One fun way to invest in college football is the over/under win totals for the season. Rather than have a rooting interest for a team in a game, you have a rooting interest (for or against) for an entire season.
Lets start with the over/under for all the teams for 2024 organized by conference
Lets start with the over/under for all the teams for 2024 organized by conference
Dilfer is a blazing ahole First, I won't be wagering on Michigan State, just a house rule. And even though I think Michigan will go under too with all the turnover and the cheating finally catching up to them, I'll pass on taking the under. I root against them already, no need to amp that up.
With that in mind and, by taking a look at the season schedule, new head coaches, roster changes and a lot more, here is a touchdown's worth of my favorite picks
UAB Under 6.5 wins – Trent Dilfer is an arrogant prick and a poor head coach. He kicked off last season saying he wins wherever he goes, then promptly lost eight games. His offensive strategy relies on a short passing game that defenses quickly caught on to and started jumping routes. Not only that, but the offense just lost RB Jermaine Brown Jr., who is UAB’s all-time leader with 5,026 career all-purpose yards, and WR Tejhaun Palmer, to the NFL Draft this offseason.
And that was the good side of the ball. Even Dilfer admits the defense was, as he described it "terrible" or "horrible" six times in a 17-minute press conference last month. The Blazers could barely line up correctly lasts season and gave up an average of 37 points per game.
There is only one layup of a game on the schedule, the home opener against 1AA Alcorn State. The rest or either toss ups or heavy underdogs.
Get ready to start seeing Dilfer on the Coaching Hot Seat in the near future.
With that in mind and, by taking a look at the season schedule, new head coaches, roster changes and a lot more, here is a touchdown's worth of my favorite picks
UAB Under 6.5 wins – Trent Dilfer is an arrogant prick and a poor head coach. He kicked off last season saying he wins wherever he goes, then promptly lost eight games. His offensive strategy relies on a short passing game that defenses quickly caught on to and started jumping routes. Not only that, but the offense just lost RB Jermaine Brown Jr., who is UAB’s all-time leader with 5,026 career all-purpose yards, and WR Tejhaun Palmer, to the NFL Draft this offseason.
And that was the good side of the ball. Even Dilfer admits the defense was, as he described it "terrible" or "horrible" six times in a 17-minute press conference last month. The Blazers could barely line up correctly lasts season and gave up an average of 37 points per game.
There is only one layup of a game on the schedule, the home opener against 1AA Alcorn State. The rest or either toss ups or heavy underdogs.
Get ready to start seeing Dilfer on the Coaching Hot Seat in the near future.
Another year, another season with Shough being taken off on the medical cart Louisville Under 8.5 wins - Louisville rode a 5-0 record in one-possession games to get off to a 10-1 start in year one under Jeff Brohm. The prodigal son return home! He's a miracle worker! Then they regressed to the mean, losing their last three games.
This year, Brohm’s team will start QB Tyler Shough, who has major injury concerns and just lost their best WR Caullin Lacy to a collarbone injury.
With a much tougher schedule than last year including road trips to Notre Dame, Clemson, and Kentucky, another 10-2 campaign is out the window. The home slate is no piece of cake either with games against SMU, Miami (FL) and Pitt. Louisville is going to be hard pressed to win nine games.
This year, Brohm’s team will start QB Tyler Shough, who has major injury concerns and just lost their best WR Caullin Lacy to a collarbone injury.
With a much tougher schedule than last year including road trips to Notre Dame, Clemson, and Kentucky, another 10-2 campaign is out the window. The home slate is no piece of cake either with games against SMU, Miami (FL) and Pitt. Louisville is going to be hard pressed to win nine games.
