New Mexico Bowl – Marshall +5.5 vs Colorado State – Another couple drunken stumblers into a bowl game. Both teams are 7-5 but backed their ways in. Marshall started out 6-1 but dropped four of their last five. CSU started out 6-2 but then lost three straight before beating a bad San Jose State in the season finale.
It’s a classic strength vs strength featuring Colorado States high powered offense vs an aggressive, stingy Marshall defense.
The combination of QB Nick Stevens to WR Michael Gallup drives the Rams offense. Stevens had just under 3.500 yards passing. Biletnikoff Award candidate Gallup accounted for 1,345 of those yards on 95 catches. They are the main reason why CSU was 10th in yards per game at 501.1.
And just when you start focusing on Stevens to Gallup, CSU will gash you with RB Dalyn Dawkins. Dawkins had 1,349 yards on the season 16th overall in the nation.
They will face a stiff test against a Herd defense that was 17th in scoring defense and 24th in overall defense.
Marshall is fantastic in Bowls. They are the best in Div 1A at 10-2. CSU struggles going 6-10.
CSU has the experience at the venue to playing here. They play New Mexico in the Mountain West
They say bowl games are more about the coaches than the teams. That’s why, even though the matchup favors CSU, I’m backing Marshall. HC Doc Holliday is a perfect 4-0 ATS on bowls. They are also 5-0 ATS as the underdog too
Colorado State is not your betting friend dropping their last six straight ATS this season.
No quatloos though. CSU seems like a much better team.
It’s a classic strength vs strength featuring Colorado States high powered offense vs an aggressive, stingy Marshall defense.
The combination of QB Nick Stevens to WR Michael Gallup drives the Rams offense. Stevens had just under 3.500 yards passing. Biletnikoff Award candidate Gallup accounted for 1,345 of those yards on 95 catches. They are the main reason why CSU was 10th in yards per game at 501.1.
And just when you start focusing on Stevens to Gallup, CSU will gash you with RB Dalyn Dawkins. Dawkins had 1,349 yards on the season 16th overall in the nation.
They will face a stiff test against a Herd defense that was 17th in scoring defense and 24th in overall defense.
Marshall is fantastic in Bowls. They are the best in Div 1A at 10-2. CSU struggles going 6-10.
CSU has the experience at the venue to playing here. They play New Mexico in the Mountain West
They say bowl games are more about the coaches than the teams. That’s why, even though the matchup favors CSU, I’m backing Marshall. HC Doc Holliday is a perfect 4-0 ATS on bowls. They are also 5-0 ATS as the underdog too
Colorado State is not your betting friend dropping their last six straight ATS this season.
No quatloos though. CSU seems like a much better team.
Camellia Bowl – Arkansas State -4.0 vs Middle Tenn State – Tow high scoring offenses with aggressive defences. This game should be a dandy.
MTSU QB Brent Stockstill cracked his sternum in game two this year. When he came back the Blue Raiders were 3-5. He promptly went 3-1. Against Syracuse he threw for 269 yards and 3 TDs in the win. He has three TDs in four of his five games since coming back.
Arkansas State has the better QB. Justice Hansen, an Oklahoma transfer completed 64% of his passes for 3,630 yards and 34 TDs. He also ran for another 6 TDs. He’s 6-4, big amn mobile. The junior will have lots of NFL scouts in the stands next year.
Both teams like to turn up the heat on defense. MTSU is 18th in tackles for loss wile ASU is 6th. The Red Wolves were also 10th in sacks averaging three per game. The main reason is DE Rolland Jones. He is one sack away from setting the DIV 1A record set by Terrell Suggs.
I’m going to go with Arkansas State. MTSU us a turnover machine. They are -12 on the year 121st overall.
The red Wolves have the better offense and defense and are more friendly to bettors. MTSU is 0-4 ATS in bowl games while Arkansas State is 5-2 ATS in their last seven as a favorite.
Make it the first Mega Bet of the Bowl Season
MTSU QB Brent Stockstill cracked his sternum in game two this year. When he came back the Blue Raiders were 3-5. He promptly went 3-1. Against Syracuse he threw for 269 yards and 3 TDs in the win. He has three TDs in four of his five games since coming back.
Arkansas State has the better QB. Justice Hansen, an Oklahoma transfer completed 64% of his passes for 3,630 yards and 34 TDs. He also ran for another 6 TDs. He’s 6-4, big amn mobile. The junior will have lots of NFL scouts in the stands next year.
Both teams like to turn up the heat on defense. MTSU is 18th in tackles for loss wile ASU is 6th. The Red Wolves were also 10th in sacks averaging three per game. The main reason is DE Rolland Jones. He is one sack away from setting the DIV 1A record set by Terrell Suggs.
I’m going to go with Arkansas State. MTSU us a turnover machine. They are -12 on the year 121st overall.
The red Wolves have the better offense and defense and are more friendly to bettors. MTSU is 0-4 ATS in bowl games while Arkansas State is 5-2 ATS in their last seven as a favorite.
Make it the first Mega Bet of the Bowl Season
I'm going to go with a couple Mini Megas on Week 15 in the NFL
New Orleans -15.5 vs NY Jets - It's Brees coming off a loss at home versus 3rd string Bryce Petty. I'll take that matchup all day long.
The reason New Orleans lost is that they lost Alvin Kamara in the opening possession. He's back and the Saints will roll.
New England -3.0 @ Pittsburgh - Brady coming off a loss? That's money. He's 37-16 ATS off a loss, 32-6 when the spread is less than seven.
Pittsburgh has the offense to keep up but lost LB Ryan Shazier. Without him the Steeler defense is a sieve. They let up 38 points to the Ravens last week. Imagine what Brady in FU mode will do.
New Orleans -15.5 vs NY Jets - It's Brees coming off a loss at home versus 3rd string Bryce Petty. I'll take that matchup all day long.
The reason New Orleans lost is that they lost Alvin Kamara in the opening possession. He's back and the Saints will roll.
New England -3.0 @ Pittsburgh - Brady coming off a loss? That's money. He's 37-16 ATS off a loss, 32-6 when the spread is less than seven.
Pittsburgh has the offense to keep up but lost LB Ryan Shazier. Without him the Steeler defense is a sieve. They let up 38 points to the Ravens last week. Imagine what Brady in FU mode will do.