
Buffalo +1.5 @ Kansas City - Is this the year Buffalo finally gets over the hump and beats KC? If not, will they ever? Buffalo and KC play about even during the regular season, but once the playoffs start, Buffalo crumbles like a table to the Buffalo Mafia.
Yeah, I’ll take Buffalo to finally beat Mahomes and the traveling circus. It starts with Josh Allen. Allen is playing the best football of his career heading into the AFC Championship. He completed nearly 64 percent of his passes this year for 3,731 yards to go along with 28 touchdowns and just six interceptions. He has turned the ball over just eight times this season compared to 22 last year.
More importantly, the Bills have been dominant in the red zone. They are second in the NFL in red zone offense this season. They'll rely heavily on the ground game against the Chiefs, utilizing Allen and running backs James Cook, Ty Johnson, and Ray Davis. All four combined for over 140 yards rushing against a stingy Ravens' run defense.
Yeah, I’ll take Buffalo to finally beat Mahomes and the traveling circus. It starts with Josh Allen. Allen is playing the best football of his career heading into the AFC Championship. He completed nearly 64 percent of his passes this year for 3,731 yards to go along with 28 touchdowns and just six interceptions. He has turned the ball over just eight times this season compared to 22 last year.
More importantly, the Bills have been dominant in the red zone. They are second in the NFL in red zone offense this season. They'll rely heavily on the ground game against the Chiefs, utilizing Allen and running backs James Cook, Ty Johnson, and Ray Davis. All four combined for over 140 yards rushing against a stingy Ravens' run defense.

The Chiefs' ground game, meanwhile, has gotten progressively worse this season and has become almost a non-factor. They had just 50 yards rushing against the Texans allowing over five yards per carry. And that was without having to worry about Stroud as a viable running threat.
The huge key to this game will be in the red zone and turnovers. The Bills have the second-best red zone offense in the NFL while the Chiefs finished just 24th in red zone offense. The Bills are #1 in the NFL in turnover margin. They won the turnover battle in the first meeting between these two teams. The Bills are on the cusp and they have to know it. They'll finally get over the hump on Sunday and head to the Super Bowl.
I’ll pass on the over under but will take some player props
James Cook any time TD +125 – Cook ahs scored a TD in 9 of his last 11 gams including 2 against Kansas City in week 11
Khalil Shakir over 60 yards receiving - 110 - The king of YAC and the deep ball will strike. He’s averaged 64 yards receiving in the playoffs and had 70 yards against KC in week 11.
Xavier Worthy over 50 yards receiving -127 - The Bills blanketed Kelce in week 11 holding him to 2 catches for 8 yards. If the Bills focus on stopping Kelce it frees up Worthy who had 61 yards in that game. Worthy has gone over on the receiving yards prop 7 out of his last 8 games.
The huge key to this game will be in the red zone and turnovers. The Bills have the second-best red zone offense in the NFL while the Chiefs finished just 24th in red zone offense. The Bills are #1 in the NFL in turnover margin. They won the turnover battle in the first meeting between these two teams. The Bills are on the cusp and they have to know it. They'll finally get over the hump on Sunday and head to the Super Bowl.
I’ll pass on the over under but will take some player props
James Cook any time TD +125 – Cook ahs scored a TD in 9 of his last 11 gams including 2 against Kansas City in week 11
Khalil Shakir over 60 yards receiving - 110 - The king of YAC and the deep ball will strike. He’s averaged 64 yards receiving in the playoffs and had 70 yards against KC in week 11.
Xavier Worthy over 50 yards receiving -127 - The Bills blanketed Kelce in week 11 holding him to 2 catches for 8 yards. If the Bills focus on stopping Kelce it frees up Worthy who had 61 yards in that game. Worthy has gone over on the receiving yards prop 7 out of his last 8 games.