Sorry Fran, I think you are in over your head Syracuse Under 7.0 wins – I thought the hiring of Fran Brown was a stretch in that he has never been a coordinator and gained his reputation as a star recruiter at Georgia. I mean, how hard is that? The good news is he did land former Bucknut QB Kyle McCord out of the portal. The bad news is that put this immobile QB, who crumbles under pressure behind one of the worst OLs in college football (ranked 110th)
The scheduler tried to rig the over. Syracuse is one of only two Power 4 teams, that does not play an out of conference P4 team (Ohio State is the other). But the schedule is still left with plenty of toss-ups. Syracuse projects to have five spreads within six points. Three of the coin-flip games come in the conference against Stanford, Pitt and Boston College, all of which are coming off a bye week.
With three likely losses to NC State, Miami (FL) and Va Tech, the Orange will need to win eight of the remaining nine games to get the over. Unlikely for a first time inexperienced HC
The scheduler tried to rig the over. Syracuse is one of only two Power 4 teams, that does not play an out of conference P4 team (Ohio State is the other). But the schedule is still left with plenty of toss-ups. Syracuse projects to have five spreads within six points. Three of the coin-flip games come in the conference against Stanford, Pitt and Boston College, all of which are coming off a bye week.
With three likely losses to NC State, Miami (FL) and Va Tech, the Orange will need to win eight of the remaining nine games to get the over. Unlikely for a first time inexperienced HC
Donate now! - and you can give credit to your favorite player. Operators are standing by Oklahoma State Over 8.0 wins – The Big 12 was decapitated by losing Texas and Oklahoma right? What if I were to tell you that over the last five years, Oklahoma won 31 regular season Big 12 games and Texas won 28. Oklahoma State won 30.
Mike Gundy has 18 straight winning seasons. Last year the Pokes went 10-4 and return both coordinators and 20 starters, including Doak Walker winner Ollie Gordon II, quarterback Alan Bowman and the entire offensive line.
This year, Oklahoma State will have the sixth-easiest schedule in college football, The Cowboys will square off against only four teams this season that went over .500 in 2023. That schedule includes zero teams that had nine or more victories and two squads that compiled three or fewer wins last year.
A home game against Utah and road trip to Kansas State are the most difficult games. The Cowboys should be favored in the rest.
And if you want to donate to the OSU NIL fund, the players will have QR codes on their helmets. Innovative, even if it gives me that old school "get off my lawn" feeling.
Mike Gundy has 18 straight winning seasons. Last year the Pokes went 10-4 and return both coordinators and 20 starters, including Doak Walker winner Ollie Gordon II, quarterback Alan Bowman and the entire offensive line.
This year, Oklahoma State will have the sixth-easiest schedule in college football, The Cowboys will square off against only four teams this season that went over .500 in 2023. That schedule includes zero teams that had nine or more victories and two squads that compiled three or fewer wins last year.
A home game against Utah and road trip to Kansas State are the most difficult games. The Cowboys should be favored in the rest.
And if you want to donate to the OSU NIL fund, the players will have QR codes on their helmets. Innovative, even if it gives me that old school "get off my lawn" feeling.
Georgia's OL will be playing on Sundays Georgia Over 10.5 Wins – Let’s see, Georgia is expected to be favored in every game, is the odds on favorite to win it all and I get spotted a game. I’m not going to out think this. I’ll take the Dawgs to go over 10.5 Even if there is an upset in there, say Clemson in game 1, (though I hate to use my get out of jail card in the first game), or @ Bama or @ Ole Miss on Go Jumbo weekend, you still get the win.
Georgia is loaded, returning 14 starters this season, including QB Carson Beck and an OL that will be playing on Sundays, The defense should return to its uber-elite standard with only four players from that side of the ball leaving to go pro. Last years squad finished ninth in the nation in total defense - No. 1 in the SEC - fifth in scoring D, and No. 1 in third down defense. They will be even better.
Here’s something to think about, the Dawgs have as many national championships as they do losses over the last three seasons.
