
Not a great start to the season for FSU to say the least
The Noles are just the third team to go from the preseason top-10 to unranked in the first regular-season poll since the rankings expanded to 25 in 1989. They are re also only the third team to start the season with losses after being double digit favorites (Baylor 2017, Wyoming 2015)
It’s the same Florida State team that was supposed to be fuming after getting snubbed for the CFB then proceeds to get blasted on a nuclear scale by Georgia 63-3. The Seminoles apparently haven't recovered since.
Entering Week 2, the Conference ATS champion is the MAC at 9-2 ATS. Next behind the MAC is the SEC at 11-4 ATS.
Brian Kelly is now 0-3 SU and ATS in openers with LSU. He's lost his opener ATS in six straight seasons dating back to 2019.
The Noles are just the third team to go from the preseason top-10 to unranked in the first regular-season poll since the rankings expanded to 25 in 1989. They are re also only the third team to start the season with losses after being double digit favorites (Baylor 2017, Wyoming 2015)
It’s the same Florida State team that was supposed to be fuming after getting snubbed for the CFB then proceeds to get blasted on a nuclear scale by Georgia 63-3. The Seminoles apparently haven't recovered since.
Entering Week 2, the Conference ATS champion is the MAC at 9-2 ATS. Next behind the MAC is the SEC at 11-4 ATS.
Brian Kelly is now 0-3 SU and ATS in openers with LSU. He's lost his opener ATS in six straight seasons dating back to 2019.

Alabama (-34.5) just keeps on covering After destroying Western Kentucky 63-0 in its opener, The Tide is 15-2 ATS in openers since 2008. But keep in mind they are 6-12-1 ATS in their second game of the season. Let's see if Kalen DeBoer can buck the trend. They play South Florida as 31.0 favorites.
At -7.0, this is scUM’s biggest home underdog since 2019 vs. Ohio State at +9. It lost 56-27. This is Michigan's biggest underdog vs. a non-conference opponent since 2021 vs. Georgia at +7.5. It lost 34-11. If Michigan closes above 7.5, it would have to go back to 2012 against Alabama, where it was +13, it lost 41-14. In fact, Michigan is 0-5 straight-up in home underdog roles and has not won at home as more than a touchdown underdog since 1995.
As a double-digit favorite, Utah’s Kyle Whittingham is 46-27-1 ATS, making him the second-most profitable coach as a double-digit favorite since 2005, behind only James Franklin. Utah is a 14.0 favorite vs Baylor. Penn State is a 34.0 favorite vs Bowling Green.
With Vanderbilt’s win over Va Tech and South Carolina’s near loss to Old Dominion, there may be a new tenant in the SEC basement. So lets start with the GameCocks game in my three favorite picks of the week.
At -7.0, this is scUM’s biggest home underdog since 2019 vs. Ohio State at +9. It lost 56-27. This is Michigan's biggest underdog vs. a non-conference opponent since 2021 vs. Georgia at +7.5. It lost 34-11. If Michigan closes above 7.5, it would have to go back to 2012 against Alabama, where it was +13, it lost 41-14. In fact, Michigan is 0-5 straight-up in home underdog roles and has not won at home as more than a touchdown underdog since 1995.
As a double-digit favorite, Utah’s Kyle Whittingham is 46-27-1 ATS, making him the second-most profitable coach as a double-digit favorite since 2005, behind only James Franklin. Utah is a 14.0 favorite vs Baylor. Penn State is a 34.0 favorite vs Bowling Green.
With Vanderbilt’s win over Va Tech and South Carolina’s near loss to Old Dominion, there may be a new tenant in the SEC basement. So lets start with the GameCocks game in my three favorite picks of the week.

