Coastal's offense took a huge step backwards under Hudson La Tech vs Coastal Carolina Under 49.5 – Coastal’s offense is in the 100’s in virtually every metric and especially poor with the pass. It’s a bad offense that is pretty one-dimensional. They lean on the run which is conducive to the under as it keeps the clock running.
The offense took a big hit when starting QB Samari Collier went down with a season ending injury and replaced by backup Tad Hanson. In the four games Collier started, Coastal averaged 42.3 points per game (3-0 in games he also finished). Under Hudson, the Chants were held under 14 points six times, including being shut out 38-0 by East Carolina and held to 13 points against FCS Charleston Southern, which went 5-7.
Coastal is also missing it’s two starting tackles who have opted out.
La Tech will also be starting a backup QB with Trey Kukuk starting just his third game of the season after an injury to the Bulldogs’ starter, Blake Baker. Kukuk likes to run, averaging 6.2 yards per carry and finished the regular season as the team’s second-leading rusher and leader by yards per carry.
With both teams unable to pass and not very explosive, I’ll take the under.
The offense took a big hit when starting QB Samari Collier went down with a season ending injury and replaced by backup Tad Hanson. In the four games Collier started, Coastal averaged 42.3 points per game (3-0 in games he also finished). Under Hudson, the Chants were held under 14 points six times, including being shut out 38-0 by East Carolina and held to 13 points against FCS Charleston Southern, which went 5-7.
Coastal is also missing it’s two starting tackles who have opted out.
La Tech will also be starting a backup QB with Trey Kukuk starting just his third game of the season after an injury to the Bulldogs’ starter, Blake Baker. Kukuk likes to run, averaging 6.2 yards per carry and finished the regular season as the team’s second-leading rusher and leader by yards per carry.
With both teams unable to pass and not very explosive, I’ll take the under.
Joey Aguilar will get plenty of chances downfield Tennessee vs Illinois Over 61.5 - The offenses will be the best units on the field here. Both are explosive. The Vols are 16th in the nation in EPA per play (0.151), while the Illini are 25th (0.112). Also, the offenses are much closer to full strength than the defenses.
Tennessee’s defense loves to give up big plays through the air. They were hit for over 300 yards four times, and over 250 yards four other times. That led to the firing of their DC after five years.
Illinois defense was shredded (43 points allowed) in three games against ranked opponents in ‘25. Also, this unit ranked No. 128 nationally in pass defense success rate, allowing Tennessee QB Joey Aguilar plenty of opportunities for shots downfield.
It's two explosive offenses against porous pass defenses. I'll grab some popcorn and take the over.
Tennessee’s defense loves to give up big plays through the air. They were hit for over 300 yards four times, and over 250 yards four other times. That led to the firing of their DC after five years.
Illinois defense was shredded (43 points allowed) in three games against ranked opponents in ‘25. Also, this unit ranked No. 128 nationally in pass defense success rate, allowing Tennessee QB Joey Aguilar plenty of opportunities for shots downfield.
It's two explosive offenses against porous pass defenses. I'll grab some popcorn and take the over.
Jayden Maiava will be without his three top receivers USC vs TCU 1st half under 28.5 – TCU will be without star QB Josh Hoover, who will be one of the hottest commodities in the transfer portal. They will go with an experienced QB in Ken Seals who had 22 starts at Vanderbilt. Seals is mediocre at best and not a game changer. The Horned Frogs' top receiver, Jordan Dwyer (54 catches, 730 yards), is also out with a foot injury.
USC will have its star QB Jayden Maiava but he will be missing his three best receivers in Makai Lemon, Ja’Kobi Lane, Lake McRee. Lemon and Lane are surefire NFL players who with starting TE McRee combined for 158 receptions, 2,351 yards, and 19 touchdowns.
With both passing offenses taking hits I’ll rely on the running game to make the difference. USC is the much better rushing team. The Trojans were 15th in the nation in Rush EPA per play during the regular season, while the Horned Frogs were 74th.
With both teams adjusting to their depleted rosters and USC hitting the ground game, I’ll take the 1st half under
On Saturday I went 1-2 to bring the season record back to break even at 30-30
USC will have its star QB Jayden Maiava but he will be missing his three best receivers in Makai Lemon, Ja’Kobi Lane, Lake McRee. Lemon and Lane are surefire NFL players who with starting TE McRee combined for 158 receptions, 2,351 yards, and 19 touchdowns.
With both passing offenses taking hits I’ll rely on the running game to make the difference. USC is the much better rushing team. The Trojans were 15th in the nation in Rush EPA per play during the regular season, while the Horned Frogs were 74th.
With both teams adjusting to their depleted rosters and USC hitting the ground game, I’ll take the 1st half under
On Saturday I went 1-2 to bring the season record back to break even at 30-30
