Temple -3.5 vs Duke – Independence Bowl – Temple comes into Shreveport on a roll. They won 6 of their last seven just missing out on the AAC championship game to undefeated Central Florida. It was good enough to get a promotion for Geoff Collins who will be coaching on the Flats next year for Tech.
Duke was measurable to close out the season losing their last two games by a combined score of 94-13.
When the Blue Devils click through the air and throw a ton of touchdown passes, they win. Duke there three touchdown passes or more six times and went 5-1, only losing the wild shootout to Pitt. Temple’s secondary is good, but it had problems against the teams that could throw, giving up three scoring passes or more five times, going 1-4.
Temple likes to throw interceptions. They were spread out – for the most part – but the Owls give up a whole bunch of picks with 15 on the year including two or more four times. But the Duke secondary is awful, ranking 116th against the pass. They won’t exploit Temples weakness.
Duke was measurable to close out the season losing their last two games by a combined score of 94-13.
When the Blue Devils click through the air and throw a ton of touchdown passes, they win. Duke there three touchdown passes or more six times and went 5-1, only losing the wild shootout to Pitt. Temple’s secondary is good, but it had problems against the teams that could throw, giving up three scoring passes or more five times, going 1-4.
Temple likes to throw interceptions. They were spread out – for the most part – but the Owls give up a whole bunch of picks with 15 on the year including two or more four times. But the Duke secondary is awful, ranking 116th against the pass. They won’t exploit Temples weakness.
What Temples does is score averaging 35.6 PPG. It’s balanced and explosive with just enough defense behind it to hog tie a floundering Duke offense. Junior QB Daniel Jones was receiving some interest from NFL scouts, but enters the bowl season having passed for fewer than 160 yards in three of the last four games.
Duke struggles on defense too. Among Duke's biggest weaknesses on the other side of the ball is a rush defense that allows 222.3 yards per game on average – 116th overall.
Duke is a smart school. They don’t commit penalties. They were only flagged four times per game for 35 yards, On the flip side, Temple gets hit hard by flags, committing close to eight penalties for 73 yards per game.
Temple is better liked by bettors. They went 8-4 ATS. Duke went 3-9 ATS.
I’m going to go with the red hot Temple to cover the short spread vs a sliding Duke team with a struggling defense. Put me in for a Mini Mega. The Saxy Lady has verified this pick before kickoff.
Duke struggles on defense too. Among Duke's biggest weaknesses on the other side of the ball is a rush defense that allows 222.3 yards per game on average – 116th overall.
Duke is a smart school. They don’t commit penalties. They were only flagged four times per game for 35 yards, On the flip side, Temple gets hit hard by flags, committing close to eight penalties for 73 yards per game.
Temple is better liked by bettors. They went 8-4 ATS. Duke went 3-9 ATS.
I’m going to go with the red hot Temple to cover the short spread vs a sliding Duke team with a struggling defense. Put me in for a Mini Mega. The Saxy Lady has verified this pick before kickoff.
Wisconsin +2.5 vs Miami (FL) – Pinstripe Bowl – Wait a minute. Didn’t we play this game last year? We did, except it was in a much better venue – the Orange Bowl. Both teams have fallen (devastatingly) equally such that they are playing in the Bronx instead of Miami.
Wisconsin’s woes start on the defensive line where, last year they had 42 sacks. This year it plummeted to 18. Adding to their woes, starting QB Alex Hornibeck hasn’t passed the concussion protocol and is out. Sophomore, Jack Coan will blow a red shirt to start.
Miami’s woes are at QB too. Malik Rosier sucked and was replaced freshman N’Kosi Perry. He was even worse. In the season finale against Pitt, he completed just 6 of 24 for 52 yards.
Wisconsin’s offense revolves entirely around Doak Walker winner Jonathon Taylor. He needs just 11 yards to have 2,000 on the season. Taylor is a 100 yard machine, hitting the number in every game but one, a loss to Northwestern. He had 4 three TD games, all wins. Wisconsin is 7-0 when he hits the 200 yard mark.
Wisconsin’s woes start on the defensive line where, last year they had 42 sacks. This year it plummeted to 18. Adding to their woes, starting QB Alex Hornibeck hasn’t passed the concussion protocol and is out. Sophomore, Jack Coan will blow a red shirt to start.
