Joe Mixon could be slowed by an ankle injury Kansas City -9.5 vs Houston - The Chiefs and Texans clashed just a few weeks ago in week 16, with Kansas City winning 27-19 as 3.5-point home favorite. This Divisional Round spread seems like a massive leap from that line, these teams are in different spots in the postseason.
Houston had a full receiving corps for that first encounter with the Chiefs but are now down WR2 Tank Dell. Houston's offense will be even more reliant on RB Joe Mixon -if he plays. Mixon is listed as questionable because o an ankle injury. The Texans offense was already among the worst rated units entering the playoffs and faces a well-rested and prepped Kansas City defense.
Don’t let last week’s 32-12 domination over LA fool you into thinking there is life in the Houston offense. One of those touchdowns came on defense and four L.A. turnovers gave the Texans extra extra opportunities.
Houston had a full receiving corps for that first encounter with the Chiefs but are now down WR2 Tank Dell. Houston's offense will be even more reliant on RB Joe Mixon -if he plays. Mixon is listed as questionable because o an ankle injury. The Texans offense was already among the worst rated units entering the playoffs and faces a well-rested and prepped Kansas City defense.
Don’t let last week’s 32-12 domination over LA fool you into thinking there is life in the Houston offense. One of those touchdowns came on defense and four L.A. turnovers gave the Texans extra extra opportunities.
Xavier Worthy will have success with the underneath routes The Chiefs should be better than the unit they were in Week 16 now that cornerback Jaylen Watson is back. He allows DC Steve Spagnuolo to play more man coverage while focusing on taking away Houston’s remaining receiving threat Nico Collins.
Xavier Worthy 60+ yards receiving - Patrick Mahomes has been much more efficient since pivoting to the quick-passing game when Marquise Brown returned in Week 16. Defending slot wide receivers is an issue for the Texans. They’ve given up the highest TD rate to slot receivers, and have been struggling even more recently since losing safeties Jalen Pitre and Jimmie Ward.
Xavier Worthy has stepped into the role held earlier in the season by Rashee Rice as the underneath target in space. In Worthy’s last three games, he has his three most targeted games of the season (11 at Cleveland – 6 catches, 11 vs. Houston – 7 catches, 9 at Pittsburgh – 8 catches). I’ll take Worthy over 60 yards at +125
Xavier Worthy 60+ yards receiving - Patrick Mahomes has been much more efficient since pivoting to the quick-passing game when Marquise Brown returned in Week 16. Defending slot wide receivers is an issue for the Texans. They’ve given up the highest TD rate to slot receivers, and have been struggling even more recently since losing safeties Jalen Pitre and Jimmie Ward.
Xavier Worthy has stepped into the role held earlier in the season by Rashee Rice as the underneath target in space. In Worthy’s last three games, he has his three most targeted games of the season (11 at Cleveland – 6 catches, 11 vs. Houston – 7 catches, 9 at Pittsburgh – 8 catches). I’ll take Worthy over 60 yards at +125
David Montgomery is back today Detroit -8.5 vs Washington – Total heart bet here with a little facts. The Lions shouldn’t have any trouble moving the ball on the Redskins. Of all the teams remaining in the playoffs, Washington has the worst run defense out of all of them.
The Lions, of course, built their offense on pounding the ball with their talented running backs behind an elite offensive line. David Montgomery just back from injury along with Jahmyr Gibbs will easily trample Washington’s porous ground defense.
This will open up very easy opportunities for Jared Goff. St. Brown has a very easy matchup in the slot this week, while LaPorta has a favorable situation as well, with the Redskins being mediocre versus tight ends.
The Lions, of course, built their offense on pounding the ball with their talented running backs behind an elite offensive line. David Montgomery just back from injury along with Jahmyr Gibbs will easily trample Washington’s porous ground defense.
This will open up very easy opportunities for Jared Goff. St. Brown has a very easy matchup in the slot this week, while LaPorta has a favorable situation as well, with the Redskins being mediocre versus tight ends.
While Zach Ertz will get lots of looks It happens once every year or two. A undeserving team makes it out of the first round of the playoffs and then gets curb stomped in Round 2. Think Tim Tebow beating the Steelers then got destroyed by the Patriots back in 2012. Or the Giants beating the Vikings last year only to get crushed by the Eagles.
They were fortunate to beat Tampa Bay last week – a Baker Mayfield fumble and a botched snap on the ensuing possession did in Tampa – and now they’re taking a huge step up in competition with a massive need for a week off.
It will be a shout out but the Lions will pull away in the second half
I’ll also put in a player prop bet
Jayden Daniels 60+ yards rushing +100 – The Lions know that they are exposed to scrambling QBs Due to their propensity to use man coverage, they are one of the worst teams when it comes to dealing with QBs that tuck and run. They also look to try and lock down.
That sets up a busy day for Washington veteran TE Zach Ertz in the Divisional Round. Ertz has been Daniels’ safety blanket in his first year. He finished the regular season second on the team with 91 targets, hauling 66 of those passes for an average of 3.9 receptions per game.
They were fortunate to beat Tampa Bay last week – a Baker Mayfield fumble and a botched snap on the ensuing possession did in Tampa – and now they’re taking a huge step up in competition with a massive need for a week off.
It will be a shout out but the Lions will pull away in the second half
I’ll also put in a player prop bet
Jayden Daniels 60+ yards rushing +100 – The Lions know that they are exposed to scrambling QBs Due to their propensity to use man coverage, they are one of the worst teams when it comes to dealing with QBs that tuck and run. They also look to try and lock down.
That sets up a busy day for Washington veteran TE Zach Ertz in the Divisional Round. Ertz has been Daniels’ safety blanket in his first year. He finished the regular season second on the team with 91 targets, hauling 66 of those passes for an average of 3.9 receptions per game.
