Georgia, just shutout it out.
It won’t be a blow out, Florida’s offense is struggling a bot too and Mizzou has enough defense to keep it interesting. But it’s a revenge game for the Gators. They are #11 for a reason and should win this with room to spare.
Tiger QB Kelly Bryant hasn’t been healthy for weeks and missed the Georgia game. If he does play, his hammy is going to be a liability against a Gator defense that leads the SEC in sacks and TFL’s
This feels a bit like a trap, but Mizzou has yet to beat at team this year that will go bowling, and the one good team it played, Georgia, just shutout it out.
It won’t be a blow out, Florida’s offense is struggling a bot too and Mizzou has enough defense to keep it interesting. But it’s a revenge game for the Gators. They are #11 for a reason and should win this with room to spare.
The UNLV isn't stopping anyone Hawaii -6.5 @UNLV –. UNLV is bad. How bad you ask? They’ve dropped three straight and seven of their last eight games UNLV is only one of two teams without a win in conference play in the Mountain West. There’s been seven losses against Div 1A teams, six of them were by ten points or more.
UNLV is inept on both sides of the ball. They are 102nd in scoring offense (23.6 points PPG) and 116th in scoring defense (allowing 34.4). The offense that can’t move the chains, isn’t consistent, and doesn’t have the ground game to slow things down when the defense is getting blasted.
Meanwhile, Hawaii will blast away. It’s 16th in the FBS in scoring offense (37.3 PPG).
Sure the Warriors defense is not much to talk about giving up 36.4 PPG (124th overall). But that passing attack, wow! - 249 YPG (3rd overall). It will be a high scoring game but UNLV will make sputter now and then. Hawaii will just keep on scoring.
UNLV is inept on both sides of the ball. They are 102nd in scoring offense (23.6 points PPG) and 116th in scoring defense (allowing 34.4). The offense that can’t move the chains, isn’t consistent, and doesn’t have the ground game to slow things down when the defense is getting blasted.
Meanwhile, Hawaii will blast away. It’s 16th in the FBS in scoring offense (37.3 PPG).
Sure the Warriors defense is not much to talk about giving up 36.4 PPG (124th overall). But that passing attack, wow! - 249 YPG (3rd overall). It will be a high scoring game but UNLV will make sputter now and then. Hawaii will just keep on scoring.
Miss State relies on Kylin Hill and the run game. It won't be enough Alabama -17.5 @ Mississippi State – The Tide needs this. They really need to win this game to keep their CFP perfect attendance award going. And they have to do it in fine fashion. Clipping the Bulldogs just won’t do.
Yeah, the lost to LSU last week but after spotting the Tigers a 33-13 lead the Tide came storming back, they just couldn’t get over the hump in a 46-41 loss.
That second half Tide is what will come out of the tunnel in Starkville. The other MSU really has no defense. They let four teams in a row hit over 70% of their passes and are OK letting you hit the deep ball.
Tua is expected to play but will be a bit hobbled. Doesn’t matter. Mississippi State can’t get after the QB.
They can’t pass the ball either relying on RB Kylin Hill and QB Garrett Shrader to move the chains with their feet. Bama’s defense may not be up to the usual Saban standards but the can stop one dimensional teams.
The Tide backups will be playing in the 3rd quarter.
And from the Sheriff this week we have:
Yeah, the lost to LSU last week but after spotting the Tigers a 33-13 lead the Tide came storming back, they just couldn’t get over the hump in a 46-41 loss.
That second half Tide is what will come out of the tunnel in Starkville. The other MSU really has no defense. They let four teams in a row hit over 70% of their passes and are OK letting you hit the deep ball.
Tua is expected to play but will be a bit hobbled. Doesn’t matter. Mississippi State can’t get after the QB.
They can’t pass the ball either relying on RB Kylin Hill and QB Garrett Shrader to move the chains with their feet. Bama’s defense may not be up to the usual Saban standards but the can stop one dimensional teams.
The Tide backups will be playing in the 3rd quarter.
And from the Sheriff this week we have:
The Sheriff loves that stingy Utah defense No need to check your spreadsheet, the Sheriff went 0-3 last week. The hits keep coming and the picks keep sucking …
Minnesota (+3) @ Iowa - The Sheriff has drunk the kool-aid and is furiously rowing the boat. That win last week against Penn State was no fluke. The Golden Gophers were the better team. Better coached, too.
Utah (-21) vs UCLA - The Sheriff has bet against UCLA twice this year and been burned both times. Why is he going for the hat trick? Because he can’t see how UCLA is going to be able to run the ball against the stingiest defense in the PAC-12. This is the toughest game left on the Ute’s schedule and the only team that can catch them for the PAC-12 South championship. As tempting as the 21 is, the Sheriff thinks Utah is going to hammer the Baby Bruins.
Rutgers (+52) vs Ohio State - What the hell, why not?
Remember the 2020 GO JUMBO trip is Oct 24th at the Westgate SuperBook
Minnesota (+3) @ Iowa - The Sheriff has drunk the kool-aid and is furiously rowing the boat. That win last week against Penn State was no fluke. The Golden Gophers were the better team. Better coached, too.
Utah (-21) vs UCLA - The Sheriff has bet against UCLA twice this year and been burned both times. Why is he going for the hat trick? Because he can’t see how UCLA is going to be able to run the ball against the stingiest defense in the PAC-12. This is the toughest game left on the Ute’s schedule and the only team that can catch them for the PAC-12 South championship. As tempting as the 21 is, the Sheriff thinks Utah is going to hammer the Baby Bruins.
Rutgers (+52) vs Ohio State - What the hell, why not?
Remember the 2020 GO JUMBO trip is Oct 24th at the Westgate SuperBook