Miami’s woes are at QB too. Malik Rosier sucked and was replaced freshman N’Kosi Perry. He was even worse. In the season finale against Pitt, he completed just 6 of 24 for 52 yards.
Wisconsin’s offense revolves entirely around Doak Walker winner Jonathon Taylor. He needs just 11 yards to have 2,000 on the season. Taylor is a 100 yard machine, hitting the number in every game but one, a loss to Northwestern. He had 4 three TD games, all wins. Wisconsin is 7-0 when he hits the 200 yard mark.
For Miami, it’s all about the defense and the Turnover Chain. The Canes defense ended the season ranked #1in the nation in a number of categories, including passing yards allowed per game (140.8), third-down conversion percentage (23.7) and tackles for loss (10.5 per game).Miami was 2nd in the country in terms of yards allowed per game (268.1), and the 18.2 points per game they allowed was good enough for 15th in the nation as well.
Miami thrived on takeaways with 24 takeaways (#1) on the season, going 4-1 when coming up with two or more. The Badgers are all too happy to give the ball away, doing it 23 times including two or more times in six of the last seven games.
The Doak Walker winner needed just 11 yards to hit the 2,000 barrier in a special year and a bright spot in a dismal season for the team. He ran for 130 against the Hurricanes last season, and now, behind a special line full of NFL talent, it’s going to be blast away, blast away, blast away until things start to open up. Again, the time off should do this team good. He’s been a 100-yard machine, hitting the mark in every game but the loss to Northwestern. Fumbles have been a problem at times, but he has still been good for four, three-touchdown games – all wins. Wisconsin is 7-0 when he runs for 200 yards.
Wisconsin has been better in bowls lately, winning four straight after going 1-6 previously. For Miami, it’s the reverse. They went on an incredible run from 1196-2004 going 7-1 the lone loss being the epic 2003 Fiesta Bowl for the national title. But since 2008, the Canes are a pathetic 1-7 in bowl games.
Plenty of betting slips ended in the Cup of Infamy on these teams. Canes are 5-11 ATS. Bucky is 3-9 ATS this year.
I’m going to take Miami (FL) in this one. Their defense is comparable to scUM's which pounded Wiscy in a 25 point win. The talk is how he Canes won’t like the weather but it’s not that bad at 42 degrees. Taylor will try to get the run game going but the Bucky offense will be too one dimensional and a rookie QB won’t be able to get things going.
Should be a low scoring slugfest too. I’ll put quatloos on the Canes and the under 43.5
Miami thrived on takeaways with 24 takeaways (#1) on the season, going 4-1 when coming up with two or more. The Badgers are all too happy to give the ball away, doing it 23 times including two or more times in six of the last seven games.
The Doak Walker winner needed just 11 yards to hit the 2,000 barrier in a special year and a bright spot in a dismal season for the team. He ran for 130 against the Hurricanes last season, and now, behind a special line full of NFL talent, it’s going to be blast away, blast away, blast away until things start to open up. Again, the time off should do this team good. He’s been a 100-yard machine, hitting the mark in every game but the loss to Northwestern. Fumbles have been a problem at times, but he has still been good for four, three-touchdown games – all wins. Wisconsin is 7-0 when he runs for 200 yards.
Wisconsin has been better in bowls lately, winning four straight after going 1-6 previously. For Miami, it’s the reverse. They went on an incredible run from 1196-2004 going 7-1 the lone loss being the epic 2003 Fiesta Bowl for the national title. But since 2008, the Canes are a pathetic 1-7 in bowl games.
Plenty of betting slips ended in the Cup of Infamy on these teams. Canes are 5-11 ATS. Bucky is 3-9 ATS this year.
I’m going to take Miami (FL) in this one. Their defense is comparable to scUM's which pounded Wiscy in a 25 point win. The talk is how he Canes won’t like the weather but it’s not that bad at 42 degrees. Taylor will try to get the run game going but the Bucky offense will be too one dimensional and a rookie QB won’t be able to get things going.
Should be a low scoring slugfest too. I’ll put quatloos on the Canes and the under 43.5