Kentucky -9.0 vs South Carolina - With Spencer Rattler now playing for the Saints, LaNorris Sellers went under center for South Carolina. It was…not good. Sellers completed only 10 of 24 passes for 114 yards and was sacked four times
Sellers said he felt “scared and timid,” I’ll bet. Imagine how “scared and afraid” he will be facing a Kentucky DL a lot better than what ODU rolled out. The Gamecocks’ two touchdowns were gift-wrapped turnovers inside the 10-yard line. It took everything in the tank to get by the Monarchs, scoring the winning TD with six minutes to go 23-19.
Kentucky meanwhile blasted away at Southern Miss 31-0 in game game called off with 9:36 to go in the 3rd quarter. The Wildcats new QB Brock Vandagriff had a much better outing throwing for 3 TDs and even scrambling for another 35 yards. The passing attack is better this year with the addition of WR Ja’Mori Maclin to line up with returners Dane Key and Barion Brown.
The Kentucky secondary is still a work in process but should have no issue with the inept Inspector Sellers.
Sellers said he felt “scared and timid,” I’ll bet. Imagine how “scared and afraid” he will be facing a Kentucky DL a lot better than what ODU rolled out. The Gamecocks’ two touchdowns were gift-wrapped turnovers inside the 10-yard line. It took everything in the tank to get by the Monarchs, scoring the winning TD with six minutes to go 23-19.
Kentucky meanwhile blasted away at Southern Miss 31-0 in game game called off with 9:36 to go in the 3rd quarter. The Wildcats new QB Brock Vandagriff had a much better outing throwing for 3 TDs and even scrambling for another 35 yards. The passing attack is better this year with the addition of WR Ja’Mori Maclin to line up with returners Dane Key and Barion Brown.
The Kentucky secondary is still a work in process but should have no issue with the inept Inspector Sellers.

Kansas -4.5 @ Illinois – What Lance Liepold has done at Kansas is nothing short of amazing He took a perpetually bottom feeder program into a 9 win program last year and a contender on the Big 12 again this year. The electric QB Jalon Daniels returns to Lawrence along with RB Daniel Neal. Neal had one of hos best games of the year last year against the Illini with 120 yard on just 10 carries.
Illinois went from 8 wins in 2022 to 5 wins last year. I doubt if he will return to 8 wins again. Bert relies on a pound and ground offense but lost 3 starters on his OL including his two best ones. If the Illini get behind they are in a world of hurt QB Luke Altmeyer ranked 185th amongst passers with at least 50 throws last year. He’ll probably remain down there as he lost his tow favorite targets.
Kansas has a bit of trouble defensively but should easily be able to make enough stops for Kansas to run all over Illinois.
Illinois went from 8 wins in 2022 to 5 wins last year. I doubt if he will return to 8 wins again. Bert relies on a pound and ground offense but lost 3 starters on his OL including his two best ones. If the Illini get behind they are in a world of hurt QB Luke Altmeyer ranked 185th amongst passers with at least 50 throws last year. He’ll probably remain down there as he lost his tow favorite targets.
Kansas has a bit of trouble defensively but should easily be able to make enough stops for Kansas to run all over Illinois.

Nebraska -7.5 vs Colorado – Is there a moreover hyped coach than Prime? He’s in commercials with a real HC in Saban and more appropriately as a pigeon for Direct TV. Unfortunately for fans of football, Direct TV will be showing the game. Their dispute with Disney does not cover the Peacock network.
Sure he has some stars on the offense but the OL and DL were some of the worst in the country. They showed some improvement last week against an excellent North Dakota State FCS team. But Nebraska’s lines are a big step up from NDSU. Sanders love to play man as a player and runs it asa HC. Too bad they don’t have the talent to play man.
Matt Rhule doesn’t get near the hype but is a much better HC. It’s takes a season for him to get going and this is season 2 for Rhule. He also gets a better QB to lead the offenses this season in Dylan Riaola. Last week he tore apart UTEP for 238 yards and 2 TDs. He should do ven better against a poor Buff defense.
With evenly matched offense, much better defense and line play, I’ll take the Huskers to get easily get the cover.
I’m going with a Point Whore Parlay this week with:
Eastern Michigan +25.0 @ Washington
Sam Houston State +22.5 @ UCF
Northern Illinois +28.0 @ Notre Dame
And for all the games, spreads, picks and much much more here is the 2024 Week 2 Bettors Guide
Sure he has some stars on the offense but the OL and DL were some of the worst in the country. They showed some improvement last week against an excellent North Dakota State FCS team. But Nebraska’s lines are a big step up from NDSU. Sanders love to play man as a player and runs it asa HC. Too bad they don’t have the talent to play man.
Matt Rhule doesn’t get near the hype but is a much better HC. It’s takes a season for him to get going and this is season 2 for Rhule. He also gets a better QB to lead the offenses this season in Dylan Riaola. Last week he tore apart UTEP for 238 yards and 2 TDs. He should do ven better against a poor Buff defense.
With evenly matched offense, much better defense and line play, I’ll take the Huskers to get easily get the cover.
I’m going with a Point Whore Parlay this week with:
Eastern Michigan +25.0 @ Washington
Sam Houston State +22.5 @ UCF
Northern Illinois +28.0 @ Notre Dame
And for all the games, spreads, picks and much much more here is the 2024 Week 2 Bettors Guide

2024_week_2.xlsx |
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