The Big Book of Guesses
  • Latest
  • About BBofG
  • Previous MEGA BETS
  • 2025 Bettors Guide
  • The Database
  • Glossary
  • Past Picks

2025 Week 11 - Freeze Frame on the Plains

11/8/2025

0 Comments

 
PictureNot much patience with had coaches on the Plains
​Another week, another coach gets the Ziggy. This time it’s Auburn’s High Freeze. Supposedly an offensive guru and QB whisperer, and with boosters pouring more than $10 million into the roster with a top 10 transfer class, the Tigers were supposed run everyone off the field.

Didn’t quite work out that way. Auburn hasn’t score over 17 points in SEC play all season. On Saturday they lost to lowly Kentucky  having more punts (7) than points (3). In the end Freeze was 15-18 on the Plains (including losses to New Mexico St, Cal and Mississippi St) and 6-15 in SEC play.

Auburn has some deep pockets and little patience. In 2022 they paid a then-record $21.4 million buyout to Gus Malzahn, then another$15.3 million for firing Bryan Harsin after less than two seasons. And it will cost the school another $15.4 million to move on from Freeze.

​Still less combined than what Franklin got at Penn State and Jimbo got at A&M.

PictureRhett and his Mustangs are 13-1 in ACC play
Also getting the Ziggy were college football fans like me who subscribe to YouTube TV. Their dispute with ABC and ESPN meant that 2/3 of the college football games weren’t available. Figure it out A$$hats. Just don’t make me pay for it.

With Miami (FL)'s second loss and Georgia Tech falling to NC State, the ACC’s chances of multiple CFP bids just went down the toilet. It’s likely that the highest rated ACC team will be outside the Top 12 when the selections are made.
​
And just when the ACC couldn’t use any more havoc, Pitt is on a roll and finishes with Notre Dame, Tech and the Canes.

With the win over Miami (FL), SMU under Rhett Lashlee (could there be a more Southern name?)  is now 13-1 in ACC play. A good week for Rhett. He signed an lucrative extension through 2032 to fend off his alma mater Arkansas then promptly led the Mustangs to their first top-10 win since their pre-Death Penalty era in 1983.
​

But with 3 losses on the season so far he will need to win the ACC be in the playoffs.

PictureUVA is 5-0 in the ACC (that loss to NC State didn't count)
The ACC leader as we head into November – Virginia at 5-0 (the loss earlier in the season to NC State was technically not an ACC game). Besides SMU the other one conference loss teams are Tech, Pitt Louisville and Duke.
​

The Cavs are this year’s cardiac kids, their last six wins all came down to the final minute.

How far has Clemson fallen. The Tigers loss to Duke was the first time that's happened since Jimmy Carter was President. Clemson needs to win three of their last four to be bowl eligible. Not a gimme with Louisville and South Carolina on the docket.

Even more of a cluster than the ACC is the American conference. Five teams sit with one loss in conference play North Texas, Navy, South Florida, UT San Antonio and East Carolina. The Group of 5 representative will come from the American if they stop knocking each other off.

PictureThe Aztecs are laying in wait as the American keeps knocking each other off
Still in contention outside of the American is San Diego State in the Mountain West. After losing to Washington State in week 2, the destroyed Cal 34-0 and haven’t looked back The Aztecs sit at 7-1, 4-0 in conference play.

Is Arch Manning rounding into form. A week after throwing for 346 yards and 3 TDs against Mississippi State, he threw for another 328 yards and 3 TDs in a crucial win over Vandy. Is he for real? We will find out during Go Jumbo when he travels to Athens.

By the way great game in Nashville. Longhorns led 34-10 going into the fourth quarter. Vandy  scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter and came this close to recovering a final onside kick.

​No one starts out better to start the season and face plants late more than Maryland. Since 2023, the Terps have gone 12-2 in August and September and 4-15 in October and November.

PictureFran Brown lifted his starting QB from the lacrosse team
It’s the in game reverse for Georgia this year. In five of 6 times in SEC play, UGA went into the break without a lead. Yet they play to the final whistle. The Dawgs are 5-1  SEC play

Be careful what you wish for Husker fans. Earlier in the week Nebraska gave HC Matt Rhule a two year extension to fend off his alma mater Penn State. He’s now guaranteed to make at least $71 million through 2032. Nebraska promptly lost to USC handing the Huskers its staggering 29th straight loss to ranked opponents. Rhule himself has lost 19 straight, dating to his time at Baylor.

 North Carolina got it’s first Power 4 win beating Syracuse 27-10. Not sure what was  Orange HC Fran Brown was thinking. He started a true freshman from the lacrosse team at QB. ​

PictureEckhaus was sacked six times in the loss to Oregon State
I went 1-2 last week bringing the overall record to 16-15. Totally underestimated the impact of cross country travel, playing a game that went into Sunday and the altitude in my terrible pick of Cincinnati at Utah.

​And WSU QB picked a great time to have a sh!tty game against Oregon State throwing 2 picks and getting sacked 6 times. 

But I'm going to stick with the one great pick

Indiana -14.5 @ Penn State - Ohio State beat Penn State by 24 last week. Cignetti will want to out do that. He will. 

BYU +13.5 @ Texas Tech -  Texas Tech Behren Morton has been having a great year but he's been dinged up and will be facing the best passing defense he has seen all year. The fact that there will be wind gusts up to 27 MPH doesn't help.

BYU QB 
Bear Bachmeier, who has been nothing short of incredible for the unbeaten Cougars. He looks more like a LB that a QB when he is rumbling down the field. He has 20 all purpose TDs on the year. BYU is ranked 7th, is undefeated and getting nearly 2 TDs? I'll take that. 

PictureMark Gronowski has run for a TD in every game this season
Iowa +6.5 vs Oregon – Oregon is a bit overrated. They’ve beaten up on a lot of weak opponents (per usual) and their biggest win was over Penn State in double OT. Turns out that isn’t as impressive as it seemed at the time. The Ducks’ sloppy 21-7 home win vs. Wisconsin last week further that Oregon is not quite as good as fans think they are.

Iowa has won three straight since losing just 20-15 to Indiana. The Hawkeyes are the only team to stay within a core of the Hoosiers all year. Oregon lost by 10 at home to Indiana. Oregon struggles with running QBs. Iowa QB Mark Gronowski is Iowa’s best weapon. He ran for 130 yards on nine carries against Penn State, and has run for a touchdown in every game this season with 11 in total.
​
It should be a low scoring game with Iowa keeping it within a TD.

And for all the games, spreads, picks and much much more here is the 2025 Week 11 Bettors Guide
predictions_2025_week_11.xlsx
File Size: 776 kb
File Type: xlsx
Download File

Next Saturday is GO JUMBO - Can't wait to see everyone!
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.