
Happy New Year everyone! Mrs Doofus rang in the New Year with friends, adult beverages, euchre and of course football!
Ive been snakebit the last few days. I went 1-3 yesterday but could have been 3-1. Except, Washington scored a TD, but decided to go for two, missed it and I lost. Then, Baytor came up short by 4 points on the team total, having a TD pass overturned, a punt return for a TD come back with a penalty and worst of all, getting to the 5 yard line first and goal and doesn’t score.
Maybe the luck will turn with the ringing in the New Year. So here we go for today’s playoff games.
Texas vs Arizona State Under 52.0 – I quitting on my New Years resolution on New Years Day. Must be a record. I said no more unders but that was so 2024.
In going for unders, you are relying on both teams draining the clock by running the ball and that is what we have here. Both teams are heavily run dependent.
For ASU, star RB Cam Scattebo has been a load to take down, rushing for 1,568 yards at a clip of 6.0 yards per carry and scoring 19 touchdowns. But he faces a defense which is among the best in the country. Texas’ defensive front is arguably the best in the CFP field. The Longhorns are eighth in yards allowed per carry (3.1) and ninth in rush yards allowed per game (104.5).
Ive been snakebit the last few days. I went 1-3 yesterday but could have been 3-1. Except, Washington scored a TD, but decided to go for two, missed it and I lost. Then, Baytor came up short by 4 points on the team total, having a TD pass overturned, a punt return for a TD come back with a penalty and worst of all, getting to the 5 yard line first and goal and doesn’t score.
Maybe the luck will turn with the ringing in the New Year. So here we go for today’s playoff games.
Texas vs Arizona State Under 52.0 – I quitting on my New Years resolution on New Years Day. Must be a record. I said no more unders but that was so 2024.
In going for unders, you are relying on both teams draining the clock by running the ball and that is what we have here. Both teams are heavily run dependent.
For ASU, star RB Cam Scattebo has been a load to take down, rushing for 1,568 yards at a clip of 6.0 yards per carry and scoring 19 touchdowns. But he faces a defense which is among the best in the country. Texas’ defensive front is arguably the best in the CFP field. The Longhorns are eighth in yards allowed per carry (3.1) and ninth in rush yards allowed per game (104.5).

Former Spartan QB Sam Leavitt will be missing his favorite target WR Jordyn Tyson who went down for the season with an injury on Nov 30. With Tyson out of the picture, this Horns DL will be able to hone in on Skattebo.
Texas HC Steve Sarkisian got back to running the football in their 38-24 win over Clemson in their first round CFP matchup. Texas ran the ball a stunning 48 times against the Tigers for a total of 292 yards. It was a big turnaround considering the Longhorns rushed a combined 60 yards on 55 carries in two losses to Georgia this season.
The Forks aren’t too bad stopping the run, having allowed 3.8 yards per carry and 117.8 yards per game, ranking 22nd nationally against the run.
I’m also going to go with
Texas ASU 1st half under 26.5 and a player prop parlay
Texas RB Wisner and ASU RB Scattebo both over 80 yards rushing
Texas HC Steve Sarkisian got back to running the football in their 38-24 win over Clemson in their first round CFP matchup. Texas ran the ball a stunning 48 times against the Tigers for a total of 292 yards. It was a big turnaround considering the Longhorns rushed a combined 60 yards on 55 carries in two losses to Georgia this season.
The Forks aren’t too bad stopping the run, having allowed 3.8 yards per carry and 117.8 yards per game, ranking 22nd nationally against the run.
I’m also going to go with
Texas ASU 1st half under 26.5 and a player prop parlay
Texas RB Wisner and ASU RB Scattebo both over 80 yards rushing

Ohio State vs Oregon Over 56.0 – The Rose bowl will have 2 Big Ten Teams. My, how things have changed.
In the last matchup Oregon and Ohio State combined 63 points and there is no reason to not expect a similar result. Both teams just shredded excellent defenses in their last games, OSU 42 Tenn 17 and Oregon 46 Penn State 37.
Despite both defenses ranking in the top ten in scoring defenses, the two offenses just have too much speed and firepower. The Buckeyes will likely try to exploit the Ducks' 63rd-ranked run defense in this one, while the Ducks will try to replicate the 340+ yards passing they put up against the Buckeyes in the first meeting. The conditions should be great and the track fast in Pasadena so buckle up for a high-scoring matchup.
I’m also going with
Ohio State vs Oregon 1st half over 28.5 – In the last matchup both teams came out fast with 46 of the 63 points scored in the first half
And a player prop
OSU WR Jeremiah Smith over 90 yards receiving – Part of the reason OSU lost to scUM* was they got away from their rookie phenom WR. Lesson learned. They went to him for 103 yards against Tennessee. In the first matchup he had 9 catches for 100 yards.
In the last matchup Oregon and Ohio State combined 63 points and there is no reason to not expect a similar result. Both teams just shredded excellent defenses in their last games, OSU 42 Tenn 17 and Oregon 46 Penn State 37.
Despite both defenses ranking in the top ten in scoring defenses, the two offenses just have too much speed and firepower. The Buckeyes will likely try to exploit the Ducks' 63rd-ranked run defense in this one, while the Ducks will try to replicate the 340+ yards passing they put up against the Buckeyes in the first meeting. The conditions should be great and the track fast in Pasadena so buckle up for a high-scoring matchup.
I’m also going with
Ohio State vs Oregon 1st half over 28.5 – In the last matchup both teams came out fast with 46 of the 63 points scored in the first half
And a player prop
OSU WR Jeremiah Smith over 90 yards receiving – Part of the reason OSU lost to scUM* was they got away from their rookie phenom WR. Lesson learned. They went to him for 103 yards against Tennessee. In the first matchup he had 9 catches for 100 yards.