Mendoza is the heavy favorite to be the #1 overall pick It’s the 50th anniversary of Hole Night! An epic moment in our dorm floors history that is still celebrated every Thursday. And while I will be hoisting some nice Irish and enjoying a fine cigar with my old friends, I’ll also be tracking the 2026 draft. The NFL Draft travels to the home of the Terrible Towel with the Raiders on the clock. Fernando Mendoza is the odds on favorite to be pick number 1. If he is, he will be only the fourth QB to win the Heisman, a national championship and be selected @1 overall since 1967. (Joe Burrow, Jameis Winston and Cam Newton)
The phone lines are likely be burning as most teams are looking to trade back. And the conversations will be faster and more furious this year as the time to make selections has dropped from 10 minutes to 8 minutes this year.
After several years of drafts going QB heavy in the first day, this year might have just one in Mendoza. The over under for QBs in Round 1 is 1.5 with QB Ty Simpson form Bama going either late in the first or early in the second. If he goes in the first round it will likely be the Cardinals at 31. But Arizona may wait until 2027 for a better QB draft class.
The day 1 draft will lean heavy on CBs (4.5 O/U) OL (7.5) and WR (5.5) expected to be taken.
The phone lines are likely be burning as most teams are looking to trade back. And the conversations will be faster and more furious this year as the time to make selections has dropped from 10 minutes to 8 minutes this year.
After several years of drafts going QB heavy in the first day, this year might have just one in Mendoza. The over under for QBs in Round 1 is 1.5 with QB Ty Simpson form Bama going either late in the first or early in the second. If he goes in the first round it will likely be the Cardinals at 31. But Arizona may wait until 2027 for a better QB draft class.
The day 1 draft will lean heavy on CBs (4.5 O/U) OL (7.5) and WR (5.5) expected to be taken.
I'll take Love at #3 to Arizona After doing my home work, I did the following investments:
Unlike last year where the first 4 picks were pretty much a lock, this year the fun starts at pick #2. After doing my research, I’ll take:
#2 David Bailey DE Texas Tech at -135
#3 Jeremiyah Love RB Notre Dame +180
#4 Sonny Styles LB Ohio State +155
#7 Carnell Tate WR Ohio State +235
#13 Makai Lemon WR USC +225
#16 Akheem Mesidor DE Miami (FL) +380
#24 Denzel Boston WR Washington +500
I’m seeing a lot of conflicting advice on the Lions at 17 including a potential to trade up. I’m going to pass on the Lions trading up to grab Kaydan Proctor OT out of Bama and hedge by making 2 wagers:
#17 Monroe Freeling OT Georgia +300 and
#17 Keldric Faulk DE Auburn +2000
Unlike last year where the first 4 picks were pretty much a lock, this year the fun starts at pick #2. After doing my research, I’ll take:
#2 David Bailey DE Texas Tech at -135
#3 Jeremiyah Love RB Notre Dame +180
#4 Sonny Styles LB Ohio State +155
#7 Carnell Tate WR Ohio State +235
#13 Makai Lemon WR USC +225
#16 Akheem Mesidor DE Miami (FL) +380
#24 Denzel Boston WR Washington +500
I’m seeing a lot of conflicting advice on the Lions at 17 including a potential to trade up. I’m going to pass on the Lions trading up to grab Kaydan Proctor OT out of Bama and hedge by making 2 wagers:
#17 Monroe Freeling OT Georgia +300 and
#17 Keldric Faulk DE Auburn +2000
I also like Sonny Styles to Tennessee at #4 I’ll also make these prop bets:
Under 5.5 draft pick - Sonny Styles LB Ohio State -110
Under 7.5 draft pick – Carnell Tate WR Ohio State +105
Under 8.5 draft pick – Jordyn Tyson WR Arizona State -225
Under 10.5 draft pick - Mansoor Delane CB LSU -135
Over 10.5 draft pick – Spencer Fano OT Utah +100
Under 15.5 draft pick – Kenyon Sadiq TE Oregon -120
Over 23.5 draft pick – Omar Cooper WR Indiana +135
Over 24.5 draft pick - KC Concepcion WR Texas A&M +100
Under 25.5 draft pick - Akheem Mesidor DE Miami (FL) -330
Under 26.5 draft pick - Denzel Boston WR Washington -105
And finally:
Will Arizona draft both Jeremiyah Love RB Notre Dame and Ty Simpson QB Alabama – Yes +350
I'm taking some real flyers here. If only a few pay off it will be a profitable night. Then again, disaster could strike with a few trades and teams falling in love with certain players. It's what makes the draft so much fun!
And all these investments are made on who I think teams will take not necessarily who they should take. That will part of the next Big Book of Guesses update.
Yahooooo! It’s Hole Night!
Under 5.5 draft pick - Sonny Styles LB Ohio State -110
Under 7.5 draft pick – Carnell Tate WR Ohio State +105
Under 8.5 draft pick – Jordyn Tyson WR Arizona State -225
Under 10.5 draft pick - Mansoor Delane CB LSU -135
Over 10.5 draft pick – Spencer Fano OT Utah +100
Under 15.5 draft pick – Kenyon Sadiq TE Oregon -120
Over 23.5 draft pick – Omar Cooper WR Indiana +135
Over 24.5 draft pick - KC Concepcion WR Texas A&M +100
Under 25.5 draft pick - Akheem Mesidor DE Miami (FL) -330
Under 26.5 draft pick - Denzel Boston WR Washington -105
And finally:
Will Arizona draft both Jeremiyah Love RB Notre Dame and Ty Simpson QB Alabama – Yes +350
I'm taking some real flyers here. If only a few pay off it will be a profitable night. Then again, disaster could strike with a few trades and teams falling in love with certain players. It's what makes the draft so much fun!
And all these investments are made on who I think teams will take not necessarily who they should take. That will part of the next Big Book of Guesses update.
Yahooooo! It’s Hole Night!