Georgia is loaded, returning 14 starters this season, including QB Carson Beck and an OL that will be playing on Sundays, The defense should return to its uber-elite standard with only four players from that side of the ball leaving to go pro. Last years squad finished ninth in the nation in total defense - No. 1 in the SEC - fifth in scoring D, and No. 1 in third down defense. They will be even better.
Here’s something to think about, the Dawgs have as many national championships as they do losses over the last three seasons.
Sarkisian is the on returning HC from the playoffs last year Texas Under 10.5 wins – So Texas and Georgia have the same over/under line? One of the two teams (likely Texas) will use their free space when the play each other in Austin on October 19th.
Lose that game and Texas can’t afford another loss with games. Keep in mind one of those games is the Red River Shootout versus Oklahoma the week before they play UGA. Plus they play in the Big Sh!thouse in week 2, followed by a potential let down game against UT San Antonio, and end the season with a renewed rivalry against Texas A&M. And if they look ahead to that game, they Horns could get tripped up by Kentucky the week before.
The SEC is a big step up in competition from the Big 12 and Texas needs to replace WR Xavier Worthy - who set the NFL combine all-time record in the 40-yard dash and was a first-round selection by the Kansas City Chiefs, plus WR Andonai Mitchell (2nd round to Indianapolis) and RB Jonathon Brooks (2nd round Carolina). Even with all those players, Sarkisian teams habitually struggle to score inside the red zone. Last year they were 120th in scoring from inside the 20.
But, they do have this going for them. Texas is the only playoff team from last year that returns its HC.
Lose that game and Texas can’t afford another loss with games. Keep in mind one of those games is the Red River Shootout versus Oklahoma the week before they play UGA. Plus they play in the Big Sh!thouse in week 2, followed by a potential let down game against UT San Antonio, and end the season with a renewed rivalry against Texas A&M. And if they look ahead to that game, they Horns could get tripped up by Kentucky the week before.
The SEC is a big step up in competition from the Big 12 and Texas needs to replace WR Xavier Worthy - who set the NFL combine all-time record in the 40-yard dash and was a first-round selection by the Kansas City Chiefs, plus WR Andonai Mitchell (2nd round to Indianapolis) and RB Jonathon Brooks (2nd round Carolina). Even with all those players, Sarkisian teams habitually struggle to score inside the red zone. Last year they were 120th in scoring from inside the 20.
But, they do have this going for them. Texas is the only playoff team from last year that returns its HC.
Wyoming Over 6.5 Wins - Wyoming had the shortest transfer portal page of any Group of 5 team by a mile. They lost three total players to the portal and only one was even remotely a contributor last season. That speaks volumes to what the team thinks about new HC Jay Sawvel.
The Cowboys return nearly every starter on both sides of the ball The defense should be great again, they have the best home-field advantage in college football, and they have a phenomenal special teams.
Once again, Wyoming will be a tough out every week, and it beats the teams it’s supposed to. How many of the ten teams Wyoming lost to over the last two years finished with a losing record? None.
They open the season with Arizona State, Idaho, BYU, and North Texas, and they could easily get out to a 4-0 start. And then they get Air Force and San Diego State at home.
They could legitimately be 9-1 before getting to their hardest games of the season, in which case they'll have already cashed this total by a mile.
Remember - the Go Jumbo trip is Nov 16tth at the Westgate SuperBook.
The Cowboys return nearly every starter on both sides of the ball The defense should be great again, they have the best home-field advantage in college football, and they have a phenomenal special teams.
Once again, Wyoming will be a tough out every week, and it beats the teams it’s supposed to. How many of the ten teams Wyoming lost to over the last two years finished with a losing record? None.
They open the season with Arizona State, Idaho, BYU, and North Texas, and they could easily get out to a 4-0 start. And then they get Air Force and San Diego State at home.
They could legitimately be 9-1 before getting to their hardest games of the season, in which case they'll have already cashed this total by a mile.
Remember - the Go Jumbo trip is Nov 16tth at the Westgate SuperBook.
