North Texas is equally bad against the run I watched the Georgia Notre Dame game at the local UGA watering hole. I went an hour before game time and it was packed, They love their Dawgs down here. I went in wearing some Georgia Tech gear which brought some hoots and hollers. And during the game quietly rooted for Notre Dame. The Domers dominated and I was of the few left in the establishment as the game ended.
We are down to three more non CFP games for the 2024 Bowl Season with two tonight.
Here’s what I will be investing in:
Texas State -14.0 v North Texas – North Texas was terrible against the run (117th) and even worse against the pass (121st). Overall, they were 120th is scoring defense (35.8 PPG).
The Mean Green were able to make it to a bowl by outscoring their opponents through a prolific passing game. Too bad that their starting QB Chandler Morris will be transferring to Virginia and sitting this one out. True freshman Drew Mestemaker will get the call after throwing just five passes during the regular season.
We are down to three more non CFP games for the 2024 Bowl Season with two tonight.
Here’s what I will be investing in:
Texas State -14.0 v North Texas – North Texas was terrible against the run (117th) and even worse against the pass (121st). Overall, they were 120th is scoring defense (35.8 PPG).
The Mean Green were able to make it to a bowl by outscoring their opponents through a prolific passing game. Too bad that their starting QB Chandler Morris will be transferring to Virginia and sitting this one out. True freshman Drew Mestemaker will get the call after throwing just five passes during the regular season.
And the pass Even with Morris, UNT was 4-8 ATS.
Texas State was relatively better on defense at 59th in scoring defense (24.3). The Bobcats will be without starting RB Ismail Mahdi. But they should still have success against the Mean Green as backup RB Lincoln Pare actually did better on a per-carry basis than Mahdi.
I’ll take a more complete roster with Texas State over a depleted UNT squad
Texas State -6.5 vs North Texas First Half – There are indications that Texas State starting QB Jordan McCloud may not play the entire game which means I will lean into the first half cover as well just in case.
Backup QB, freshman Brad Jackson is a dual threat and looked electric in limited playing time this year. He ran 22 times for 164 yards and four touchdowns, which is good for a healthy 7.5 yards per attempt.
And a player prop
Texas State RB Lincoln Pare over 90 yards rushing - With Mahdi out, Pare will get the bulk of the carries. UNT give up 195 YPG. Plenty of room for Pare to get his yards.
Texas State was relatively better on defense at 59th in scoring defense (24.3). The Bobcats will be without starting RB Ismail Mahdi. But they should still have success against the Mean Green as backup RB Lincoln Pare actually did better on a per-carry basis than Mahdi.
I’ll take a more complete roster with Texas State over a depleted UNT squad
Texas State -6.5 vs North Texas First Half – There are indications that Texas State starting QB Jordan McCloud may not play the entire game which means I will lean into the first half cover as well just in case.
Backup QB, freshman Brad Jackson is a dual threat and looked electric in limited playing time this year. He ran 22 times for 164 yards and four touchdowns, which is good for a healthy 7.5 yards per attempt.
And a player prop
Texas State RB Lincoln Pare over 90 yards rushing - With Mahdi out, Pare will get the bulk of the carries. UNT give up 195 YPG. Plenty of room for Pare to get his yards.
Pop Watson will face a ferocious Goopher defense Minnesota -9.5 vs Va Tech - Minnesota enters its final game of the season at 7-5, but it's much better than that record suggests. The Gophers started the season with a heartbreaking loss to North Carolina, lost by three at scUM* and fell by just a single point to CFP semifinalist Penn State. The Gophers finished the year 5-2 winning streak getting better as QB Max Brosmer gained full comfort in a new offensive system.
Va Tech will likely be without starting QB Kyron Drones. Backup QB Collin Schlee is also questionable for the bowl game. Even with Drones, the Hokies were a poor passing team averaging 192.8 passing yards (104th). Likely starter freshman William “Pop” Watson will be thrown the wolves against a stout Gopher defense. Minnesota surrendered 17.5 points (10th), 290.9 total yards (5th) per game, 178.3 passing yards (14th) and 112.6 rushing yards (17th).
Brosmer will be playing, facing a Hokie roster devastated by opt out. Va Tech will be down 26 starters including their three best starters in the secondary. In addition, DC Chris Marve was relieved of his duties so the defense will have some unfamiliarity.
Minnesota will simply have too much on both sides of the ball for a Hokie team that will suffer from inexperience and a lack of reps together.
Minnesota -6.5 vs Va Tech 1st half - Minnesota likes to make teams grind out drives in the opening half, as only two of its last seven opponents surpassed the 10-point mark prior to halftime. USC, UCLA, Illinois, and Maryland each scored exactly 10 first-half points, while Wisconsin was held scoreless.
Va Tech will likely be without starting QB Kyron Drones. Backup QB Collin Schlee is also questionable for the bowl game. Even with Drones, the Hokies were a poor passing team averaging 192.8 passing yards (104th). Likely starter freshman William “Pop” Watson will be thrown the wolves against a stout Gopher defense. Minnesota surrendered 17.5 points (10th), 290.9 total yards (5th) per game, 178.3 passing yards (14th) and 112.6 rushing yards (17th).
Brosmer will be playing, facing a Hokie roster devastated by opt out. Va Tech will be down 26 starters including their three best starters in the secondary. In addition, DC Chris Marve was relieved of his duties so the defense will have some unfamiliarity.
Minnesota will simply have too much on both sides of the ball for a Hokie team that will suffer from inexperience and a lack of reps together.
Minnesota -6.5 vs Va Tech 1st half - Minnesota likes to make teams grind out drives in the opening half, as only two of its last seven opponents surpassed the 10-point mark prior to halftime. USC, UCLA, Illinois, and Maryland each scored exactly 10 first-half points, while Wisconsin was held scoreless.
