New England's OL has had trouble keeping Drake Maye upright Denver +4.5 vs New England – All the talk coming into the game is about how Bo Nix is out and Jarret Stidham will get the start. The line moved from Denver as a 1.5 point favorite to a 4.5 dog. Is a 6 point move justified. It’s not like the Broncos are replacing John Elway. Nix threw 11 interceptions in the regular season and tossed a pick to a Buffalo defensive lineman in the third quarter last Saturday.
And HC Sean Peyton has had success putting in backup QBs. In 2019, Teddy Bridgewater started five games because of an injury to Drew Brees. In those five games, the Saints went 5-0, and Bridgewater’s numbers were - 1,384 yards, 9 TDs vs 2 picks and a 99.1 passer rating. He’ll have Stidham ready.
And we maybe looking at the wrong QB. New England isn’t exactly rolling out Tom Brady today.
In two playoff games, Drake Maye has fumbled six times and has taken 10 sacks. The Patriots' offensive line has had trouble protecting Maye, who has been sacked on nearly 14% of his drop backs this postseason. That spells trouble for New England against a Denver team that had 68 sacks in the regular season, which tied for the fifth-most in NFL history.
Maye is also making his first career road playoff start, and Denver is just about the toughest place to do that.
The market has overreacted to losing Bo Nix and is overlooking Denver’s defense vs Drake Maye. I’ll take Denver and the points.
And HC Sean Peyton has had success putting in backup QBs. In 2019, Teddy Bridgewater started five games because of an injury to Drew Brees. In those five games, the Saints went 5-0, and Bridgewater’s numbers were - 1,384 yards, 9 TDs vs 2 picks and a 99.1 passer rating. He’ll have Stidham ready.
And we maybe looking at the wrong QB. New England isn’t exactly rolling out Tom Brady today.
In two playoff games, Drake Maye has fumbled six times and has taken 10 sacks. The Patriots' offensive line has had trouble protecting Maye, who has been sacked on nearly 14% of his drop backs this postseason. That spells trouble for New England against a Denver team that had 68 sacks in the regular season, which tied for the fifth-most in NFL history.
Maye is also making his first career road playoff start, and Denver is just about the toughest place to do that.
The market has overreacted to losing Bo Nix and is overlooking Denver’s defense vs Drake Maye. I’ll take Denver and the points.
Sam Darnold is a disaster waiting to happen LA Rams +2.5 @ Seattle – How close are these two teams? They have played twice and the record is:
Points Scored
Rams: 58; Seahawks: 57
Total Yards
Rams: 830; Seahawks: 829
Since these NFC West rivals played a 38-37 classic back in December, Seattle took that win and hasn’t looked back, winning three straight games in dominating fashion while outscoring opponents 81-19. Their defense has flattened everyone in that run.
But that December win by Seattle is a bit misleading. The Rams dominated that game for three quarters and actually gained 585 yards of offense in the contest with Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford threw throwing for 457 yards.
And while Seattle’s defense has been on a dominating run, QB Sam Darnold is a disaster just waiting to happen.
Darnold threw six interceptions in two games against the Rams, including four in the Seahawks’ loss in Los Angeles. In last year’s wild-card round, when he started for the Vikings, he threw an interception and took nine sacks in a 27-9 loss to the Rams. Darnold, committed a league-high 20 turnovers in the regular season, also has an oblique injury that could compromise his play.
Stafford, meanwhile, has had success against Seattle’s defense. In four meetings against the Seahawks over the past three seasons, Stafford has thrown 10 touchdowns to just one interception to go along with only two sacks. And in the two meetings this season, he finished with a grand total of zero interceptions.
In a tight game, I’ll take the better Stafford over Darnold and take the points.
I went 1-3 in the CFP championship game with a new way to lose. I got Cignettied. Needing a TD to cover and get the team total points. Cignetti set up for drives down a goes for the FG. Missed the spread by 1.5 points and the team total by the hook.
The record is now 41-41. A TD would make it 43-39. Woulda coudla shoulda.
Points Scored
Rams: 58; Seahawks: 57
Total Yards
Rams: 830; Seahawks: 829
Since these NFC West rivals played a 38-37 classic back in December, Seattle took that win and hasn’t looked back, winning three straight games in dominating fashion while outscoring opponents 81-19. Their defense has flattened everyone in that run.
But that December win by Seattle is a bit misleading. The Rams dominated that game for three quarters and actually gained 585 yards of offense in the contest with Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford threw throwing for 457 yards.
And while Seattle’s defense has been on a dominating run, QB Sam Darnold is a disaster just waiting to happen.
Darnold threw six interceptions in two games against the Rams, including four in the Seahawks’ loss in Los Angeles. In last year’s wild-card round, when he started for the Vikings, he threw an interception and took nine sacks in a 27-9 loss to the Rams. Darnold, committed a league-high 20 turnovers in the regular season, also has an oblique injury that could compromise his play.
Stafford, meanwhile, has had success against Seattle’s defense. In four meetings against the Seahawks over the past three seasons, Stafford has thrown 10 touchdowns to just one interception to go along with only two sacks. And in the two meetings this season, he finished with a grand total of zero interceptions.
In a tight game, I’ll take the better Stafford over Darnold and take the points.
I went 1-3 in the CFP championship game with a new way to lose. I got Cignettied. Needing a TD to cover and get the team total points. Cignetti set up for drives down a goes for the FG. Missed the spread by 1.5 points and the team total by the hook.
The record is now 41-41. A TD would make it 43-39. Woulda coudla shoulda.
